Archive for September, 2016

Bryce Harper, Nationals GM and Trainer Reportedly Meet to Discuss Injury Rumors

Following a report that a shoulder injury has hampered Washington Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper, the reigning NL MVP reportedly denied any issues in a closed-door meeting with management Tuesday. 

SI.com’s Tom Verducci wrote Tuesday that Harper is struggling through shoulder and neck ailments on the heels of missing a few games in August due to a neck injury.

Per Chelsea Janes of the Washington Post, Harper told general manager Mike Rizzo he did not have a shoulder injury, and trainer Paul Lessard confirmed he had not treated the 23-year-old superstar for any such problems.

Manager Dusty Baker commented on the situation as well and expressed confusion regarding the source of Verducci’s information: “Bryce said it didn’t come from him. Nobody really knows where it comes from because it’s not on the injury report. The trainer said no.”

After hitting .330 and raking 42 home runs to go along with 99 RBI last season, Harper is in the midst of a down year.

He entered play Thursday hitting just .240 with 24 homers and 82 RBI, although he does lead the NL with 106 walks.

Despite Harper failing to live up to expectations, the Nats hold a healthy nine-game lead over the New York Mets in the NL East, and they may be the team to beat in the National League aside from the Chicago Cubs.

Regardless of Harper’s health, Washington will likely need more from him as it makes a push for the World Series.

Harper’s high walk total suggests the opposition still respects him, though, and his mere presence makes life easier for other offensive stars such as Wilson Ramos, Daniel Murphy, Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner to produce at the plate.

     

Follow @MikeChiari on Twitter.

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MLB Playoff Picture 2016: Predicting Wild-Card Races and Potential Bracket

When MLB added a second wild-card spot for each league in 2012, this is exactly what it wanted.

Less than two weeks remain before the 2016 regular season ends, but all four bids in the American League and National League Wild Card Games are still up for grabs. While three teams fight furiously for a shot at the NL play-in game, multiple teams still lurk in the AL picture.

If any ties occur, clubs might need to break the stalemate with an elimination game before the postseason elimination game. A three-team AL tie would especially prove problematic, as the Wild Card Game is scheduled for Oct. 4—two days after the season ends.

All six division leaders will likely clinch with time to spare, so let’s focus on the chaotic wild-card races. Playoff probabilities are courtesy of Baseball Prospectus

   

American League

Let’s make this easier and assume the Boston Red Sox wrap up the AL East. While there’s enough time to squander a five-game lead, they boast baseball’s best offense and an AL-best plus-186 run differential.

That leaves the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles vying for wild-card bids, both of which they control. Each club faces a tough closing schedule, which includes a three-game series against each other next week.

Although buoyed by their star sluggers, the Blue Jays’ starting rotation leads the AL in ERA. Despite a strong second half from Kevin Gausman, the Orioles would rank last if not for the putrid Minnesota Twins.

Solid starting staff aside, the Blue Jays would love to get Jose Bautista going. The veteran slugger is hitting .230/.358/.437 during an injury-infested season, but he has reached base in 29 straight games. He didn’t loiter there long on Wednesday, hitting a game-tying home run in the ninth against the Seattle Mariners, who won in extra innings.

Seattle looked down for the count before rattling off eight consecutive wins earlier this month. Dropping two of three to the Houston Astros and Blue Jays greatly derailed its playoff chances. Now the Astros and Detroit Tigers represent bigger threats.

Detroit has the most favorable schedule of the bunch, especially if the Cleveland Indians take it easy with the AL Central well in hand. The Tigers have also, however, played the last two games without Ian Kinsler (concussion) and Victor Martinez (knee). 

The catalyst to Detroit’s offense, Kinsler has hit 26 homers with an .804 OPS and 106 runs scored. He commented on his concussion to Anthony Fenech of the Detroit Free Press.

“It’s something where you feel a little pressure maybe,” he said. “It’s just not normal. You don’t feel normal.” 

Even while facing the Kansas City Royals and Atlanta Braves, the top-heavy Tigers need all hands on deck to mount a comeback. Also hurting their cause, rookie Michael Fulmer has regressed from an unsustainable hot start, notching a 4.00 second-half ERA. 

