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Stephen Strasburg’s Injury Was Bound

Almost three months ago, Nationals Stadium was filled for one of the only times in its existence. Not because the Nationals were playing well, but because the most sought-after prospect in baseball, Stephen Strasburg, was set to make his debut.

The day was June 8, 2010. The opposing team was the Pittsburgh Pirates. If the uniforms and players faces were unidentifiable, you would have thought that it was Game 7 of the World Series. And with all the excitement, nobody was let down.

Strasburg finished the game after throwing seven innings, and striking out 14 batters while walking none.

Regardless of that electrifying debut, Strasburg was recently diagnosed with a torn ligament in his arm and will likely have Tommy John surgery. Although that procedure has been proven successful, and he has a good chance of returning at full force, this should be a big wake-up call for all organizations.

The day following Strasburg’s debut, I wrote an article foreshadowing the future of

Strasburg’s career as determined by his debut. Here is an excerpt from that article:

“Last night, Strasburg threw 11 pitches at 98 miles per hour, 12 at 99 miles per hour and two at 100 miles per hour…If Strasburg is going to continue throwing at this speed as a starter, he will have arm problems.”

How did I know this? Simple: I made it a priority not to let the excitement blind me of reality. As a New York Yankees fan, I don’t care if the Nationals win or lose, and I have no interest in selling tickets. That objective view allowed me to observe this event through a realistic lens. But looking at the numbers, it is concerning that I was rare in predicting this.

If you look at a breakdown of Strasburg’s pitches this season, you find that over 83 percent of the pitches he threw were either a fastball or a curveball, 58 percent of which were fastballs. Furthermore, the average velocity on his fastball was over 97 miles per hour.

Now, I am not a doctor, but pitching like that cannot be healthy. Not too long ago, my baseball coaches were former baseball players, and they used to tell the pitchers to do two things to avoid soreness in their arms: don’t overthrow, and avoid throwing curveballs. I’m guessing Strasburg missed that practice.

You also would have thought that the Nationals would have wanted to protect their star. However, they allowed him to throw over 90 pitches in eight of his 12 games, and over 95 pitches in six games. That’s not protection if you ask me. The Nationals prolonged this anti-medical pitching mentality, and failed to end it. And now they are paying for it.

As I said, this should be a heads up for all organizations. Selling tickets should not be your primary view, especially considering it could ruin a young kid’s career. Fans should be more hesitant to carve out plaques in Cooperstown, and should instead observe the game objectively. And, more importantly, the fans should teach the coaches to do likewise.

You can e-mail me at jess@jesskcoleman.com or follow me on Twitter @jesskcoleman.

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Done Deal: Top Five Trade Deadline Deals

Some of the biggest difference makers come the playoffs did not start the year with that team. Just think about last years World Series when Cliff Lee mowed down the Yankees in game one. 

In 2010, with many teams on the brink of the playoffs, everyone was looking to improve their team.

Here are the top five deals made at the trade deadline.

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Ivan Nova to Replace Javier Vazquez In Yankees’ Rotation

The Yankees were impressed enough with Ivan Nova’s start Monday night in Toronto that he will replace Javier Vazquez next Sunday at Chicago.

Vazquez, who has an ERA above five, will move to the bullpen and will be available starting Monday. Joe Girardi did not comment about using Nova for more than one more start, and did not say he is prepared to use a six-man rotation.

“I’m disappointed, obviously, but I’m also not doing my job so I understand that part,” Vazquez said. “Last time they put me in the ‘pen, it was only one day, but that one day helped me out a little bit. Hopefully this time it will too.”

The move will also give the Yankees the chance to use Vazquez to shorten Phil Hughes’ starts, due to his innings limit.

Nova, 23, started his first Major League game on Monday night in Toronto. He gave up two runs and six hits in five and a third innings, striking out three batters and walking one. He had a 2.86 ERA in 23 starts in Triple-A this season.

This article is also featured on Examiner.com

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Yankees Game Recap: Curtis Granderson, Derek Jeter, Brett Gardner

The Yankees have just lost the first game of a three-game set to the Blue Jays, 3-2. Here are my thoughts:

Granderson’s AB

One of the turning points in the game was a questionable strikeout call on Curtis Granderson in the top of the ninth inning. The graph shows it wasn’t that close, it was way out of the strike-zone.

