Tag: Alex Rios

5 Overrated Trade Targets Your Team Should Avoid at All Costs

In reality, it only takes one team to overvalue, and, thus, overpay for a player on the trade market. But there’s always a group of players that’s viewed as having a certain value based on certain numbers, reputation and trade-market depth.  

For those reasons, certain players will be overrated, and some team will be taking a risk by acquiring them, even at fair market value.  

Unless the price somehow goes way down in the next 12 days, here are five overrated players whom your team should avoid acquiring before the trade deadline.

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Players That Contending Teams Hope Will Be Available at MLB Trade Deadline

Earlier today, I named seven players guaranteed to be traded by the July 31st deadline. Not surprisingly, all seven will be free agents after the season and play on teams that aren’t in playoff contention now and aren’t expected to be a month from now. 

On the flip side, there is an entire different group of players that might become available if their teams either fall out of the playoff race or fail to make a run to get back to within striking distance. Then there are the rebuilding teams, such as the Astros and Marlins, with valuable trade chips who are under team control for a few more seasons. Trading them could make sense if a particular organization feels that the return will help expedite the rebuilding process. 

Which teams will be left standing as playoff contenders in late July is still to be determined, but it’s likely that many of them will be asking about the availability of these six players in hopes of acquiring them for the stretch run and beyond. 

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2012 Chicago White Sox: Kenny Williams Deserves More Credit for the Sox Success

The Chicago White Sox have been a pleasant surprise in 2012.  After the departure of Ozzie Guillen and a series of disappointing years post-2005, the Sox looked as if they would be rebuilding at a rate not much faster than their cross-town counterparts. 

The Sox are at 34-30 and in sole possession of first place. They are approaching the all-star break with a half game lead over the Indians.  More importantly, they have a solid four game lead on the prohibitive favorites in the AL Central, the Detroit Tigers.

Many factors have contributed to the Sox’s success this spring, including the solid first year leadership of Robin Ventura and an MVP caliber first half from mainstay Paul Konerko. The Sox have been able to rebound from last year’s awful offensive season to become a threat to slug it out with any team in the league.

The person that deserves the most credit for this resurgence is Kenny Williams.  The much-maligned GM of the White Sox has always been passionate about fielding a competitive team on the south side and has made several moves, both good and bad to accomplish that. 

He has balanced keeping the main core of the 2005 championship team that all Sox fans have grown to love with several pieces that seemed primed to position them for success in the AL Central year-in year-out. 

He didn’t blow up the team and get rid of aging Sox heroes Paul Konerko and AJ Pierzynski; He didn’t try to solely build for the future, either, by saving money at the expense of Sox fans.

Instead, he found a way to bring back the mainstays of this Sox squad while issuing in talented players to compliment the young players that have been brought up into the mix. 

While the Cubs brass on the north side was often accused of standing pat and passing on opportunities to get better, the Sox have almost always opted to make moves that will keep them in contention. Unfortunately for Williams, in the past four years he has been tagged to his misses more than his successful moves.   

While he’s had had acquisitions like Omar Vizquel, Matt Thornton, JJ Putz and Orlando Cabrera that were productive; he’s had moves that did not work out like Mark Teahan, Manny Ramirez and Ken Griffey Jr. that people have put more emphasis on when judging him. 

If you throw in players he’s had mixed results with—Jim Thome, Nick Swisher, Juan Pierre, Freddy Garcia, Jose Contreras and Scott Linebrink—it really gets hard to judge how he has done with his active moments. 

On the other hand, he’s had some of his prized prospects not work out quite to their billing—like Brian Anderson, Gordon Beckham, Josh Fields, Chris Getz and Daniel Hudson (the prized prospect he let get away after a slow start).

Overall though, he’s made some awesome signings and produced some very good prospects. The core of his current team is built on rising star and Cy Young candidate Chris Sale. To go along with Sale is John Danks, Gavin Floyd and Alexei Ramirez. 

He has developed several prospects that have really shown great promise in Alejandro De Aza, Dayan Viciedo, Tyler Flowers, Phil Humber and the ever-so-popular Brent Lillibridge.

He’s made timely signings in the past of Jermaine Dye, AJ Pierzynski, Scott Podsednik (twice) and Tad Iguchi, among others.

