Tag: 2014 MLB Playoffs

MLB Playoffs 2014: Viewing Information and Predictions for Both Wild Card Games

The 2014 MLB playoffs begin for 10 teams on Tuesday, but that number will be reduced to eight by Wednesday evening. The Oakland Athletics are set to take on the Kansas City Royals, and the San Francisco Giants meet the Pittsburgh Pirates in single-elimination contests to determine which two teams will move on to the best-of-five Division Series.

The Athletics and Royals have met seven times this season (all in August), with Kansas City emerging victorious in five of those contests. The Giants and Pirates have faced off six times in 2014, with Pittsburgh taking four wins. Will we see those trends continue in the postseason?

With each team’s ace set to take the mound in these win-or-go-home clashes, we’re certainly in for some compelling baseball. As we await the onset of this year’s Wild Card contests, here’s a look at all of the pertinent viewing information, followed by predictions for each.

 

Viewing Information

 

Predictions

Athletics vs. Royals

When talking about a powerhouse team at the plate, chances are that conversation isn’t about the Royals. Ranked 14th in the league in runs, 16th in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging percentage, this isn’t exactly an offensive juggernaut.

But what Kansas City lacks in power, it makes up for in efficiency. The team’s batting average is .263, and it leads the league in stolen bases with 153. The Royals will need to continue playing small ball and manufacturing runs to win against the likes of Jon Lester.

MLB gives a good look at the lefty here:

Oakland’s offense has been in a huge slump since trading away Yoenis Cespedes in a deal which gave them their new ace. Despite a slacking offense, Lester came up huge for the Athletics, dropping his ERA to 2.35—it was 2.52 in Boston. He’s had success in the postseason, and he’s exactly who Oakland will want on the mound in an elimination game.

Lester allowed three runs to the Royals on two occasions this season and shut them out once. Expect him to be in top form on Tuesday, as he propels his team into October with another brilliant showing on the mound.

Prediction: Athletics 4, Royals 2

 

Giants vs. Pirates

The Pirates are projected to go with the hot hand on Wednesday, as Edinson Volquez will be sent to the mound. Volquez finished the 2014 season with a career-low 3.04 ERA, but even more impressively, he’s only allowed one earned run in his last 21 innings pitched.

Pittsburgh hasn’t been sluggish at the plate this season, either. The team finished 2014 ranked 10th in runs, fifth in batting average, third in on-base percentage and seventh in slugging percentage. The Pirates have a great mix of power with Andrew McCutchen and Neil Walker, along with the efficiency and speed of Starling Marte.

Here’s a look at how clutch McCutchen is for Pittsburgh, via ESPN Stats & Info:

Madison Bumgarner should take the mound for San Francisco in an effort to quell the Pittsburgh offense. Jake Peavy was another option, but it’s clear why the southpaw got the nod: he’s produced wins in six of his last seven starts.

Bumgarner will need some help on the offensive end to get past a Pittsburgh team that can put up some runs. This could be a slight issue without Angel Pagan in the fold, and the team will need a big performance from Buster Posey. We’re sure in for a close contest here, and the Giants are a good road team, but home-field advantage will be the final difference-maker in this one.

Prediction: Pirates 6, Giants 5

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29 Mishaps That Defined the Royals’ 29-Year Postseason Drought

The Kansas City Royals have waited quite a while for this—29 years, to be exact—but at long, long, looooong last, they’re returning to the postseason.

With their 3-1 victory over the Chicago White Sox on Friday night, the Royals clinched a playoff berth for the first time since—c’mon, you can do the math!—1985. Finally.

Folks, that’s an eternity in the sports world, as Sam Mellinger of The Kansas City Star reminds:

That’s the longest drought in North American sports, and longer than many of the players on this [Royals] team have been alive. Salvador Perez, the Royals’ two-time All-Star catcher, was born five years after the 1985 World Series.

Read more here: http://www.kansascity.com/sports/spt-colu

Heck, it’s an eternity in the real world, too. To put things in context, back in October 1985, Ronald Reagan was president, the No. 1 song on the charts was “Money for Nothing” by Dire Straits and the highest-grossing film at the box office was Back to the Future, starring Michael J. Fox.

“It’s been a long time. It’s been a challenging road,” general manager Dayton Moore said to Ben Reiter of Sports Illustrated in the Aug. 25 issue. Talk about an understatement. Then again, Moore has been in the organization only since 2006.

It’s taken the Royals 29 years to make it back to the playoffs—to paraphrase Doc Brown: “Great freakin‘ Scott!”—but the last time they were there, they won it all. So who knows?

While a good amount went right this year for Kansas City to put an end to this unfathomably long rut, clearly a lot more went a whole lot wronger to keep it going as long as it did.

What follows is a rundown of 29 mishaps—various flops, follies and faux pas—that helped define the Royals’ nearly three full decades worth of regular-season futility. There are more out there, we just liked these best.

1. The Royals have become notorious for many things, but one that sticks out is the club’s consistent lack of power throughout its history. Even this season, K.C. ranks dead last in homers—by quite a bit, too.

In 1985, though, slugging first baseman Steve “Bye Bye” Balboni smacked his 36th and final home run on the third-to-last day of the season. Alas, that total remains in the Royals’ record books as the most by any player in a single season—and the lowest by any MLB franchise ever.

2. Trading away promising or even productive young players became a staple of the Royals during this period. No one better embodies that than David Cone, a third-round selection by Kansas City in 1981 who actually was born in the city, too.

Well, despite all that, the club traded the right-hander not once but twice. The first swap came in 1987 when he and Chris Jelic were sent to the New York Mets for catcher Ed Hearn and pitchers Rick Anderson and Mauro Gozzo, none of whom amounted to anything in the majors.

The second time the Royals traded Cone came in 1995, two seasons after he’d re-signed with the franchise as a free agent. The Toronto Blue Jays sent future utility man Chris Stynes along with infielder Tony Medrano and pitcher David Sinnes, the latter two of which never even reached the majors.

Cone, of course, wound up winning 194 games in his 17-year career, and he pitched in 21 postseason games across eight different Octobers with the Mets, Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, going 8-3. All told, he won five titles.

3. One of the most exciting players in not one but two sports in the 1980s, Bo Jackson was both an All-Pro running back for the Los Angeles Raiders and an All-Star outfielder for the Royals.

Having hit a memorable leadoff homer and winning MVP of the 1989 All-Star Game, his baseball career was just starting to take off when he suffered a career-threatening hip injury in January 1991—while playing in an NFL game. Making matters worse for the Royals, it was a Raiders playoff game, too.

“Four days before I had the hip injury,” Jackson told ESPN in 2012 (h/t Silver and Black Pride), “my wife and I sat down and talked about my sports career and I was planning on announcing my retirement from football that season…I swear to you.”