The Astros are situated to poach the second spot. They play seven of their final 10 games against the Los Angeles Angels, whom they have defeated 11 of 12 times this season. Although they probably won’t go much further without Dallas Keuchel, look for them to escape the scrum and face Toronto in the Wild Card Game.

   

National League

At a quick glance, the New York Mets appear in the worst shape among the trio competing to survive the wild-card frenzy. Their plus-20 run differential unfitting of an 80-72 team trails the San Francisco Giants (+59) and St. Louis Cardinals (+60) considerably. Not having David Wright, Neil Walker, Matt Harvey and Jacob deGrom also hurts.

Fortunately for last year’s NL champs, their schedule since Aug. 25 has consisted of all but six games—which they split against the NL East-leading Washington Nationals—against anyone with a winning record. They have capitalized, since righting a sinking ship with a 16-7 record.

Alas, they hit a roadblock, getting swept by the Atlanta Braves. They have 10 games to heat up against the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, and Marlins ace Jose Fernandez is not scheduled to start any of their three matchups.

New York’s comeback received a helping hand from the Giants’ collapse. Entering the All-Star break at an MLB-best 57-33, San Francisco has since gone 23-39.

The Giants are still dangerous if they can make the Wild Card Game or even force a three-team tie. Their bullpen has pitched well during their second-half collapse, but it receives the blame as a result of stumbling in key spots. While those 12 blown saves have sparked the free-fall, a Giants offense gone terribly sour has scored the fewest runs since the All-Star break. 

San Francisco can’t point to any major injuries like the Mets and Cardinals—who are currently without Lance Lynn and Matt Holliday and missed Matt Carpenter, Aledmys Diaz and Michael Wacha for chunks of the season. The Giants are remarkably healthy, but they still stink.

“The first-half Giants were the [Chicago] Cubs, the second-half Giants are the Twins, and they’re essentially the exact same team,” Yahoo Sports’ Jeff Passan wrote. “This does not make any sense.”

After getting demolished by the Colorado Rockies, the Cardinals must hope the Cubs don’t care about ousting their division foes. With the division and home-field advantage firmly wrapped up, they have nothing on the line but pride.

As the rest of the rotation struggles, St. Louis needs two big outings from Alex Reyes. The highly touted rookie tossed seven shutout frames in Sunday’s enormous win over San Francisco. That was his third career start.

In the event of a three-team tie, the Cardinals would currently host the Mets—determined by inner-division records since they split their head-to-head encounters—for the first spot. The loser would then face San Francisco for the second ticket into the NL Wild Card Game.

Even though they’re baseball’s best team on the road, this scenario bodes well for the Cardinals. Yet look for the Mets to exploit a Phillies-heavy schedule to outright claim one spot, while the Giants save the season with strong showings against the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies.

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Key X-Factors That Will Determine Who Clinches MLB’s Final 2016 Playoff Spots

Baseball doesn’t get much better than this. With just over a week left in the MLB regular season, we have 12 teams within five games of a playoff berth—and a three-way tie in the National League wild-card race.

Tell us again how baseball is boring, haters.

For most of those teams, their destinies are in their own hands. Or rather, in the hands of their biggest X-factors, players who can change the course of a game—and the way the playoff race shakes out—with a single swing or pitch.

The New York Yankees’ Gary Sanchez is one of those X-factors. Not only has he helped propel the Yankees back into contention, but he’s also making a strong case that, like Willie McCovey in 1959, he’s deserving of the Rookie of the Year Award despite not arriving on the scene until well after the All-Star break had passed.

Is Sanchez the only rookie to make the cut? Is he the only catcher? Are there more well-established X-factors to focus on? Let’s take a look.

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B/R MLB 300: Ranking the Top 25 Second Basemen of 2016

With catchers and first basemen in the bag, the B/R MLB 300 now turns its attention to second base.

We have 25 second basemen to get to, and this year we’ll be scoring them differently than in the past. Second base has experienced a huge power spike, setting records for home runs and slugging percentage, so the power category looms larger this year:

  • Hitting: 30 points
  • Power: 30 points
  • Baserunning15 points
  • Defense: 25 points

Before we move on, here’s a reminder that this year’s B/R MLB 300 is different from past versions in a key way. Rather than use the events of 2016 to project for 2017, the focus is strictly on 2016. Think of these rankings as year-end report cards.

For more on how the scoring and ranking work, read ahead.