The biggest story with Kenny that shows how he deserves more credit is when some of his sure-bet signings went wrong on him in flukish fashion. It was hard to hear Williams get pounded for putting his neck out and acquiring players that were well regarded around the league like Jake Peavy, Adam Dunn and Alex Rios

It seemed a little bit unfair that, given the Sox had a need for heavy-hitting productive players and top-of-the-rotation pitching depth, that Williams was slammed for getting players that fit the bill consistently over the course of their careers.

Jake Peavy was the opening day starter for Team USA in the last Baseball Classic and was consistently among the ERA and strikeout leaders in the NL for the Padres.  He was a unanimous CY Young winner in 2007, his ERA was under 3.00 three times, he struck out over 200 three times and despite an ankle injury that slowed him down, he was a great candidate to compliment the already solid pitching staff led by Buehrle, Danks and Floyd.   

It was perfectly reasonable to expect him to be back by the end of the 2009 season, make a few starts and be ready to go in 2010.  However, Peavy’s run in Chicago started with a rash of on and off again injuries and only a handful of quality, meaningful starts in his time in Chicago. That was frustrating to everyone, and counter to his track record, so it’s hard to blame Kenny for that lack of success.

Adam Dunn has been a model of consistency as an old school slugger.  He consistently has hit 40 home runs during the meat of his career.  Since 2004, his third full year in the big leagues, he has hit at least 40 home runs every year except for 2009 and 2010 for the Nationals in which he hit 38 in both seasons.  In that same time period, he only missed 100 RBI one time and that was in 2006 when he had 92 RBI for the Reds.  This is a span of seven years in which he was consistent and predictable in his production, all leading up to his signing with the White Sox. 

Sure he is a shoe in to strikeout 150 times or more almost every year, but you budget for that when you get a slugger like Dunn.  Given that the Sox needed more left-handed power depth in their order to protect Konerko in Jim Thome’s absence, this move made perfect sense.  However, in 2011, his first year with the Sox, he had a season to remember in the worst way. 

Adam Dunn may have arguably been the worst full-time hitter in the major leagues last year.  Some would argue his performance was historical.  After all of those productive years for three different teams, in 415 at bats he hit .159 with 11 HR and 42 RBI.  He struck out 177 times, which is more like him, but in every other way, Dunn’s performance was completely unrecognizable. 

Many slammed Williams for this signing, but that was unfair given the information and track record Williams was presented with prior to Dunn’s arrival in Chicago. There is no way you could predict or plan for such struggles, but it happened. 

Alex Rios is a little bit more of a debatable scenario because of the money that he is being paid ($12.5 million), but he was no slouch in Toronto either.  He had three or four very solid years including a .297, 24 HR 85 RBI season in 2007 and a .302 17 HR 86 RBI season in 2006. 

His struggles in Chicago were a surprise because, although he was having a sub par season in Toronto in 2009 when he came over, his first six years in the league had all been pretty respectable with averages generally around .300.

This year, Williams has gotten the last laugh on his high-investment decisions that seemed to have gone bad.  Jake Peavy has rebounded from several seasons of injury-plagued ball on the south side with a sparkling 6-2 record with a 2.91 ERA and 78 Strikeouts in 13 starts.  He is 6th in the AL in ERA and 7th in strikeouts. 

This is the type of pitcher that Kenny Williams hoped to get in the long run and had no reason to believe he wouldn’t get. 

Adam Dunn, after his miserable 2011 campaign, is currently leading the Major Leagues with 23 home runs.  That total is one more than Josh Hamilton, who is arguably the most feared hitter in Major League Baseball. 

Very few of his home runs have been cheap also.  He has been dead on the ball and hit several towering majestic flies. He is also second in the AL with 52 RBI.  His batting average is still pretty low, but this is pretty much what Kenny signed up for when he got him last year. 

It’s hard to hold an odd aberration season like what he had last year against Kenny Williams.  The proof is in the pudding, you book Adam Dunn for 35-40 HR and 100 RBI every year, and it appears this year should be no different.

Even Alex Rios has bounced back to have a solid season thus far, batting .294 with 32 RBI.  He may not be performing on the level of Dunn and Peavy, but he is producing on a level that makes the idea of having him on the team as a productive force a respectable one, unlike other years in his tenure for the Sox.