Just 28 years old at the time, Jackson was never the same and eventually required hip-replacement surgery. Sure, he wound up coming back to baseball, but it wasn‘t with the Royals—and he wasn‘t the same Bo.

4. In 1989, K.C. went 92-70, winning the third-most games in all of baseball but still fell short of October, because the eventual-champion Oakland Athletics won the AL West with a 99-63 mark. Back then, there were just four divisions and only the division winners made it to October.

5. Another regrettable trade of a top pitcher to the Mets, this one from 1991: Right-hander Bret Saberhagen, who had won two Cy Young Awards with the Royals in 1985 and 1989, was jettisoned with Bill Pecota (yes, that Bill Pecota) for a package of an aging Kevin McReynolds, fringe utilityman Keith Miller and one-time top prospect Gregg Jefferies.

Jefferies, the No. 20 overall pick in 1985 (there’s that year again!), would play only one season in Kansas City before being dealt to the St. Louis Cardinals for Felix Jose and Craig Wilson.

Injuries plagued Sabes as a Met, but he also set an MLB record with an 11-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio (broken this year by Phil Hughes) and finished third in the 1994 Cy Young voting while in New York.

6. The entire organization became more or less rudderless in the early 1990s. In ’90, GM John Schuerholz, who had built the successful squads of the previous decade, left to take over decision-making duties with the Atlanta Braves, who went on to be one of the consistently great teams of the ’90s.

Then in 1993, franchise founder and owner Ewing Kauffman died—the stadium was named in his honor a month before his passing—and the Royals were turned over to a trust, to be run by a board of directors for seven years until Wal-Mart honcho David Glass bought the team in 2000.

“We didn’t have an owner for seven years,” longtime Royals scout Art Stewart said to Harvey Araton of The New York Times in 2012. “That’s what killed us.”

7. Simultaneously hilarious and dangerous, perhaps the best word to describe this April 1993 tirade by manager Hal McRae is infamous:

8. The 1994 players’ strike came at a bad time for the sport as a whole, but it was especially ill-timed for the Royals, who won 14 consecutive games—the second-longest streak in franchise history—from July 23 through Aug. 5 to climb back into the AL Central race.

K.C. was 64-51 and only four games out of first when the season was canceled and would have had six more weeks to try to run down Chicago White Sox and get to October. If that had happened, almost an entire decade would have been wiped off the 29-year drought. Instead, the Royals went on to eight straight losing seasons starting with 1995.

9. Tony Muser became Kansas City’s manager in 1997, but he took an awfully circuitous route to get there.

A big league first baseman in the 1970s, Muser went on to become the third base coach of the Milwaukee Brewers in 1985. He was in line to become the club’s manager, succeeding George Bamberger, when a scary gas explosion in the Brewers clubhouse during 1986 spring training injured him so badly that he nearly lost his life and missed the entire season.

“When I opened the door, Muser was on fire,” Brewers public relations director Tom Skibosh said via The Associated Press in the aftermath of a blaze that injured 10.

So third base coach Tom Trebelhorn took over late in ’86 and stayed on the bench for five more years, while Muser returned as the hitting coach through 1989. At that point, though, he was sent to the minors to manage Milwaukee’s Triple-A affiliate. From there, Muser joined the Chicago Cubs as hitting coach until 1997. That’s when he was named K.C.’s manager midway through the season, taking over for Bob Boone.

All in all, after Muser lost out on the Brewers job because of a freak accident, it took him more than a decade to land his first MLB managerial gig—and it came with the Royals, who wound up going 317-431 (.424) in his six-year tenure.

Oh, and when the team fired—er, dismissed—him after an 8-15 start in 2002, Muser found out from a reporter first. Poor guy.

10. While on the topic of managers, it’s worth noting here that since last reaching October the Royals have used three different managers in a single season—on three different occasions:

Sure, there were some interims in there, but the above typifies the general lack of cohesion in the clubhouse over an extended period of time.

11. Here’s the great Joe Posnanski, a former Kansas City Star columnist and general Royals apologist/sufferer, on Kansas City’s 77-85 2000 season, which was the first of new GM Allard Baird—and right before things would go from bad to worse in the early part of the aughts:

The Royals pulled off a rather remarkable feat in 2000, something I did not realize in the time:

They led the league in hitting but had a below league-average on-base percentage.

I bolded and italicized that little factoid because it had not happened in the league since 1961, and in many ways I think that sentence perfectly reflects the Kansas City Royals of the 2000s. They were always aiming for the wrong thing. The 2000s decade in baseball may be remembered for our emerging sense of performance enhancing drugs and also for the statistical revolution that, in many ways, changed the way the game was observed, scouted and played. The Royals throughout the decade always would seem one step behind the times. And so, it’s appropriate that the Royals entered their decade of doom leading the league in a category that SEEMED important—batting average—but eighth in the category that WAS important, on-base percentage.

12. Mark Quinn was the very epitome of the Royals’ utter lack of attention to OBP around this time.

A year after finishing third in the 2000 Rookie of the Year voting, Quinn went an astonishing 60 straight games—and 241 plate appearances—without registering a single (unintentional) walk. His streak became so well known that when he finally did take a free pass, on Aug. 30, 2001, the team celebrated by setting off fireworks.

Here’s an account of the occasion from Ken Corbitt of the Topeka Capital-Journal:

As Quinn trotted to first base, the sparse crowd of 12,159 gave him a standing ovation and fireworks—normally reserved for a home run—were set off.

‘It was all in good fun,’ Quinn said. ‘I’m glad to get that monkey off my back. Now everybody can find something else to blow up and make a big deal out of.’

13. Johnny Damon pretty much was the Kansas City Royals in the mid-to-late-1990s. But just as he was about to get expensive while approaching free agency, the club traded him to the Athletics as part of a three-team swap also involving the Tampa Bay Rays in the offseason before the 2001 campaign.

The return? Try closer Roberto Hernandez, catcher A.J. Hinch and shortstop prospect Angel Berroa. Damon, you might remember, finished his career with more than 2,700 hits, 1,600 runs and 400 stolen bases—and helped the Boston Red Sox end the 86-year Curse of the Bambino in 2004.

14. Speaking of Berroa, now is a good time to revisit the three Royals who won Rookie of the Year during this span. That should be a good thing, right? Well, each instance turned out poorly for K.C.

Pudgy, bespectacled designated hitter Bob Hamelin (.282 BA, 24 HR, 65 RBI) won the award in 1994, followed by outfielder Carlos Beltran (.293 BA, 22 HR, 108 RBI, 27 SB) in 1999 and then Berroa (.287 BA, 92 R, 17 HR, 21 SB) in 2003.

Thing is, both Hamelin and Berroa‘s first-year performances were fluky, and each would be demoted to the minors the very season after they earned Rookie of the Year. Hamelin eventually called it quits in the dugout during a Triple-A game in 1997, and Berroa returned to the majors but put up the lowest on-base and slugging percentage in the sport in 2006.