Jeter in the clutch

One of the biggest arguments for Derek Jeter is that he is great in the clutch, and one of the biggest arguments against Alex Rodriguez is that he is horrible in the clutch. Well, Jeter’s clutch rating this season is a horrible 0.27, and Rodriguez’s is 0.75. That was made evident by Jeter’s high leverage pop-out in the top of the ninth inning to end the game.

Gardner’s arm

A huge play in the game was when Brett Gardner threw out a runner at the plate after the bases were loaded with nobody out. He saved a run and created a double play, stopping a dismal inning. That was his 10th outfield assist of the season, the second best in the league. For a guy that was once criticized for his bad arm, Gardner is putting up some great numbers.

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Alex Rodriguez: Yankees A-OK Without A-Rod? Not Quite

The Yankees placed Alex Rodriguez on the 15-day disabled list Saturday. The move is looked at as a precautionary one; the Yankees want to make sure that the injury does not turn into a bigger problem as we approach the playoffs.

With a win on Saturday, the Yankees improved to 11-0 when Alex Rodriguez is not in the lineup. They increased their runs per game value without him to 8.2, as opposed to 5 with him.

These statistics are creating a Web wide notion that the Yankees will be just fine without A-Rod. Although these numbers do tell us that winning is possible without Rodriguez, they certainly do not tell the entire story.

Most of games Rodriguez has missed have been against bad teams, which is why the team performs so much better. Eight of the 11 games he has missed have been against teams with a winning percentage below .500. Additionally, he has played in all but one of the Yankees 23 games against the Red Sox and Rays.

There may be a correlation between A-Rod’s presence and the Yankees performance, but it is not a causation. The Yankees perform better when A-Rod is not playing because they are playing worse teams, not because of the fact that A-Rod is not in the lineup.

However, these numbers do prove that the Yankees can win without Rodriguez, making the decision to put him on the disabled list a comfortable one. But come mid September when the Yankees are battling the Rays for the division title, the Yankees best have Rodriguez in the lineup.

You can e-mail me at jess@jesskcoleman.com or follow me on Twitter @jesskcoleman.

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If the Granderson Trade Never Happened…

As the CC Sabathia and the Yankees beat up on Justin Verlander and the Tigers Tuesday night, a very interesting battle occurred within the war. Austin Jackson, an outfielder who was developed in the Yankee system, hit a home run on the first pitch thrown by the Yankees ace, CC Sabathia.

The inning later, Curtis Granderson, who was traded for Jackson, made two sparkling catches. He later followed with a home run.

This series between the Yankees and Tigers presents us with one of the most compelling matchups possible in all of Major League Baseball. Regardless of the beautiful pitching matchup presented on Tuesday between both teams’ aces, former teammates battled on all four corners of the diamond.

I already mentioned Granderson and Jackson, but many others are nearby. Former Yankees reliever Phil Coke also went to the Tigers in the Granderson trade, and Johnny Damon failed to re-sign with the Yankees, landing in Detroit.

Austin Jackson has been the leader of that pack. In his rookie season, he has 133 hits, leading all Major League rookies. And as Yankee fans are quick to compare that to Granderson’s .248 batting average, they fail to look at the other side. What if, for any reason, this trade never happened?

The obvious answer would be that the Yankees would have another quality reliever in Phil Coke, and Jackson’s production would be far superior to that of Granderson. Seems simple if you look at it that way, but a trade of this caliber is never that simple.

As it would have been without Granderson, the Yankees would have had Brett Gardner and Nick Swisher as their outfielders. Would Jackson have filled the role of center fielder?

Probably not. If you recall, the Yankees were on the brink of signing Johnny Damon many times, and the talks only ended when Granderson became a Yankee. If you remove Granderson from the picture, the Yankees would have been much more aggressive in signing Johnny Damon.

The Yankees were never ready to bring Austin Jackson into the Majors. They expected to get an outfielder in the offseason, and Granderson turned out to be the answer. If Granderson turned out not to be the answer, there were many other options over Jackson, the top option being Johnny Damon.

So the first consequence of the trade not happening is that Austin Jackson would not have seen the Major Leagues. Right now, he would probably be ripping it up in Triple-A, and Johnny Damon would be starting in center field.