In the end, even after letting go of the face of the organization and letting guys like Carlos Quentin and Mark Buehrle go in free agency, the White Sox are relevant once again.  He helped make the solid decision to hire good-looking skipper Robin Ventura, and the moves he made in the past have all seemed to pan out now. 

Kenny deserves some credit for his work as GM here in Chicago since 2000 and people should be patient when player’s and/or teams have aberration type bad years. 

Obviously he helped bring a Championship to Chicago, but he deserves credit for making a variety of moves that give the Sox a chance year-in and year-out to compete for another one. He has never been satisfied and although some of his moves have not worked out for him, you can never knock him for trying.

We’ll see if they can make a run at another AL Central title in this year and add another impressive notation to Kenny Williams’s resume in unlikely fashion.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Errors in the Outfield: Three Ways the Texas Rangers Fix the Julio Borbon Issue

Julio Borbon is second in all off baseball in committing errors thus far in Spring Training. The league leaders in errors typically are infielders who have many more opportunities than outfielders. Borbon has five errors this Spring, he has a total of seven errors in his career in the regular season.

The Rangers in recent years have been proponents of competition amongst players, however with Julio they have broke away from that tradition. Manager Ron Washington stated early in the off-season that Borbon is going to be the opening day center-fielder, which left no room for competition, or any urgency for Borbon to play his best all-around ball to WIN his roster spot.

Behind Borbon there really is no true center-fielder, according to the Rangers that is. The Rangers want Borbon to be “the guy” so bad they’re forcing it on him.

Texas is so enamored with Borbon’s potential that it seems they do not want to look into any recourse for center-field. However I find it necessary to look at Borbon’s alternatives, so here’s three options the Rangers could execute in search of the best fit for the team in center-field.

 

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MLB Fantasy Debate: Justin Upton vs. Alex Rios?

While there’s some question as to who’s better between Carl Crawford and Carlos Gonzalez or between Ryan Braun and Matt Holliday, there’s little doubt that those are the top four outfielders. The outfielders after them are a different story.

Enter Justin Upton and Alex Rios.

Upton is one of baseball’s top young players. It’s no surprise then that when Diamondbacks GM Kevin Towers put his name on the trading block a few months back, almost every team made an offer. Towers wisely pulled him off the block after he realized he couldn’t risk trading away someone as talented as Upton.

Rios had a career year in his first full season with the White Sox. He’ll look to continue to prove that his disastrous season in 2009, in which the Blue Jays placed him on waivers and didn’t even demand a player in return, was an anomaly.

Today we’ll decide which outfielder should be drafted first.

Each player is assigned a grade for each of the five standard offensive categories plus a few extra I felt were important to factor. Grades are based on my expectations for the season and take into account both the player’s expected performance relative to the entire player pool and relative to the position he plays at. Grades were averaged using the standard 4.0 GPA scale to provide a cumulative “Professor’s Grade.”

 

Category Justin Upton Alex Rios Edge?
Professor’s Grade 3.34 (B+) 3.24 (B) Upton
Runs B+ B+ Draw
Batting Average B+ B+ Draw
Home Runs A- B Upton
Runs Batted In A- B Upton
Stolen Bases B B+ Rios
Health B- A- Rios
Potential Ceiling A B Upton
Pick Security B B+ Rios

 

The Case for Upton 

After batting .300 with 26 HR and 20 SB in 2009, Upton was destined for stardom in 2010. Unfortunately, he failed to reach 20 HR or 20 SB and saw his batting average dip to .273 before a shoulder injury forced him to miss most of September.

It’s easy to forget that Upton is still just 23 years old. The former No. 1 overall pick has all the tools you look for in an elite fantasy player. Not counting the freakishly strong Mike Stanton, Upton has the most power of any major leaguer under the age of 24. He’s also athletic enough to steal 20-plus bases, a feat he has already accomplished in his young career. As if that’s not tantalizing enough, he’ll be batting out of the three-hole in a hitter’s ballpark.