While Beltran was a true star-in-the-making, well…

15. …he became yet another stud the Royals traded away in his prime.

In June 2004, Beltran was a 27-year-old switch-hitting center fielder—just about the most valuable commodity there is—and Kansas City unloaded him to the Houston Astros for a package of infielder Mark Teahen, catcher John Buck and pitcher Mike Wood. Oh, and cash.

In his half-season with the ‘Stros, Beltran went bonkers, launching 23 homers, swiping 28 bases and scoring 70 runs in only 90 games. That propelled them to the playoffs, where he hit .435 and established a new record with eight homers in a single postseason before Houston bowed out in the NLCS.

As fate would have it, Beltran became one of the best October performers in MLB history—while Royals fans were left merely to wonder “What if…”

16. Let’s just go ahead and polish off here the bad trades K.C. made involving what had been a young, dynamic outfield core that was one of the finest around and together from 1998 through 2000. Damon and Beltran have been covered, so that leaves Jermaine Dye, who actually was the second of the three to go.

When it came time to unload Dye in July 2001 before (you guessed it) his salary got too steep, the Royals shipped him out and all they received for a 27-year-old who was an All-Star and Gold Glove winner in 2000 was…shortstop Neifi Perez.

For realz, Allard Baird? Like, the same Neifi Perez who in 2002 posted the second-worst season* (based on FanGraphs‘ wins above replacement) by any player since 1933?

Between the trades involving Damon, Dye and Beltran—all of which happened between January 2001 and June 2004—the Royals proved they were really, really good at giving away productive, in-their-prime talent and getting next to nothing in return.

*The player with the lowest WAR post-1933? That would be none other than outfielder-slash-headcase Jose Guillen, on whom the Royals would choose to make one of their rare free-agent splurges at the price of $36 million in December 2007—10 years after his -3.1 WAR 1997.

17. Beyond their problems with trades, the Royals were pretty inept (or at least, unlucky) when it came to the draft, too.

While they eventually figured things out enough to rank as the No. 1 farm system in baseball in 2011, according to Baseball America, here’s a rundown of their top picks from 1993 (the year after Damon) through 2001 (the year before Zack Greinke) and how they fared—or you know, didn‘t:

Another way to look at that crop? “Combined, they acquired 36 wins and 190 hits in the major leagues,” as Chris Rasmussen of Kansas City’s The Pitch puts it.

However you want to put it, that is almost impossibly bad.

18. “And with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2006 draft, the Kansas City Royals select…Luke Hochevar.”

As bad as the club’s top draft picks from 1993-2001 were, perhaps the biggest bust (or misfire) came in ’06, when the Royals owned the top choice for the only time in franchise history—and didn‘t even have a GM at the time they made the selection.

Baird had just been fired at the end of May, and while an agreement was in place to make Moore (then an assistant with Atlanta) the new GM, he stayed on with the Braves to help them through the draft. And so the Royals were left with interim Muzzy Jackson to call the shots before Moore took over on June 8—after all the picking had been done.

What’s crazy is that the ’06 draft turned out to be one of the best since the turn of the century, so it was a tough one to whiff on, even sans GM. Here’s a rundown of five players who went in Round 1 that the Royals passed on:

By comparison, Hochevar (currently out with Tommy John surgery) has accumulated 2.5 WAR in his seven seasons with K.C. Making matters worse, the big right-hander had been the Dodgers‘ first pick the season before, but Hochevar failed to sign and headed to independent ball for a year, thus teeing up the bust for the Royals.

19. After having never lost 100 games in a season in franchise history from 1969 through 2001, the Royals wound up with—count ’em—four triple-digit-loss seasons in five years from 2002 through 2006.

(Hey, we told you earlier it was going to go from bad to worse.)

20. As for that 2003 team that managed to avoid the 100-loss distinction, it wasn‘t anywhere near as bad as the others during that five-year stretch, but it was more disappointing.

Managed by former big league catcher Tony Pena in his first full season as a skipper, K.C. surprised everyone by winning its first nine games to open the year and 16 of its first 19.

Alas, that only served to up the excitement and raise expectations that ultimately would crash when the Royals entered the All-Star break with a seven-game lead in the AL Central—only to watch it evaporate by Aug. 1, just two weeks later.

21. A bizarre—and extremely scary—incident occurred in a game between the Royals and White Sox on Sept. 19, 2002, at Comiskey Park when two bare-chested fans ran onto the field and attacked Kansas City first base coach Tom Gamboa.

”I had my hands on my hips, and I was looking at the next batter,” Gamboa said afterward via the The New York Times. ”I felt like a football team had hit me from behind. Next thing I knew, I’m on the ground trying to defend myself.”

The Royals bench quickly emptied to come to Gamboa‘s aide as he tried to fight off his attackers, William Ligue Jr. and his son, William III, who was only 15 at the time. The two were arrested.

22. As noted earlier, the Royals are a small-market organization, so they only have so many financial bullets to fire. In 2004, they wasted one by inking Juan Gonzalez for $4.5 million.

OK, so it wasn‘t a ton of money to spend on a former two-time MVP coming off a 24-homer, 70-RBI half-season with the Texas Rangers, but it was a big gamble on a 34-year-old who had played just 152 games the previous two years.

Unsurprisingly, Juan Gone just couldn’t get or stay healthy. He was initially considered day-to-day after straining his back early on, only to wind up going—and staying—on the disabled list.

He played his final game for K.C. on May 21, so the Royals got all of five homers, 17 RBI and 33 games—and a bad back—for their $4 million.

23. Ken Harvey was a fifth-round pick by the Royals in 1999 who split his four seasons in Kansas City between first base and designated hitter. Given his defensive ability (or lack thereof), the team should have just kept him at DH.

Then again, that would have deprived us of Harvey’s various misadventures in the field from 2003 through 2005, including the time he was hit in the back by a relay throw from right field to home plate because he was in a crouch watching the runner come in from third.

Or this dandy:

24. In 2005, the Royals endured a seemingly ceaseless 19-game losing streak that is the longest in the team’s 46 seasons, as well the longest in the majors since the wild-card era began in 1995.

When the slide began, on July 28, Kansas City was 38-64, and when it ended on Aug. 20—more than three full weeks later!—the club was 39-82.

During the course of what was already a tough time, the Royals suffered through a particularly brutal three games from Aug. 6-9 in which they lost 16-1 and 11-0 to the Athletics and then blew a 7-2 ninth-inning lead against the Cleveland Indians by allowing 11 runs and ultimately falling 13-7.

Sheesh, no wonder it wound up being the worst season in franchise history.

25. Merely four years apart, two of Kansas City’s prized young pitchers, Zack Greinke and Danny Duffy, briefly stepped away from baseball and contemplated quitting the game.

Greinke, the team’s top pick in 2002, left spring training in 2006 to deal with his anxiety and bouts with depression. Meanwhile, a third-rounder in 2007, Duffy also walked away during spring training in 2010 after suffering an elbow injury that was expected to keep him out until that May.