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Gary Sanchez’s MLB Superstar Breakout Just the Start of an All-Star Future

There’s a New York Yankees coach named Tony Pena. He was an All-Star catcher when he played in the major leagues, the only All-Star catcher ever born in the Dominican Republic.

When you ask him why there’s only been one, he first says, “Don’t ask me that question.” Then he points across the Yankees clubhouse, at the corner where 23-year-old Gary Sanchez is sitting in front of his locker.

“There’s one coming up,” he says.

There’s a major league scout who grew up as a Yankees fan and has long followed the Yankees farm system while working for a rival team. You ask him about Sanchez, and he points to Monument Park.

“That’s where he could end up,” the scout says.

You see, it’s not only fans and writers who are caught up in the Sanchez craze. It’s real, because while no one could rightly expect 19 home runs in the first 45 games of his major league career (no one had ever done that), plenty of people who know Sanchez best have long believed he would succeed, and succeed big. 

His path to the big leagues hasn’t always been smooth, but the benchings and suspensions and “time outs” can easily give the wrong impression about a kid who signed at 16 for $3 million and simply needed to grow up.

“He’s always been a good guy in the clubhouse,” said pitcher Bryan Mitchell, who signed with the Yankees a month before Sanchez and saw him at every level, starting in the rookie Gulf Coast League in 2010. “You always want that guy on your team.”

As Andrew Marchand wrote in a fantastic ESPN.com story on Sanchez’s development, becoming a father two years ago helped Sanchez move from sometimes-immature kid to fast-developing man.

“When he got the baby, that changed his life,” Sanchez’s friend Francisco Arcia told Marchand. “He thought about what he has to do.”

He had to do a lot, because modern data-driven baseball puts more pressure on young catchers than on any other players. They need to understand scouting reports but also adjust from them. They also need to understand pitchers, a difficult enough task even when they speak the same language and share a culture.

Sanchez had to learn all that, including English, because he barely spoke the language when he first showed up in the minor leagues. He still uses an interpreter for interviews now, although teammates say his command of the language is more than adequate.

In fact, when Masahiro Tanaka was asked what language he and Sanchez communicate in (since both use interpreters), he said they speak English. When he was then asked who speaks the language better, Tanaka quickly pointed across the room.

“Sanchez!” he said.

The language was a challenge, but so was the position. The best young players in the Dominican Republic simply don’t go behind the plate, and neither did Sanchez, at first.

He was a third baseman as a kid and only became a catcher when a coach suggested his strong arm might fit better behind the plate.

“At first, I didn’t like it,” he said. “Eventually, I came to like it.”

With few Dominican-born catchers to use as role models, Sanchez said he watched Ivan Rodriguez and Jorge Posada (both Puerto Rican) and Jason Varitek.

“The money [in the Dominican Republic] goes to infielders and outfielders,” he said. “When you grow up there and have a coach, they want to teach you third base, shortstop, second base. There aren’t too many catchers.”

He was still raw when he signed. His manager at Single-A Staten Island, former major league catcher Josh Paul, told Marchand that Sanchez “couldn’t catch a fastball down the middle” when he played for him in 2010. Paul, now a minor league catching instructor with the Yankees, also told Marchand, “I’ve never seen anyone work harder on a baseball field [than Sanchez did last year].”

That work ethic stands in contrast to some of the stories told about Sanchez. Even now, he has to fight the tag that he’s sometimes lazy.

“If somebody doesn’t know you, and they see you one time, it’s hard to have that judgment,” Sanchez said. “When you go through a season with them, they know.”

The ones who knew told the Yankees front office that Sanchez was a keeper, a potential star worth sticking with. But Yankees general manager Brian Cashman admitted to Billy Witz of the New York Times he listened to trade offers for Sanchez as recently as last summer.

“I’m glad for my sake that I didn’t do it,” Cashman told Witz. “All the people guiding me through the process were saying: ‘This guy’s going to get there. He’s going to be the difference-maker. He’s going to be special.'”

A year later, everybody can see that. But others saw it before Sanchez began hitting home runs in the big leagues.

There was the umpire in the Double-A Eastern League who made time at the end of the 2014 season to go find the Trenton Thunder coaching staff. He knocked on the office door, just to deliver a message.

“That kid made more progress this year than anyone in this league,” the umpire told them.