The deal for Johnny Damon would have likely been a one-year deal, so what would have happened when that ran out? With Granderson, the Yankees have him through 2012, so an outfielder will not be at the top of their shopping list this winter.

But if Johnny Damon was coming off the books, it would be a different story come Christmas. With Carl Crawford hitting the open market, he would have become the Yankees top priority.

Speaking of top priorities, what would have happened with the Yankees current top priority in Cliff Lee?

Cliff Lee would not have been on the radar for the Yankees if the Granderson deal never happened. Phil Coke would have been in the Yankees bullpen, and his ERA of 2.52 would have made the bullpen beyond solid.

Having said that, recall when the Yankees were about to trade for Dan Haren. Joba Chamberlain was in the deal, and the Yankees were very close to giving him up. If Phil Coke had been around to further solidify the bullpen, it would have been very easy for the Yankees to give up Joba for another top starting pitcher.

So Dan Haren is now on the Yankees, Cliff Lee is no longer needed, and Joba Chamberlain is on the Diamondbacks.

If Cliff Lee is no longer needed, what would the Yankees have focused on during the trade deadline? Well, Austin Kearns and Lance Berkman would certainly not be Yankees. But with Johnny Damon as a possible trade piece, the Yankees could have made some very high profile trades. What exactly would those trades have been? That we can’t answer.

So as Yankee fans criticize the trade for Granderson, and wonder what the Yankees would look like with Austin Jackson in the lineup, consider all the consequences. Damon would be back, Dan Haren would be a Yankee, and Joba Chamberlain would not. Next season, Cliff Lee would not be a Yankee, and Carl Crawford would. Austin Kearns and Lance Berkman would not be Yankees, and neither would Austin Jackson. That’s a lot to worry about right there, so let’s just stick with Granderson.

You can e-mail me at jess@jesskcoleman.com or follow me on Twitter @jesskcoleman.

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Johnny Damon Hopes To Stay a Detroit Tiger

In a press conference with media members covering the Yankees, former Yankees outfielder Johnny Damon told reporters that he “hopes [the Tigers] want him back next season.”

“I love it there. The [Tigers’] future is very bright. My experience in Detroit has been great. The team is an up-and-coming team. There are a lot of young kids there who definitely need guidance.”

“If something happened [in Detroit]—a winning ball club, a championship—it would mean the world to the fans there, to that economy, to the owners. That’s why I hope Detroit is the best place for me.”

Damon spoke about the possibility of him being traded before the Aug. 31 trade deadline for players who pass through waivers. He said that even if he is traded, he would still like to return to the Tigers.

Damon, 36, hit 77 home runs with a .285 batting average in four seasons with the Yankees.

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The Yankees’ Future Is Grid-Locked

Remember a couple of months ago when Stephen Strasburg was ready to advance to the majors? The anticipation was as high as ever before. Nationals Stadium was sold out within hours of the announced date of his debut. It seemed as though the world of the Washington Nationals was waiting for the future to thrust upon them.

That is how it works for bad teams. Fans wait and wait and wait for the moment when a prospect is ready to pull the team out of a ditch. Young players spend minimal time in the minors, just brushing up for the moment when they can finally help their team. It is a game of waiting.

But for good teams, it is a different story. The team that goes onto the field everyday is there to stay and there to win. The team in the minors, however, is the one that does the waiting. The players wait for a player above them to get hurt, get traded, or retire. Otherwise, they stay in the minors.

And that is the problem that the New York Yankees face today. The team that they throw out on the field is one of the best—if not the best—combinations of players in the big leagues. There is no need for any help, so players in the minor league system have nothing to do but wait.

Infielders in the Yankee minor league system face the biggest problem. The major league combination of Mark Teixeira, Robinson Cano, Derek Jeter, and Alex Rodriguez is one of the best infields in history. Essentially, if you are an infielder in the New York minor league system, you’re not going to put on pinstripes for a very long time.

That is the problem that players like Eduardo Nuñez and Brandon Laird face right now.

Nuñez, a 23-year-old, switch-hitting shortstop, had a .322 batting average in AA last season. He has a .289 batting average this year, and the Yankees are extremely excited about his talent. But with Jeter, the Yankees all-time hit leader at shortstop, Nuñez better get used to playing in AAA.