Fortunately for the Royals, both pitchers found their way back to the club and have had success since, including Greinke‘s Cy Young season in 2009 and Duffy’s rotation-best 2.32 ERA this season.

26. The seasons of 2009 and 2010 were unofficially known as the “Yuni Years”—as in Yuniesky Betancourt, the awful shortstop whose ineptitude served as a muse of sorts for Posnanski.

Yet, somehow Betancourt, despite the worst WAR (-1.8) in MLB over those two years, convinced K.C.’s coaching staff that he was worth starting at short for 221 games.

Even better, after trading him to the Brewers in December 2010, the Royals’ decision-makers actually (gasp) brought him back for another go in 2012! His lifetime triple-slash line for Kansas City finished at .248/.276/.395—you know, provided the team doesn’t think a third time will be the charm.

27. When Gil Meche, dealing with a right-shoulder injury, chose to retire in January 2011 and forfeit the final year of his five-year, $55 million contract—which called for $12 million—it was an honorable decision but also an odd one. Odd, not as in bad but unusual, as Tyler Kepner of the The New York Times wrote:

When I signed my contract, my main goal was to earn it. Once I started to realize I wasn’t earning my money, I felt bad. I was making a crazy amount of money for not even pitching. Honestly, I didn’t feel like I deserved it. I didn’t want to have those feelings again…

This isn’t about being a hero—that’s not even close to what it’s about. It’s just me getting back to a point in my life where I’m comfortable. Making that amount of money from a team that’s already given me over $40 million for my life and for my kids, it just wasn’t the right thing to do.

After leading the AL with back-to-back 34-start seasons in his first two years with Kansas City, Meche managed just 32 across 2009-10 before he hung ’em up. And repaid the Royals.

28. May 16, 2011, really wasn‘t Vin Mazzaro‘s day. Like, really, really wasn‘t his day.

The right-hander came into a game against the Indians to start the third inning, but he didn‘t provide a lick of relief, registering the following line: 2.1 innings, 11 hits, 3 walks and 14 runs. Yes: F-O-U-R-T-E-E-N.

Here’s the recap of the wreckage from Dick Kaegel of MLB.com:

According to the Elias Sports Bureau, Mazzaro is the first pitcher since 1900 to give up 14 or more runs in fewer than three innings.

According to SABR, the last pitcher to allow 14-plus runs in fewer than three innings was Ed Doheny of the New York Giants on June 29, 1899. Doheny was rocked for 17 runs in 2 2/3 innings.

Mazzaro also established a Royals record for most runs given up by a pitcher in one game. The previous mark was 11, by Brian Bannister on June 12, 2010, at Cincinnati; Luke Hudson on Aug. 13, 2006, at Cleveland; and Zack Greinke on June 10, 2005, at Arizona.

29. Remember when we said we were done with the all-too-frequent trades involving the Royals jettisoning in-their-prime outfielders for nada? Yeah, we lied.

Looking to solidify a shaky rotation prior to the 2012 season, the Royals traded 27-year-old Melky Cabrera—coming off a breakout 2011 in which he hit .305 with 102 runs, 18 homers, 87 RBI and 20 steals—to the San Francisco Giants for pitchers Jonathan Sanchez and Ryan Verdugo.

Well, Verdugo made one horrible start in ’12, giving up six runs on eight hits in 1.2 innings in what has been his only big league outing to date.

And Sanchez, who actually had a decent track record of success but was also wildly inconsistent, flamed out so fast (7.76 ERA, 2.04 WHIP in 12 starts) that K.C. flipped him to the Colorado Rockies by that July.

Meanwhile, Cabrera followed up his big ’11 with an even bigger (albeit tainted) 2012, becoming an All-Star that summer and winning MVP honors of that game*, which just so happened to be played in—you guessed it—Kansas City.

*One of the unfortunate lasting memories from the 2012 All-Star festivities was the incessant booing of the Yankees’ Robinson Cano by Royals fans during the Home Run Derby because, as captain of the AL side, he didn‘t pick Billy Butler.

What started out as a silly act pretty quickly turned obnoxious and even a little vitriolic—at a time when the entire baseball-watching world was focused on Kansas City. Fueling the fervor was the fact that Cano, who had won the derby the previous year with his father pitching to him, went without a long ball.

Since that event, the “slugging” Butler has hit exactly 37 homers: 13 in the second half of 2012, 15 in 2013 and nine this year. Maybe Cano was right after all.

As bad, frustrating and embarrassing as these 29 mishaps have been over the past 29 years, they’re a little less so for the Royals and their fans, now that the team finally has made it back to October.

And who knows, if the Royals pull off some postseason miracle and win it all—just like they did in 1985—everyone will look back on these and laugh.

Not that some don’t elicit a chuckle already, anyway.

 

Statistics are accurate through Sept. 26 and are courtesy of MLB.comBaseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs, unless otherwise noted.

To talk baseball or fantasy baseball, check in with me on Twitter: @JayCat11

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Key X-Factors Who Will Decide Which Teams Clinch MLB’s Final 2014 Playoff Spots

We’ve reached the final week of the 2014 MLB season, and there are still five postseason spots up for grabs heading into Tuesday’s slate of games.

The National League field is essentially set, with the Milwaukee Brewers all but eliminated at five games back in the wild-card standings. The big question is who will host the Wild Card Round game, as the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates are currently tied atop the standings.

Those teams could still conceivably catch the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals to win their division titles, but at this point it looks like they’ll be battling it out for a spot in the NLDS.

The American League picture is a bit cloudier, especially with the Cleveland Indians making a late-season push for the No. 2 wild-card spot.

The Oakland Athletics currently hold a one-game lead over the Kansas City Royals in the wild-card standings, with the Seattle Mariners (two games back) and Indians (3.5 game back) on the outside looking in for a playoff berth. The Royals are also just a game behind the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central standings, so a division title is well within reach.

One way or another, only three teams are going to emerge from that group of five, and these next few days are what September baseball is all about.

So to recap, there are currently seven teams, two NL and five AL, that are legitimately still in the hunt for what boils down to five postseason spots.

With that in mind, what follows is a look at the biggest X-factor for each of those clubs that will determine whether they punch their tickets to the playoffs before the week is over.

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Choke Odds for All MLB Teams Still Battling for 2014 MLB Playoff Spots

There’s less than a week left in the regular season, but there are still plenty of 2014 MLB playoff spots up for grabs.

The Detroit Tigers and the underwhelming David Price have lots of work to do before they can take home the American League Central title, while the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers have also yet to lock up their respective divisions. 

In the AL wild-card chase, the Seattle Mariners are on the verge of being left out of the picture, and over in the NL, the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants are battling for the top spot.