Despite Upton’s disappointing stats last year, there were signs of encouragement. His walk rate was 11.2 percent, up from 9.4 percent in his breakout 2009 season. It’s rare for a player as young as Upton to show such a knack for drawing walks and it will only help increase his R and SB potential. Upton also improved his line drive rate and GB/FB ratio, which bodes well for an increase in power and batting average.

The sky is the limit for Upton and he certainly has the potential to produce first-round numbers.

 

The Case for Rios

Rios truly is a five category producer. He was one of three players to reach 20 HR and 30 SB, with Hanley Ramirez and Drew Stubbs being the others. It was the second time Rios reached both of those marks and the first time he did so in the same season.

Rios is also one of the few power speed players that won’t hurt your batting average. If you take out his 2009 season, Rios hasn’t batted less than .284 since 2005.

Furthermore, Rios plays in a hitter friendly lineup. He’s surrounded by talented players such as Adam DunnPaul KonerkoCarlos QuentinGordon Beckham and Alexei Ramirez. While he doesn’t have the same potential as Upton, he has shown more consistency and durability.

 

Who Should I Draft?

Upton and Rios are close in value, but I believe Upton is the better pick. From the chart above you can see that they each have the advantage in three categories, but Upton has the better overall grade.

You can also see that Upton has a distinct power advantage, a skill set that is becoming harder to find. The only real categorical advantage that Rios has is speed, but Upton will still contribute there for you. While Rios is definitely a safe pick due to his consistency, Upton’s potential is far too great to ignore.

He’s already one of the best young players in the game and has much room to grow. It’s for that reason that I’m taking Upton over Rios.

Check out our other head-to-head matchups, found only at Baseball Professor, as well as our other preseason coverage.

Miguel Cabrera vs. Joey Votto

Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Clayton Kershaw

Ryan Zimmerman vs. Alex Rodriguez

Kevin Youkilis vs. Kendry Morales

Carl Crawford vs. Carlos Gonzalez

Cole Hamels vs. Brett Anderson

Rickie Weeks vs. Ian Kinsler

David Price vs. Justin Verlander

2011 Fantasy Sleepers

2011 Draft Coverage

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 42: Why White Sox’s Alex Rios Is Vastly Underrated

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

After being placed on waivers by the Blue Jays in August of 2009, Alex Rios hit just .199 in 146 at-bats for the White Sox, who claimed his seven-year, $70 million contract. The player who was once thought to be a 30/30 threat was hardly fantasy relevant entering the 2010 season.

But despite coming off arguably his worst season as a pro, Rios bounced back in 2010, hitting 21 home runs while swiping 34 bases and batting .284 as the White Sox’s No. 3 hitter. He was especially effective in the first-half (as usual), posting 15 homers, 23 steals and a .305 average before the All-Star Break.

Despite his woeful 2009 campaign and injury concerns that troubled him early in his career, Rios has posted no less than 567 at-bats in four consecutive seasons. His dynamic three-year averages (see below) suggest Rios should be drafted as a top second-tier outfielder. His current ADP on Mock Draft Central, however, is just 61.16, well below the likes of Ichiro, Andre Ethier, Jose Bautista and Jayson Werth.

Given another 575 at-bats in the White Sox’s loaded lineup, Rios should approach another 90/20/90/30 line. Draft him with confidence.

  PA R HR RBI SB AVG
2010 stats 617 89 21 88 34 .284
3-year average 646 81 18 79 30 .275
2011 FBI Forecast 625 95 22 95 30 .281

 

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: FANTASY BASEBALL INSIDERS

The latest from Fantasy Baseball Insiders:

Fantasy Baseball Insiders’ 2011 Big Board:

MLB Trades: Fantasy Impact:

Previous articles from Fantasy Baseball Insiders:

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Why Alex Rios is the Biggest American League Snub from the All-Star Game

Many choices in the 2010 All-Star Game were validated through various ways over the last few days.  And all season.

And one major snub will be validated for the same duration.

The Chicago White Sox have surged back to contention in the American League Central.  Great hitting by the likes of Paul Konerko and others, paired with the unbelievable pitching of the starters and bullpen alike, have the Sox 20-5 over the last 25 games.

But the real key in all of it has been the superb all-around play of outfielder Alex Rios.  He has played unbelievably in center, has shown great speed along the basepaths, and has been as consistent a hitter as anyone in the American League.