There was Carlos Subero, the Milwaukee Brewers first base coach who managed Sanchez in the Arizona Fall League last October.

“I’m as high on this guy as anybody could be,” Subero said.

The fall league is filled with prospects from every organization, but it can also be grueling. Almost every player in it has already been through a full season, and by the time the championship game is played the Saturday before Thanksgiving, everyone just wants to get out of there and go home.

Well, not everyone.

“Eleven o’clock, the night before the championship game, I get a text from Gary,” Subero said. “He’s sent me what he thinks my whole lineup should be for the next day, and not only where they should hit but why. Everyone wanted to go home, but Gary wanted to win.

“That’s who Gary Sanchez is. I told my wife, that’s why this kid is going to be an All-Star.”

That’s one reason, for sure, to go along with the power that enabled him to hit 19 home runs in just 166 major league at-bats this season and the arm that has already erased nine baserunners. (Did you see the one he threw out from his knees?)

Subero noticed how smart a hitter Sanchez already is, something Yankees manager Joe Girardi has also referred to. He noticed how diligent Sanchez is at controlling a game and working with pitchers, something Yankees pitching coach Larry Rothschild has mentioned.

“He’s not afraid to take charge, and that’s sometimes hard when you have a young catcher working with veteran pitchers,” Rothschild said. “It’s been good to see.”

Rothschild also praised Sanchez’s game-calling ability, another rare quality in a young catcher in the big leagues.

A few scouts still pick at things Sanchez needs to work on, though, especially with his receiving skills. But one scout marveled at a pitch Sanchez blocked, a split-finger fastball from Mitchell that bounced on the edge of the batter’s box.

“Only Pudge [Rodriguez] and [Yadier] Molina block that ball,” the scout said.

Rodriguez played in 14 All-Star Games and has a good chance at being voted into the Hall of Fame this winter, the first time he’s eligible. Molina is a seven-time All-Star likely headed for Cooperstown, as well.

Sanchez played in the All-Star Futures Game each of the last two years. He was an All-Star in the Eastern League in 2014, in the Florida State League in 2013 and in the South Atlantic League in 2012.

If you had to pick an American League All-Star team right now, he might make it.

You wonder if things will change, if kids in the Dominican Republic will see Sanchez and say they want to catch, they want to be him.

For now, though, Sanchez is the best bet. Only five Dominican-born catchers played even one game in the major leagues this season, and only Welington Castillo of the Arizona Diamondbacks—hardly a star—played regularly all season.

The other World Team catcher in the Futures Game, Cleveland Indians prospect Francisco Mejia, was born in the Dominican Republic but has yet to advance past the Single-A level.

Sanchez is already a star, if not yet an All-Star.

“He’s gotten better every year,” said Mitchell, who has seen all the progress close-up.

He’s 23, two years younger than Pena was when he made the first of his five All-Star teams in 1982. Pena was the first Dominican catcher in the All-Star Game.

Thirty-four years later, he’s still the only one.

There’s one coming up.

    

Danny Knobler covers Major League Baseball as a national columnist for Bleacher Report.

Follow Danny on Twitter and talk baseball.

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Red-Hot Red Sox Emerging as Alpha Dog in AL Playoff Picture

As the National League continues to leave no doubt about who its World Series favorite is, the American League may finally be settling on one of its own.

The Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox are rolling, folks. Hanley Ramirez’s dramatic home run last week kicked off a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees, and they’ve begun this week by taking three straight from the Baltimore Orioles.

The latest is Wednesday’s 5-1 triumph. Clay Buchholz pitched seven innings of one-run ball. The Red Sox took the lead on a two-out, bases-loaded error in the sixth and padded it when Andrew Benintendi’s name was plucked from the “Clutch Red Sox Hitter” hat and a three-run homer materialized.

It wasn’t long ago that the AL East race looked like one nobody was going to run away with. The Red Sox, Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees were all very much in it and armed to the teeth for a bloody gladiator fight that would take a toll on everyone.

Instead, there are the Red Sox at 14-5 in September and 88-64 overall. They are Maximus standing unharmed amid the wreckage and asking if we’re entertained.

It’s not just the seven wins in a row. Nor is it even the breathing room they have. They lead the Blue Jays by five, the Orioles by six and the Yankees by 8.5. FanGraphs gives them a 98.1 percent chance of winning the division. Impressive, but it’s not the most resonant thing about the Red Sox right now.