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Ranking Top 7 MLB Contenders by Who’s Best Built for the Playoffs

Regular-season success and postseason success are often two different things in Major League Baseball, as some teams are simply better built for postseason success.

The article ahead offers an in-depth look at the seven teams best built to win in October.

The following areas carried the most weight when it came to ranking the teams:

  • Projected rotation: Pitching wins championships, and it carried the most weight here. For a team to be a serious contender, it really needs to have an ace it can lean on atop the staff, two more plus starters and a passable No. 4 who is capable of turning in a quality start.
  • Late-inning relief: Teams generally lean heavily on three or four bullpen arms once the playoffs roll around, so while a team does not necessarily have to have a phenomenal bullpen top to bottom, it does need a handful of arms it can count on.
  • Offensive firepower: A team can get by with an average offense if it has strong pitching and is capable of coming up with clutch hits. Again, pitching wins championships, but having a high-powered offense certainly doesn’t hurt any.

Those three factors were examined for each team considered to be a contender at this point in the season, and the following is a ranking of the seven teams best built for playoff success.

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3 MLB Playoff Contenders Headed for September Collapses

We have officially hit crunch time in the 2014 MLB season, as the month of August comes to a close and teams have roughly 30 games left to secure a spot in the postseason.

In the National League, seven teams still boast a winning record, and the Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds are hanging on the fringe of contention as well.

Over in the American League, things are much more jumbled as nine teams are above .500, and two division races, the AL Central and West, are as separated by fewer than two games. The stacked AL West makes things interesting. The No. 2 team in that division—whether it’s the Angels or A’s—appears to be a lock for the No. 2 wild-card spot, leaving the rest of the pack battling it out for one slot.

As we take a close look at each contender’s remaining schedules, as well as their recent performances both on a team and individual level, it’s clear that there are a few clubs that are headed for rough waters.

Here are the three MLB playoff contenders walking into September collapses.

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Handicapping AL’s Hotly Contested Wild-Card Race with 1 Month Left

This is exactly how Bud Selig and Major League Baseball drew it up three years ago.

With the second wild-card spot, the number of viable postseason competitors increases and more teams remain in the hunt for longer. As the summer concludes and October quickly approaches, the drama spikes.

Each team now has 30 games or fewer to do one of a few things: catch their respective division leader and avoid the play-in game, hang on to their wild-card hold or chase down that second and final spot.

In each American League division, less than 10 games separate the top three teams; in the Central and West, two games or less separate the second-place team from the first; in the race for the second wild-card spot alone, six teams are realistically within striking distance at eight games or less.

With the likes of the Angels and Athletics nearly certain to grab the AL West crown and first wild-card spot—barring a Toronto-like meltdown over the next few weeks—we’re left with a few burning questions: Is this just a two-horse race for the second spot between the Mariners and Tigers? Can the Indians and Blue Jays, both hanging around, make a run in September? And are we buying or selling the Yankees?

Based on recent performance, statistical trends and strength of the remaining schedules, we’ll break down the current wild-card competitors and get into handicapping this exciting—or stressful, depending who you are—final month of baseball. 

 

Secured of a Spot?

*Inflated odds for Athletics reflect likelihood of winning either AL West OR one of two wild-card spots.

Athletics: 1-14

The next three days may dictate the most where the Athletics’ odds shift for the final month, though they currently sit on the largest cushion of any team in the wild-card race. They’re not a lock to make the postseason, but the odds are in their favor with three conceivable routes in—steal the division, secure the first spot, hang on to the second, at worst.

(FanGraphs, for instance, while setting Detroit’s postseason odds at 73.8 percent, places Oakland’s at 99.4.)

On Thursday, Oakland dropped the first of a four-game set in Anaheim against the division-leading Angels, who are now two games up after walking off in the 10th. But as it stands entering Friday, the A’s still remain more than five games up on Detroit in the first wild-card spot.

Perhaps surprisingly for some, it won’t be Oakland’s pitching that gets it into October—or that even keeps it there. The story on the A’s typically highlights the rotation—especially after Billy Beane came away with Jeff Samardzija and Jon Lester prior to the trade deadline. But outside of the third-lowest ERA in the AL this season, Oakland starters haven’t been remarkable.

In the AL, the A’s have just the sixth-best BB/9, seventh-best K/9 and FIP, 10th HR/9 and 13th WAR. Since the All-Star break, they’ve actually ranked worse in all the same categories, with only the Red Sox compiling a lower WAR.

The Oakland offense, on the other hand, trails only the Angels among AL teams in WAR, is second only to the Tigers in OBP, third in wRC+, fourth in wOBA and ISO and sixth in slugging. Only one AL team (Yankees) has a lower SwStr (swinging strike) percentage, and a few batted-ball metrics tell us another interesting facet of this Beane-constructed offense: The A’s keep the ball off the ground; they have the lowest ground-ball rate and ground-ball per fly-ball rate in the AL—and the margin is significant.

But do the A’s have enough firepower without Yoenis Cespedes? In the month of August (his last game for the A’s was July 30), the A’s are still top six in the AL in HR, ISO and WAR. But here’s the sign the A’s could slip: This month, in which they’ve gone just 12-14, their average is an AL-worst .231 (.251 in the first half; .249 on the year), and their ranks of 10th and 11th in wOBA and slugging are significantly off the full season, over which they rank fourth and sixth in those categories.

If there’s one auspicious takeaway for Oakland this final month, it’s that it plays the greatest number of games against sub-.500 teams of any wild-card competitors; on the season, the A’s have beaten up on such teams. Only the Angels’ 46-14 record against sub-.500 clubs is better than Oakland’s 38-20.

 

Race for the Second Wild Card

*Odds reflect winning a wild-card spot.

Tigers: 3-2

The AL Central-leading Royals lost in the 10th Thursday night, meaning that the second-place Tigers are now just 1.5 games back and more than capable of stealing the division and avoiding the wild card altogether. They don’t get to face the Mariners again—they’re behind in head-to-head games at 2-4 against them on the year—though they have six remaining against Kansas City. 

When they visited Yankee Stadium for four games back on August 4, they marched out their marquee men—Max Scherzer, David Price, Justin Verlander and Rick Porcello—yet came away with just one victory. They exhaled and redeemed themselves this week, taking two of three from New York at home, capped off by a walk-off win Thursday.

The doubts of late, if any, center on the pitching staff. Anibal Sanchez has been on the disabled list since August 9 and is worried he may miss the rest of the season, per MLive’s James Schmehl (h/t CBSSports.com’s Dayn Perry). Since the All-Star break, Verlander’s spun his wheels at 3-3 with a 4.58, only totaling 35.1 innings, and Price has faltered around his eight-inning, one-hit performance in Tampa, going 1-2 with a 4.41; he was also roughed up on Wednesday.