Laird, a 22-year-old third baseman, is stuck in the minor league system. He was recently promoted to AAA Scranton/Wilkes Barre, where he is hitting .346 with two home runs in six games. In AA and AAA this year, he has hit a combined 25 home runs. As good as that sounds, it doesn’t beat the 600 career home runs that Rodriguez has at third base for the Yankees. Laird won’t see the majors for a while.

What fate do these players stare in the face? With A-Rod, Cano, and Teixeira locked up for at least another five years, and Jeter likely looking at another four- or five-year deal, these players will not get to see a starting role until their thirties. But don’t expect them, or the Yankees, to wait that long.

Unless these two players can learn to play another position, the Yankees will likely trade them away. Another option would be to have them come into the majors as bench players, but don’t expect the Yankees to do that either.

If New York can’t find a full-time role for Nuñez and Laird, making them bench players can only hurt their trade value—a road the Yankees rather not stare at. Bench players only see minimal time, and typically do not put up eye-opening numbers. Nuñez and Laird will have higher trade value if they continue to tear it up in the minors, rather than having sup-par numbers as replacement players.

So it seems as though being a Yankee prospect is all about timing. Just think about what would have happened to Jeter if Tony Fernandez didn’t get hurt back in 1995. Jeter wouldn’t have played until 1996, and Joe Torre may not have been so confident making him the starting shortstop. That one injury was the difference between Jeter in a Yankees uniform, and Jeter in a Reds uniform (for example).

Presently, the Yankees future is gridlocked. With all the great players on the Yankees every year, young players have to wait for an injury, trade, or retirement to see time in the majors. Barring an injury, Nuñez and Laird, along with many Yankee prospects to come, are going to be traded. As much as it will hurt to see talent fly out the door in an instant, Yankee fans will have to get used to it. I guess winning, too, has a cost.

You can e-mail me at jess@jesskcoleman.com or follow me on Twitter @jesskcoleman.

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An Eventful Sunday Night for the New York Yankees

Sunday night games on ESPN are bound to be a roller coaster ride. Tonight was no exception for the New York Yankees.

It all started when starting pitcher A.J. Burnett was scratched in the third game of a four game set between the Yankees and the Red Sox. Burnett had back spasms and was filled in by the newly acquired Dustin Moseley. Alex Rodriguez, a day after getting hit in the leg by a line drive, was back in the lineup.

It was also a day of the milestones for the Yankees. Derek Jeter hit a single in the second inning, giving him his 2,874th career hit, passing Babe Ruth on the all-time hits list.

Mark Teixeira followed with his 25th home run of the season. That locked up 25 home runs for Teixeira in each of his first eight seasons. He is just the fourth player in Major League Baseball history to accomplish that feat.

Then A-Rod collected his 300th career stolen base, making him the third player to get 600 home runs and 300 stolen bases in his career. 

But the story of the night was still Dustin Moseley. In an emergency start, Moseley pitched 6 1/3 innings, giving up just two runs to the division rival Red Sox. It appears as though Moseley can provide the Yankees with a lot of help in the future.

Through much turmoil and excitement, the Yankees came through with a victory, lengthening their lead in the AL east. That, above all, is enough to satisfy the Yankees.

You can e-mail me at jess@jesskcoleman.com or follow me on Twitter @jesskcoleman.

This article is featured on Examiner.com.

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In-game Updates: Mythbusters, Ortiz’s AB, Swisher’s AB

Mythbusters: Lance Berkman w/ two strikes

FOX broadcaster Tim McCarver took it upon himself to call Lance Berkman a “good two strike hitter” after he walked against Red Sox starting pitcher John Lackey. The stats, however, show that Berkman is not a bad two strike hitter, but certainly not a good two strike hitter.

Berkman with two-strikes (career): .193 BA

Ortiz’s AB

In the top of the third inning, CC Sabathia struck out David Ortiz on a questionable pitch. Home plate umpire Jerry Lane rang up Ortiz, which prompted an argument. As always, the PitchFX tool will settle the argument.

Looks as though Ortiz was correct.

Swisher’s AB

Another questionable call in the bottom of the third on a strikeout to Nick Swisher. He, too, argued, and Joe Girardi came out of the dugout to argue as well.

This is very close. As the rule book says, “if any part of the ball touches any part of the strikezone,” the pitch is a strike. In this case, the ball did touch the strike-zone slightly, making it a strike.

 

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