Nope. That would be just how darn ready for the postseason they’re looking.

The Red Sox haven’t been a bad team at any point in 2016, but they’ve spent the bulk of it flexing one or two big muscles while trying to hide puny, undeveloped muscles. In the beginning, they had offense but no pitching. In the middle, they got some starting pitching just as their offense finally slumped. Shortly after that, their bullpen fell apart.

That last point brings us to one of the biggest factors in Boston’s September surge. As Alex Speier of the Boston Globe observed, it’s thus far been a historic month for the club’s relievers:

And the band played on with two more scoreless innings Wednesday. Make it a 0.88 ERA in September, a figure that all the key members—Craig Kimbrel, Koji Uehara, Brad Ziegler, Joe Kelly, Junichi Tazawa, Matt Barnes, et al.—share the credit for.

Meanwhile, Boston’s starters are doing well in their own right.

They have a 3.45 ERA in September, and a 3.59 ERA in the second half. Rick Porcello might be the AL Cy Young favorite with 21 wins and a 3.08 ERA, and is rolling with a 2.34 ERA in his last 11 starts. David Price has a 2.84 ERA in his last 11 starts. The waters beyond them are murky, but it’s saying something that there are solid arguments to make for Buchholz, Eduardo Rodriguez, Drew Pomeranz and a potentially healthy Steven Wright as the team’s third-best starter.

As for that offense, well, it just keeps on ticking.

The Red Sox have scored at least five runs in all seven of their consecutive wins, and 121 total in September. With either Benintendi or Chris Young in left field, Red Sox manager John Farrell must be very pleased knowing that only one of his regulars (Travis Shaw) has an OPS under .799.

This is a very complete team. And they know it.

“I think we know, and I think everybody else knows, you’ve got to play 27 outs to beat us—and we keep that mindset,” Mookie Betts, the possible AL MVP front-runner, said recently to MLB.com’s Paul Hagen. “We’re never out of it.”

And as the Red Sox get hotter, the competition both within and without the AL East only seems to be getting weaker. 

If the season ended today, the Red Sox would play the Cleveland Indians in the American League Division Series. They’re playing well but are running out of arms faster than the Black Knight in a fight with King Arthur. Corey Kluber still lives, but Carlos Carrasco is done for the season and Danny Salazar is fighting to return from an arm injury.

The Texas Rangers loom as the bigger roadblock to the World Series for the Red Sox. And while theirs don’t involve any backbreaking injuries, they have pitching woes of their own. They entered Wednesday with a 5.63 ERA in September, no thanks to co-aces Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish combining for an 8.59 ERA.

In a seemingly related story, the same number-crunching system that shows a 98.1 percent chance of the Red Sox winning the AL East also gives the Red Sox a 19.0 percent chance to win the World Series. That’s the highest of any team in the American League. And the way they’re shaping up, that’s not so hard to believe.

What’s harder to believe is the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning it all than even the Chicago Cubs, which the odds state they do. These are the same Cubs that have won 97 games and are a powerhouse in every conceivable way. There’s supposedly a goat-related hex on them, but they’re at least as well equipped to beat their curse as the Red Sox were back when they popularized beating curses back in 2004.

However, a matchup with the Cubs in the World Series is a bridge the Red Sox can worry about crossing when they get to it. For now, they can enjoy knowing they have a team that’s turned getting there at all into a realistic possibility.

The Red Sox have been searching and searching and searching for that team. They’ve finally found it.

   

Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs unless otherwise noted/linked.

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Gary Sanchez Becomes Fastest Player to Hit 19 HR in MLB’s Modern Era

New York Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez is having a better start to his career than anyone in baseball history.

The rookie hit his 18th home run of the season Wednesday night against the Tampa Bay Rays, making him the fastest to reach that mark in the modern era, according to Andrew Marchand of ESPN.com. It took the 23-year-old phenom just 45 games.

Sanchez amazingly followed the second-inning home run with another long ball later in the game, making him the fastest to 19 home runs as well.

According to MLB, the next-fastest player to reach that milestone was Wally Berger, who needed 51 games to do so in 1930.

The catcher went 0-for-2 in two games at the major league level last season and then 0-for-4 in one appearance in May this year. However, he has been unstoppable since rejoining the roster, producing at an extremely high level over his last 42 games.