As for Detroit’s struggles in the win column—going 14-16 in its last 30—its pitching can’t be solely to blame. Over that span, Tigers pitching has posted the sixth-highest WAR in the AL, per FanGraphs. And on the year, Tigers starters lead the AL in wins, WAR and fewest home runs per nine. They’re also second in FIP and walks per nine and eighth in ERA in 2014.

The offense has held up—if not excelled—all year: Among AL teams, Detroit is still first in average, OBP, slugging and wOBA and second in wRC+ and RBI.

It’s definitely not time to worry despite playing .500 ball at the moment, and the best news for the Tigers’ final push comes in the final seven days—should it come down to that. They play solely against sub.-500 clubs, with three against the White Sox (60-73) and four against the last-place Twins (59-74).

 

Mariners: 2-1

The Mariners haven’t reached the postseason since 2001, but they’re putting together a memorable season in 2014. After finishing 71-91 last season, Seattle sits at a cool 72-60, tied with Detroit in the win-loss column and ahead on head-to-head games for the final wild-card spot entering play Friday.

Of any of these wild-card contenders, the Mariners have been the hottest of late, winners of 19 of their last 30 and 14 of their last 20. For a reference point of Seattle’s tear, the ballclub was just three games over .500 on August 1.

Similarly to Detroit, Seattle’s pitching has been there all year long, leading the league in ERA and HR/9, second in WAR and FIP and fifth in K/9, BB/9 and wins. Mariners closer Fernando Rodney’s 38 saves are second in the AL only to the Royals’ Greg Holland, and Seattle relievers lead the AL in ERA, FIP and WAR.

If there’s any noticeable trend that might hurt them in the race with Detroit down the stretch, it’s a weaker offense. Obscuring that picture is their red-hot month of August, in which they’ve been fourth among AL teams in WAR, third in wRC+ and fourth in wOBA.

But even with second baseman Robinson Cano the third-most valuable player in the AL, via WAR, Seattle’s offense ranks just 10th of 15 AL teams in WAR, 13th in wRC+ and dead last in wOBA on the year.

It helps that 10 of their final games come against the last-place Rangers (52-81) and lowly Astros (57-78). In short, if the M’s can stay hot, nothing is secured for Detroit.

 

Yankees: 5-1

The Yankees could not be hotter and colder in 2014. They’re the living, breathing, baseball image of one step forward, two steps back.

Last week, New York dropped its first two against Houston before Shawn Kelley wore a horse’s head and the team went on a five-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 27-11. Heading into the most recent series in Detroit, the Yanks were seven games over .500 and just 2.5 games out of the second wild card. Then they promptly dropped two of three and, save for an outlandish eight-run inning against Price, saw their typical absence of offense.

They enter their final 30 games just three games back of Detroit and Seattle, but they still seem to be doing a little more sputtering than chasing (they also play 12 of those games against two teams you’d imagine would love nothing more than to spoil Derek Jeter’s final postseason chase—the Red Sox and Rays). Winning seven of their last 10 is great, but in reality they’ve been playing right around .500 ball in their last 30 (16-14). 

New York’s offense—middling all year—ranks in the bottom half of the AL in the month of August in WAR, wRC+, batting average and slugging. 

The positives if New York is to make this a three-team battle: Pitching has saved and bailed the Yankees out all year long. Without Ivan Nova, Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia and, until recently, Michael Pineda, the Yanks have hung around on the rebirths of starters like Brandon McCarthy and Chris Capuano—and on the plain births of others, such as that of rookie Shane Greene. Since the break, New York starters rank fourth in the AL in WAR and FIP, fifth in K/9 and first in BB/9. The other tremendous sign comes in the form of Pineda, who is back and looking sharp: 1-0 with a 2.08 in his first three starts since returning August 13.

This month, Yankee pitching is second in BB/9, third in K/9 and WAR and fourth in FIP. The better news: New York’s relief corps has been outstanding all year and should continue to factor in a huge way if the Yanks can turn the ball over with a lead (see: Adam Warren, Dellin Betances and David Robertson).

One final piece to consider—especially in the case that Detroit and Seattle begin to extend the distance in the second wild-card spot: Though Baltimore’s hold on the AL East lead has seemed all but cemented this summer and has been extended to seven games entering Friday, the Yankees still face the O’s eight more times. Anything’s possible in New York. 

 

Indians: 9-1

The Indians really turned things around this past month. Though on July 29, they were two games below .500, they enter the final weekend of August four games over .500 and four games back of the second wild-card spot.

They’ve excelled in two of the most vital statistical categories on the year: creating runs and getting on base. On the year, their 104 wRC+ is fifth in the AL, and their .318 wOBA is sixth.

The total offense, interestingly, is just 11th in the AL in WAR, eighth in average and seventh in OBP and slugging. But there are a few interesting metrics to consider for illustrating how Cleveland has remained afloat: It’s compiled the fifth-best walk rate in the AL to go along with the sixth-most stolen bases. And despite a low power output (seventh in HR, eighth in ISO), the Indians have the AL’s best line-drive rate and the third-best GB rate (A’s and Tigers).

If they’re going to make a run at Detroit and/or Seattle, their pitching will need to continue its recent run of excellence. This month, Indians pitching posted the AL’s best ERA and FIP, and only Rays pitching compiled a higher WAR or better K/9. Compare that with just the seventh-best ERA, third-best FIP and sixth-highest WAR for the full season.   

Helping the Indians’ cause: The majority of their final 30 games come against sub-.500 opponents, against whom they’re 37-26 this season. They’re also just four games back of the Tigers and 5.5 back of the Royals, and they begin their final stretch with three in Kansas City (6-7 against) and four hosting Detroit (7-5).

In other words, in the next week alone, they have the potential to both put themselves right in the hunt and take themselves right out of it.

 

Blue Jays: 15-1

Toronto chose the worst time to trend in the wrong direction, dropping 17 of its last 30 and 13 of its last 20. On July 1, the Blue Jays were seven games over .500 and one game clear of Baltimore in the AL East. As of Friday morning, they’re one game over .500 and 9.5 games back of first. They can still sniff a wild-card spot at just 5.5 games back with 29 games remaining—but just barely.

In baseball’s first half, they ranked among AL teams sixth, fourth and third in average, OBP and slugging, respectively. They led the league in home runs and ISO and were fourth in runs and RBI. Their .330 wOBA was third, their 107 wRC+ was fourth and they had the fifth-best walk rate.

This past month: Dead last in homers, runs, RBI, OBP, wOBA and wRC+; second-to-last in slugging and ISO; 11th of 15 teams in walk rate; 12th in slugging; and the only AL team with a negative WAR.

Toronto’s other issue—which separates it from the rest of the wild-card pack—is the lack of a helping hand from the pitching staff. In August, its starters are a meager 12th in the AL in WAR, ERA, FIP and HR/9; they’ve pitched the fewest innings of any team’s starters and have mustered just three wins.