But for some reason, Joe Girardi of the New York Yankees selected Jose Bautista and Vernon Wells from the Toronto Blue Jays and Torii Hunter from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim to back up a solid starting outfield.

Hunter, a perennial all-star, isn’t a problem.

But what I have a problem with is not one, but two players from the fourth best team in the same division as the AL manager get the nod over a much more deserving candidate from a team that has a legitimate shot to make the playoffs.

As a baseball nut, I watch every highlight of every game, and try to catch as many games on MLB.tv as I can.  I also know how to read statistics.  And both of these ways to evaluate talent makes this choice absolutely despicable.

When I watch a White Sox game, I see Rios and Konerko consistently wreaking havoc on opposing pitching, whether there are players on base or not.  Now that Juan Pierre is reaching base and Alexei Ramirez has turned into a solid No. 2 hitter, the runs are flowing and the team is starting to win frequently.

I also see Rios stealing bases with frequency, gliding from gap to gap in center field, robbing home runs, making perfect pegs to all the bases and cut-off men, and hitting in the clutch.

I’ll watch a Blue Jays game, and I’ll see Jose Bautista go 0-for-5 with three strikeouts one night.  The next night he will go 1-for-4 with a solo home run and two strikeouts.  I’ll see him miss a cut-off man, show little to no speed on the basepaths, and strikeout on a 3-2 pitch with the tying run on third.

With Vernon Wells, it is almost the same story, just strung out over time.

He gets off to a super hot start, hitting home runs with regularity and driving in runs like it’s nothing.  Then he has stretches like the one he just snapped on Wednesday, where he finally singled to end an 0-for-21 slump.

Now, he’s a fantastic fielder and he has decent speed, so I won’t complain too much about Wells.  I’ll just let the numbers tell the story.

Here are the offensive statistics through July 7 for all three:

Rios – .302 AVG, 14 HR, 47 RBI, .354 OBP, .510 SLG, 22 SB, 41 K, 21 BB

Bautista – .238 AVG, 22 HR, 54 RBI, .363 OBP, .538 SLG, 3 SB, 67 K, 52 BB

Wells – .272 AVG, 19 HR, 49 RBI, .326 OBP, .542 SLG, 4 SB, 50 K, 24 BB

So, looking at those numbers, what do you see?

I see Rios with a higher batting average, way more stolen bases, and a pretty even clip on everything else.

Bautista is hitting .238, people.  Sure, 22 home runs jumps at you.  I know that.  But it’s kind of peculiar how he has eight more home runs than Rios, but only seven more RBI, right?  So he draws walks.  Big deal.  Not helping a ton that he strikes out 26 more times than Rios with that argument.  Even with the high walk total, his OBP is barely higher than Rios’s.

Wells is in the mix for several reasons, but his numbers could be argued as even more subject to criticism.  Especially in an event that offensive numbers are put on such a pedestal.  Rios has 15 more stolen bases than both of them combined, and is probably in the top five defensive center fielders in the American League—of course, behind Wells.

Now, back to the AL East bias argument.

It’s not like Joe Girardi hasn’t seen Alex Rios play.  Rios was a member of those same Blue Jays into August of last year.  He was putting up sub-par numbers until this season.  Especially for all that talent he brings to the table.

So does that give Girardi the “he wasn’t good when we played ’em, so he’s not in consideration” argument?  Very well could be.  It is difficult to follow every major league team when you have to manage a single club everyday, but when a decision like choosing the all-star team comes into play, shouldn’t he get some help, or possibly even go to an MLB.com or a bleacherreport.com to see who’s most deserving?

I’m not upset that two good players on an average team are going to play in the all-star game.  I’m just upset that there was at least one player well above the offensive protocol for such an event, and he gets left out due to either a lack of knowledge from the manager, or because he plays in the wrong division.

We see legitimate snubs every year in the MLB All-Star Game.  But rarely does one like this stick out so much.  Now the game has an interesting look:

July 13, 2010, be sure to watch FOX as the National League tries to defeat the American League East All Stars!

Man, what a watch that will be!