In addition to the home runs, Sanchez finished Wednesday’s contest with a .337 batting average and .410 on-base percentage.

Teammate Brian McCann had high praise for the rookie, per Bryan Hoch of MLB.com:

Seth Rothman of the YES Network considers him a top contender for Rookie of the Year despite his short time in the majors:

Manager Joe Girardi believes he deserves the award, per Erik Boland of Newsday:

Prior to joining the big league club on a full-time basis, Sanchez hit only 10 home runs in 71 games in Triple-A this year and didn’t reach 19 home runs in any minor league season.

However, he has found magic in the Bronx.

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Adam Jones Comments on Camden Yards Attendance for Red Sox Series

The Baltimore Orioles are in a fight for the playoffs, but the fans haven’t been around to witness it.

Outfielder Adam Jones voiced his displeasure Wednesday with the lack of attendance at Camden Yards, per Eddie Matz of ESPN.com:

It’s sad. It’s eerie. We grind and grind and grind. We understand, there’s a lot that that factors into it. Ticket prices being higher, although you can bring in food and beverages. Marketing and promotions, I’m sure they’re not the best. I get all that. I’m just saying, the city wanted a winner – the last five years we got ’em a winner. I don’t if know if they’ve gotten complacent already on us winning. I wish they haven’t. I hope they haven’t. Because winning is fun every single year, and being in this race is exciting every single year. So to the ones that come every night, thank you with open arms.

The Orioles are in the midst of a three-game homestand against the first-place Boston Red Sox, a team they trailed by three games entering Monday. Despite the importance of the series, the team drew only 18,456 fans for the first game and 20,387 in the second, according to ESPN.com. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has a capacity of 45,971 fans.

Boston won both games by a score of 5-2 to extend its lead in the American League East, although the Orioles still have control of the second AL Wild Card as of Wednesday.

Attendance issues have been a problem all year long for Baltimore. According to ESPN.com, the squad ranks 20th in the majors with an average of 26,513 fans per game. Interestingly, the Orioles also rank ninth in road attendance.

According to Baseball-Reference.com, Camden Yards has seen a drop of over 2,600 people per game in the past year, which ranks fifth worst in baseball. Of the four teams with sharper declines, three of them (Milwaukee, Minnesota and Cincinnati) are at least 15 games below .500, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have failed to live up to expectations after winning 98 games a year ago.

The Orioles, however, still can’t get fans into the seats despite remaining in contention. 

We’ve fought our tails off for 145 games to put ourselves into a unique situation as of September,” Jones noted.

The question will be whether the fans will hold up their end of the bargain.

   

Follow Rob Goldberg on Twitter.

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David Ortiz Passes Dave Kingman for Most HRs by a Player in His Final Season

Fact: David Ortiz hit his 36th home run of the season in the Boston Red Sox‘s 5-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday, passing Dave Kingman for the most home runs by a player in his final season.

Bleacher Report will be bringing sports fans the most interesting and engaging Cold Hard Fact of the day, presented by Coors Light.

Source: @MLBStatoftheDay

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Updated 2016 MLB Playoff Odds with 2 Weeks Remaining

Roughly two weeks are left in the 2016 MLB regular season, and while the playoff picture is taking shape, there is still a lot to be decided before October.

The American League is home to 10 teams that can call themselves legitimate contenders. The Cleveland Indians and Texas Rangers have a strong hold on their respective division leads and the Boston Red Sox have started to put some ground between themselves and the rest of the AL East.

However, the Baltimore Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays, Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners are all still within striking distance of claiming a wild card spot, with the New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals still holding onto a slim hope as well.

The National League picture is not as congested, with six clubs currently battling it out for five spots. The Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals are locks to claim their respective division crowns, while the Los Angeles Dodgers are a safe bet to be playing in October in some capacity.

Meanwhile, the wild card standings show a three-way tie between the San Francisco Giants, St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets entering play on Wednesday, in what is shaping up to be a thrilling finish.

At any rate, what follows is a look at each club’s chances of reaching the postseason, with the following factors taken into account:

  • Current standings
  • Recent performance
  • Future schedule
  • Injury concerns

So, with the regular season set to wrap up on Oct. 2, here is an updated division-by-division look at the playoff chances of all the remaining contenders from where they stood one week ago.

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