The Blue Jays also see 17 games against teams over .500 of their 29 remaining; on the year, they’re just 33-38 against such ballclubs. If there’s a bright spot, it’s that they’re 29-25 against AL East opponents, whom they’ll finish up the year battling in 22 games. 

 

Statistics current through game action on August 28, 2014 and courtesy of Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Peter F. Richman is a Bleacher Report featured columnist and copy editor. Follow on Twitter:  

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Starting 9: Playoffs Poised for Some California Love, Jeter’s Last Stand, More

1. Golden State will rule in October

“Don’t know much about history…

“Don’t know much biology…”

Dang. That time of year again, huh? Time to trade the sun block for the textbooks, the pool for the school. Already? Believe me, if I could roadblock summer’s end, I would.

“Don’t know much about geography…”

Wait! I can help get you on track there. Geography? Easy. Follow the bouncing hardball west.

As things stand right now, for the first time ever, four of the five California teams are primed for October baseball.

You read that right: The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the NL West. The Los Angeles Angels of Don’t Call Us Anaheim and the Oakland A’s are tied atop the AL West. The San Francisco Giants own one of the two NL wild-card slots.

Anybody for a San Diego Padres run to make California a perfect, Tony Gwynn-like 5-for-5 this October?

Click ahead to other topics

• Dry season for the A’s
• The Captain takes aim at one more remarkable feat
• Road to the AL playoffs goes through Corey Kluber
• Jose Abreu gets bitten by the dog days of August
• The road hasn’t been kind to the Braves
• Runs are hard to come by for many this summer
• Todd Helton finds home is where you play for 17 years
• The Giants lose a one-of-a-kind fan

Author Truman Capote once said, “If you stay in California, you lose one point of your IQ every year.”

OK, but apparently, if you play baseball in California right now, you increase your WAR by a few points every month.

Look at the Angels (73-50, .593) and the Athletics (73-51, .589): The two best records in baseball.

Look at the Dodgers: With a 3.15 ERA and Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke as anchors, they have the game’s best starting rotation.

Behind Scott Kazmir, Sonny Gray and newcomers Jon Lester and Jeff Samardzija, the Athletics’ rotation (3.42) ranks second in the AL to Seattle (3.20), which is almost in California if Oregon wasn’t in the way.

And among bullpens, the Giants (2.64) rank second in the NL (and third in the majors) to San Diego (2.35), which is in California (but may as well be in Mexico for this exercise as the lone Golden State team on the outside of the playoff picture looking in right now).

The A’s (597) have scored more runs than anybody in the majors, the Dodgers’ Dee Gordon (56) has swiped more bases than anybody in the majors, and the Angels’ Mike Trout (260) has collected more total bases than anybody in the majors.

Oh, the A’s have taken more walks (456) than anybody in the majors, too—presumably, under softly swaying palm trees in low humidity and without getting chomped on by mosquitoes.

They may not be liking this much in the Bronx or in New England, and it certainly won’t go over well in Texas, where the baseball this summer is all hat and no cattle. But on the diamond this year, California is where it’s at.

As former comedian Fred Allen once said, “California is a fine place to live—if you happen to be an orange.” 

If you’re interested in watching Trout and Yasiel Puig, two players whose Q ratings are among the highest in the game, it’s a fine place to live right now, too. 

Following two injury-plagued seasons, even Dodgers All-Star Matt Kemp, born in Midwest City, Okla., is slowly beginning to show the form that landed him second in NL MVP voting to Ryan Braun in 2011 with seven homers in his past 20 games and eight homers and 21 RBI in 29 games since the All-Star break.

As humorist Will Rogers once offered, “When an Okie moves to California, he raises the IQ of both states.”

There have been four previous all-California World Series: 1974 (Athletics over Dodgers for a third consecutive title), 1988 (Dodgers over Athletics as Kirk Gibson limped around the bases), 1989 (Athletics over Giants in the Earthquake World Series) and 2002 (Angels over Giants for Team Rally Monkey’s first-ever title).

Don’t look now, Derek Jeter or Big Papi David Ortiz, but odds are lining up a little straighter each day that 2014 could bring us a fifth.

Geography? Hey, this October might be the perfect time to schedule that trip to see the Golden Gate Bridge, or Hollywood. Playoffs by the palm trees.

As politician Dan Quayle once said, “I love California. I practically grew up in Phoenix.”

Wait. What?

 

2. Now for a dissenting view

On July 31, Oakland led the AL West by two games and owned the best record in the majors.

Now, the A’s are a half-game behind the Angels for the AL West lead, just four percentage points from the game’s best record (.593-.589). Things are still rockin’ in Oakland, but….

The unavoidable Swingin’ A’s elephant in the room, that either will cause folks to deify Billy Beane further or leave him open to second-guessing all winter:

In 17 games since the Athletics traded Yoenis Cespedes to the Red Sox on July 31, according to the Elias Sports Bureau, Oakland outfielders are hitting .227 (42-for-185) with two homers and 14 RBI in 17 games. As the Braves were sweeping them over the weekend, Oakland outfielders went 1-for-27.

 

3. Derek Jeter’s Last Stand

As the Yankees scramble toward the finish line, a couple of Derek Jeter facts that are in jeopardy, and absolutely worth watching:

He has never played on a losing team. With 40 games left, the Yankees are 63-59.

He has played in 2,711 games with the Yankees dating back to 1995, and in that time, he has played in exactly one game in which his team has been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. That came on September 26, 2008.

In the meantime, one other Yankees’ gem, from the Elias Sports Bureau: Their streak of 2,527 games without being shut out in back-to-back games is the longest in major-league history.

 

4. Cleveland’s Decider

If the Indians—third in the AL Central, six-and-a-half games outdon’t scoot back into playoff contention, sizzling right-hander Corey Kluber may have a lot to say about who wins the division anyway.

The Indians have six games left with the Royals (Aug. 29-31 in Kansas City, Sept. 22-24 in Cleveland) and seven remaining with the Tigers (Sept. 1-4 in Cleveland, Sept. 12-14 in Detroit).

And if you haven’t been paying attention to Kluber lately, you’ve only been missing the best pitcher in the AL not named Felix Hernandez.

Notice that word “lately”; that’s the key. So all of you lovers of David Price, Max Scherzer and Chris Sale, stand down for a sec.

Kluber, over his past five starts, has worked at least six innings with no more than one earned run allowed. Last time an Indians pitcher did that, his name was Orel Hershiser, it was 1996 and Albert Belle was flexing his biceps and keeping the Indians clubhouse meat-locker cold.

Since Kluber’s last loss on June 30, the Stetson University product has gone 6-0 with a 1.31 ERA. In 62 innings, he’s fanned 70 and walked just nine.

After Kluber pitched Cleveland to a 2-1, 11-inning win over the Orioles on Friday (7.2 scoreless innings), someone asked manager Terry Francona whether he was running out of superlatives to describe the 28-year-old who is completing his first full season.

“My vocabulary’s not that good,” Francona told Cleveland reporters.