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Follow Up to “White Sox: Give Up Or Be Hopeful”

The White Sox have won ten games in a row, which is their longest winning streak since 1976. When I wrote my article just over a month ago, I was about to give up on the White Sox, but they have proved me wrong and I will now react to my past article .

Five Reason to Give Up

1. Gordon Beckham

Still in the sophomore slump, even though it seems like he is having good at-bats. Beckham will most likely be platooned with Omar Vizquel at second once Mark Teahan comes off the disabled list. Not a reason to give up, but the freshman phenom needs to work out his issues.

2. Bench Players

Vizquel is coming around, hitting over .350 during the current winning streak and the 43-year-old is playing like he is ten years younger. Ramon Castro has done his job as the backup catcher. Newcomer Dayan Viciedo is showing some promise, but as we know from the past, it is only a matter of time before opposing teams figure him out. Brent Lillbridge is back in the bigs with Jayson Nix being picked up by the Indians off waivers, but he has yet to make an impact. Mark Kotsay is starting to come around, but he has not solidified the DH spot that he held on Opening Day. Andruw Jones has been in and out of the lineup and has been struggling lately. No reason to give up because they have done their job especially since the injury to Teahan.

3. Inconsistent Starting Pitching

Not an issue anymore. Starting pitching has given the Sox a chance to win, with all of the starters going at least six innings each start. Enough said. Pitching has gone as was expected before the season started.

4. Lead-off Hitter

Juan Pierre has come around to be the best lead-off hitter since Scott Podsednik for the Sox. He has done his job and even the experiment with Jones leading off for the first time since 1988 may have lit a fire under Pierre. Still a weak spot, but Pierre is doing his best to make it stand out less.

5. Bobby Jenks

Converted the last 12 save opportunities and has been a workhorse. No need for Sox fans to cry for J.J. Putz .

 

Five Reasons to Be Hopeful

1. Speed

Sixty-eight stolen bases through mid-June, including Pierre leading baseball with 27 stolen bases, the runners have been more aggressive on the base paths, and A.J. Pierzynski has been throwing out runners better this year. Still a strength.

2. Paul Konerko

Has raised his average over .300 for the first time this season. He might have only four home runs in the past month, but he has also had key RBI and hits.

3. Andruw Jones

Jones has hit a slump, which has given him scattered starts and has transitioned to more of a situational pinch hitter, but he needs to prove himself to get back in the everyday lineup. May not be a hopeful point much more, but I could see him turning it around.

4. Alex Rios

.313 BA, 13 HR, 38 RBI, 20 SB, .546 SLG. He has been the most consistent player in the lineup. Enough said.

5. Bullpen

Jenks is back to closer form. Sergio Santos , Tony Pena , Matt Thornton , and Putz are all going strong. Still the best group for the Sox this year.

 

The Sox are in a good streak, so let’s see what happens when division play continues.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Under the Radar: A Grab Bag of Overlooked MLB Stars in 2010

A fistful of names in baseball this year are steadily producing, but not necessarily gaining the recognition that they deserve. Many of these performances that are flying under the radar are overshadowed by those of early Cy Young and MVP candidates.

By now, Ubaldo Jimenez, Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera and others are household names this year. But who else will stand tall with these names as the season rolls on, and who will be surprising contributors in baseball?

Here is a handful of players in Major League Baseball who seem to be getting lost in translation behind the league leaders and flashiest of names.

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MLB’s Top 10 2010 Comebacks: Wasted Millions, Suddenly Worth It

David Ortiz may be starting to turn a corner, as he’s hit safely in his last six games and driven in 11 runs over his last nine. Still, it’s a bit early to tell if Big Papi will ultimately prove worth the $12.5 million he’s earning in 2010.

It’s unlikely, for Ortiz hasn’t earned his keep sabermetrically since the 2007 Championship season.

While the Fenway Faithful fight only mildly fight the urge to boo their overpaid, aging slugger, other fan bases around MLB are experiencing quite the opposite sensation:

They aren’t quite sure if they should wholeheartedly cheer their aging, seemingly overpaid, but resurging, stars.

Names like Barry Zito, Carlos Silva, Scott Rolen, and Vernon Wells are on their lips, and they’re shocked to find themselves cheering their once fading heroes.

Here are the top 10 greatest comebacks thus far in 2010.

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