Tag: Arizona Diamondbacks

2012 Is Perfect Storm for Diamondbacks Right Fielder Justin Upton

In 2011, the Arizona Diamondbacks had their big breakout year. Their right-fielder also had his big breakout year in 2011 and looks poised to build on the season in which he finished 4th in the NL MVP voting. Justin Upton has finally put together the season that Diamondback fans have been waiting for since he was called up to the majors at the ripe age of 19. The 2012 season seems to be shaping into the “perfect storm” for the Dbacks superstar.

When the Diamondbacks won the NL West last season they insured one thing: that the entire city and state would benefit from the win by gaining national attention. Going into training camp last year you would have been hard-pressed to find a team less relevant to the national spotlight. Similarly, Justin Upton was coming off of a disappointing year; where he took a step back from his All-Star season the year prior. Now in 2012, the attention has definitely taken a shift to the Diamondbacks and specifically Justin Upton.

Justin Upton is positioned to put together the type of year that defines a career, and in this case, potentially defines a Hall of Fame career. A step forward from last year would put him alongside the Albert Pujols and the Alex Rodriguez‘s of the league in terms of star power. It would be the year that he gave the Diamondbacks their national identity, which would parallel with what hometown favorite superstars Steve Nash and Larry Fitzgerald have done for the Phoenix Suns and the Arizona Cardinals.

This year will be filled with nothing but high-expectations for the Diamondbacks and their superstar to surpass, and Diamondback fans just can’t wait!

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


2012 MLB Closer Profile: J.J. Putz, Arizona Diamondbacks

Let’s not joke.  J.J. Putz had an amazing comeback year in 2011, notching 45 saves for the well-built and oiled Arizona Diamondbacks team. 

He even did that while missing most of July on the DL, which we have become accustomed to with J.J. Putz. Even more amazing, he put up 21 saves between August and September. 

Everything about 2011 was amazing—his 2.17 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and a K/9 over 9!  Putz was one of the top closers in baseball for 2011. 

Enter 2012, and let’s get back to reality.  Putz is a good closer, but his career has been plagued with injury and inconsistency.  In his nine-year career, Putz has only reached 70 appearances one, and more than 60 appearances five times. 

He is also 35, which is a tough year for pitchers to hit.  Their stuff can certainly start to fade beyond 35.

So what do with J.J. Putz?  Do you expect a repeat of 2011 or something closer to his actual career?

Let’s start with the Diamondbacks.  They are a very good young team poised for a playoff run.  They have a solid, though shaky rotation led by Ian Kennedy, Daniel Hudson and the newly acquired Trevor Cahill. 

Kennedy pitched amazingly last season, but chances of him repeating that performance are not good. 

Still, the rotation of the Diamondbacks will get many leads to the bullpen.  In front of Putz, he has several good veteran relievers including Takashi Saito, Brad Zeigler and David Hernandez.  All that bodes well for Putz.

As for the offense, it is shady.  After Upton and Montero, where will the hits come from?  Chris Young, Jason Kubel, Stephen Drew?  While the Diamondbacks have a sound offense, they’re going to suffer scoring droughts.

My concerns with Putz deal with his health.  If his arm “isn’t right,” he won’t do well.  Last year, Putz changed his pitching style a bit.  He threw more fastballs and less sliders, and he continued to abuse hitters with his splitter. 

His fastball tops out at 95 MPH, which is hittable by major league standards.  What he did so well in 2011 was hit his spots with his slider and throw a great splitter.  So, if you draft Putz in 2012, you have to hope for all that to play out in your favor again—I can tell you now, chances are slim. 

 

The Closer Report 2012 Projections

32 Saves, 3 Wins, 3.01 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 57 Ks

 

2012 Fantasy Draft Analysis

J.J. Putz has an ADP around 133, which means if you want to draft him, you better get him by round 12.  I’ll pass on that. 