Check back with the Royals and Tigers down the stretch on the state of their vocabulary—and their bats.

 

5. Darn right, this game is tiring

You can’t quibble with the season White Sox slugger Jose Abreu is having. He long ago became a breakout rookie—we took a close look at that earlier this summer—and currently leads the majors in slugging percentage (.591), is third in the majors in homers (31) and ranks second in the AL in RBI (89).

Which is why this Spanish-language interview with USA Today’s Jorge L. Ortiz caught my eye. Or, more specifically, a certain part of the interview.

“We play so many games, you get to a point you want [the season] to end,” Abreu told USA Today. “It’s too much, but that’s what you have to deal with and you’ve got to be strong. I’ve been counting down since the 58th game, and we still have [38] left. Wow. It’s not so much that you get tired, but you spend so much time away from your family, and I’m a family guy. I want to be with them.”

It is instructive that a guy seemingly on top of the baseball world feels this way in what certainly is one of the best years of his life. Just one more example of how and why this game is far more taxing than it looks, both physically and mentally.

Abreu is a shoo-in to become the White Sox’s first Rookie of the Year since Ozzie Guillen in 1985. And if he finishes ranked atop the AL home run leaderboard, he will become the third Sox player to lead the league, after Bill Melton (1971) and Dick Allen (1972 and 1974).

 

6. Not Exactly Willie Nelson’s Team of the Week

On the road again? Uh-oh.

Last time the Braves tried this, they went 0-8 in Los Angeles, San Diego and Seattle.

Yes, the Braves reversed course by sweeping Oakland over the weekend, but now comes what well could be a make-or-break part of their schedule: A 10-game, 11-day trip to Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and New York (Mets).

Now trailing the Nationals by six games in the NL East and one game back in the NL wild-card chase, Atlanta opened at Pittsburgh on Monday night looking to snap that ugly eight-game road losing streak.

Ervin Santana was lugging some serious history with him in PNC Park, too: The Braves’ last lost nine in a row on the road as part of a 10-game road losing streak from Aug. 31 to Sept. 14, 1996, according to STATS LLC.

 

7. Fun with August Run Differential

As of Tuesday morning, the Nationals (+27) were the only NL East team with a positive run differential in the month of August. The Marlins (-6), Phillies (-13), Braves (-13) and Mets (-21) all were outscored (though the Marlins still had a winning record for the month at 9-7).

Second to the Nationals in the NL for the month of August were the remarkably resurgent Padres (+22), who nevertheless still rank last in the majors in runs scored with 407. The next-closest team, the Cardinals, are at 461, outscoring the Padres by 54 runs.

And not that the presence of Kendrys Morales, Austin Jackson and Chris Denorfia guarantees anything (not yet, anyway), but the Mariners (+43) are the runaway leaders in the AL for the month of August. The Orioles (+30) and the Royals (+29) are next.

Worst in the AL for the month? The White Sox (-43) and Blue Jays (-35).

 

8. From Rocky Top to Rockies legend

A moment for Todd Helton, whose No. 17 was retired in Denver on Sunday. The way the Rockies’ season is going, the big story was that nobody got hurt during the ceremony.

Not that the season has gotten away from the Rockies, but when Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez are lost for the season within a day of each other, maybe they should have held an exorcism in Coors Field Sunday in conjunction with honoring Helton.

Anyway, how appropriate to retire No. 17 on the 17th day of the month following a 17-year career. Helton finished with 2,519 hits, 369 homers, 592 doubles, five All-Star Games, three Gold Gloves and a legion of admirers.

“When I came here from Tennessee, I always said that Tennessee had the nicest people and the greatest people,” Helton, a Knoxville native and former University of Tennessee quarterback (backup to Peyton Manning) told reporters in Denver before the retirement ceremony. “Well, they said, ‘What do you like about Colorado?’ Well, the people are the same type of people. Just the same regular people you enjoy spending time with. I call this place home now. I’ve raised my kids here, and I plan on staying here a long time. I could pretty much go anywhere I want, but at this point, I’ll never leave Colorado.”

 

9. Giants lose a fan, we lose a genius

They held a moment of silence and a tribute to Robin Williams last week before a Giants game in AT&T Park, and how appropriate. I can still remember Williams in the Giants’ dugout in Anaheim during batting practice at the 2002 World Series, cracking everybody up, his manic energy lifting the entire scene. The man loved baseball, and he loved his Giants.

Club president Larry Baer recalled Williams’ energy and him revving up the Giants in the dugout just 30 minutes before the first pitch of that World Series game. And broadcaster Mike Krukow remembered Williams visiting the Giants’ spring-training clubhouse in the 1990s.

“Absolutely hysterical,” Krukow told the San Francisco Chronicle. “He had the ability to become a child at the drop of a hat. He wanted to feel pine tar on a bat, the seams of a baseball. He walked in like we were old friends and lit up the room.”

 

9a. Rock ‘n’ Roll Lyric of the Week

We’ve got to go straight back to the Good Morning Vietnam soundtrack this week. Here’s to you, Robin Williams…

“The colors of the rainbow

“So pretty in the sky

“Are also on the faces

“Of people going by

“I see friends shaking hands

“Saying, ‘How do you do?’ 

“They’re really saying

“‘I love you’

“I hear babies cry

“I watch them grow

“They’ll learn much more

“Than I’ll ever know

“And I think to myself

“What a wonderful world”

— Louis Armstrong, What a Wonderful World

 

Scott Miller covers Major League Baseball as a national columnist for Bleacher Report. He has over two decades of experience covering MLB, including 14 years as a national baseball columnist at CBSSports.com.

Follow Scott on Twitter and talk baseball @ScottMillerBbl.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Handicapping the Most Likely World Series Matchups for the 2014 MLB Season

Predicting potential head-to-head battles in the World Series has never been more difficult. From smart, forward-thinking front-office minds to revenue sharing to the addition of extra wild cards, more teams than ever before will open the season with an eye on October baseball.

As spring training marches on, narratives will unfold and predictions will begin to take shape across the media landscape.

While the Bleacher Report MLB team can’t wait for Opening Day, it’s never too early to look ahead to the best month on the calender: October.

Using a formula of over/under win odds, spring training results and gut feeling, a list of potential World Series matchups has emerged, ripe for critique and criticism. If any of these come to fruition—which really should happen—this piece will look prescient. 

If an unlisted matchup headlines late-October, well, I’ll expect the comment section to remind me over and over again.

As you’ll see, the National League is a top-heavy, three-team race for supremacy. In the American League, as many as eight teams look talented enough to reach the World Series.

With Opening Day on the horizon, here’s a glimpse at how the 2014 MLB journey could end. 

Statistics courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs, unless otherwise noted. All contract figures courtesy of Cot’s Baseball Contracts. Over/under projections courtesy of Bovoda. Roster projections courtesy of MLB Depth Charts.

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