At 35 and coming off a huge season, Putz is overvalued.  My recommendation is to pass on Putz that early.  If he is around in the 17th or 18th round take a chance, but otherwise you are taking on a closer who is injury-prone and hasn’t had two great back-to-back seasons since 2006-2007.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Fantasy Baseball 2012 Projection: Can Paul Goldschmidt Deliver More Than Just HR

While first base is generally considered among the deepest in all of fantasy sports, things have gotten even better with a recent influx of youngsters at the position.  Among those who have burst onto the scene is the Diamondbacks’ Paul Goldschmidt, who made the jump from Double-A to the Majors as a 23 year old (he turned 24 in September) and posted the following line:

156 At Bats
.250 Batting Average (39 Hits)
8 Home Runs
26 RBIs
28 Runs
4 Stolen Bases
.333 On Base Percentage
.474 Slugging Percentage
.323 BABIP

Goldschmidt caught everyone’s attention during his time at Double-A in 2011, hitting 30 HRs in 366 ABs.  You couple that with the 53 HRs he hit over his first two seasons—after being drafted in the eighth round of the 2009 draft—and you have a player with 83 HR in 1,178 ABs in the minor leagues.  That’s a home run every 14.2 ABs.

Let’s compare that to some of the best home run hitters in the Major Leagues in 2011:

  • Jose Bautista – HR every 11.9 AB
  • Matt Kemp – HR every 15.4 AB
  • Mike Stanton – HR every 15.2 AB
  • Ryan Braun – HR every 17.1 AB

Obviously the competition is dramatically different, but in his first taste of the Major Leagues Goldschmidt delivered a home run once every 19.5 ABs.  With more experience would it really be a surprise if he delivered like one of the elite sluggers in the game? 

If it is power that you are looking for, Goldschmidt is going to be a great selection, especially calling Arizona home.

With power should come RBIs and at least some runs, especially since he should ultimately hit fifth or sixth in the lineup.  Obviously, if he starts the season hitting seventh (or settles into the sixth slot) he won’t score as many runs, but if he can get to 70+ he should be alright.

The problem with Goldschmidt is the potential to struggle mightily in the average department, and it’s a potentially big issue.  He has suffered from strikeout issues since being drafted, and they culminated in the Major Leagues last season:

  • 2009 – Rookie League (287 ABs) – 22.4%
  • 2010 – Single-A (525 ABs) – 26.9%
  • 2011 – Double-A (366 ABs) – 20.1%
  • 2011 – Majors (156 ABs) – 29.9%

It’s not a surprise to see the leap forward against the tougher competition, and given what he did in Single-A in ’10, it may not be a completely unrealistic number either.  He did show some improvement with a little experience, going from a 32.6 percent strikeout rate in August to a 27.3 percent mark in September.  It’s not much, but at least it’s something.

If he can maintain a mark in the 27-28 percent range, given his power upside, he isn’t likely going to kill you in the average department (think around .255-.270).  The problem is it’s going to be a risky proposition.

What happens if the power isn’t quite what we expect?  The average is going to plummet (as is his overall value anyways).

What happens if the strikeouts remain extremely high?  He’s not going to hit for a strong average, which also will cost him RBI opportunities (since he won’t be making contact).

What happens if he doesn’t have much luck?  Well, you can see above, because it’s going to be the same scenario as if he had high strikeouts.

You put everything together and here’s what I am projecting for Goldschmidt for the 2012 campaign:

.260 (130-500), 29 HR, 85 RBI, 70 R, 6 SB, .318 BABIP, .337 OBP, .500 SLG

The bottom line with Goldschmidt is that, while he has the potential to have a monster 2012 season, he also has the potential to be a player similar to Mark Reynolds.  Obviously that’s a player with value, but not quite as much since he’s almost going to cripple you in one category.  Just keep that in mind before setting your sights on him on draft day.

Is he a player I would recommend?  Yes, but more as a corner infielder and if I can get him at a discount.  There’s too much risk involved in investing highly in him.

What are your thoughts of Goldschmidt?  Is he a player you believe is worth drafting?  What type of numbers are you expecting from him in 2012?

Make sure to check out our 2012 projections:

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Stephen Drew and the Arizona Diamondbacks Have One More Year Together

Stephen Drew is penciled in to be the Diamondbacks opening day starter at shortstop. The reason for this is more of a depth issue than anything else. Truth be told, the Diamondbacks don’t have a shortstop on the team who can provide the kind of production needed at the Major League level.

Drew will make $7.7M this year and, at age 29, he is closer to leaving his prime than entering it. In 2013, Drew is slated to make $10M but it is a mutual option, meaning either side can opt out and with a $1.35M buyout, it could save the Diamondbacks a lot of money.

A closer look at Drew’s statistics show he is a very good defensive shortstop who gets a lot of triples. Curiously, he doesn’t steal very many bases, which tells me he takes advantage of the cavernous Chase Field to earn those triples.

His range factor is actually below average at shortstop (4.16 versus a league average of 4.41). However, anything above .970 for a fielding percentage as a shortstop is sterling, and Drew’s .978 career places him sixth among active shortstops.

Aside from the triples, Drew just doesn’t do a whole lot offensively. A career .270/.330/.442 hitter doesn’t scream $10M a year to me. The Diamondbacks would be happy with that production from a backup or from a platoon player, but not the highest paid Diamondback offensive player.

Yes, Drew makes more than Jason Kubel, Chris Young, and Justin Upton this year.

Drew is going to need a breakout year if he is expected to stay with the Diamondbacks in 2013. He would again be the highest paid Diamondback and if he duplicates his 2011 numbers before he got hurt (.252/.317/.396), that’s just way too much money.

Like this article? Show your support by becoming my fan here on Bleacher Report and follow me on Twitter!

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


MLB Network Baseball IQ: Arizona’s Josh DeFamio Escapes with Round 2 Win

With a 10-6 advantage over opponent Rich Linville of the Cincinnati Reds, Diamondbacks dbTV supervisor Josh DeFamio barely escaped with a ninth-inning showdown on MLB Network’s Baseball IQ. DeFamio took a huge risk and almost conceded defeat before Linville came up one trivia answer short of earning the come-from-behind victory.

DeFamio had built an early 10-2 lead before Linville won innings seven and eight to truly make it a ballgame.

The ninth-inning trivia question was: “Most HR by player whose primary career position was catcher.”

DeFamio elected to start the bidding process by stating he could name five players on that all-time list. Linville responded with eight, and DeFamio challenged him to produce those eight names.

After naming catchers Johnny Bench (389 HR), Yogi Berra (358), Carlton Fisk (376), Gary Carter (324), Javy Lopez (260), Lance Parrish (324) and Roy Campanella (242), Linville incorrectly named Darren Daulton, whose 137 career HR is 56 short of No. 20 Jason Varitek’s mark of 193.

Mike Piazza ranks No. 1 all-time, hitting 427 HR during his stellar career in which he was a 12-time All-Star, 10-time Silver Slugger Award winner, 1993 NL Rookie of the Year and MVP of the 1996 MLB All-Star Game.

DeFamio’s “narrow” 18-2 victory places him into the quarterfinals, where he will meet Colorado Rockies director of retail operations Aaron Heinrich, after Heinrich defeated the Dodgers‘ Seth Bluman with his own successful comeback campaign.

With DeFamio’s Round 2 victory, the D-Backs have now won $10,000 for the Arizona Diamondbacks Foundation charity.

If DeFamio runs the table and wins the tournament, the Diamondbacks stand to take home $45,000 for charity.

New episodes of MLB Network’s Baseball IQ run Tuesday through Thursday at 9:00 and 9:30 p.m. ET.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Diamondbacks’ Josh DeFamio Victorious in Round 1 of MLB Network’s Baseball IQ

With the 2011 professional baseball season a distant memory and spring training 2012 still a few weeks away, baseball’s around-the-clock television channel known as MLB Network has been angling for a new way to generate offseason ratings.

Enter Baseball IQ, MLB Network’s new series all about baseball trivia.

The concept is simple: 32 participants, including a front-office staffer from all 30 MLB teams, one person from MLB.com and another from the National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown compete in a tournament bracket through four rounds of MLB historical trivia, all in the name of crowning the most knowledgeable employee in all of baseball and donating a total of $190,000 to various team charities.

To determine which staffer would have the honor of representing each club, all 32 teams launched an internal trivia challenge, with the best performer winning the chance to fly to MLB Network headquarters in Secaucus, New Jersey, to participate in Baseball IQ.

The Diamondbacks sent dbTV Graphics Supervisor Josh DeFamio, who is playing for the Arizona Diamondbacks Foundation.

A native of Camden, New Jersey who added to his knowledge of East Coast teams upon moving west to attend Arizona State University, DeFamio explains his fascination with baseball statistics: “I’ve always been good at remembering stuff, remembering lists. Categorizing memories. Baseball seemed perfect for that kind of stuff.”

DeFamio worked for the Diamondbacks, Philadelphia Phillies and scoreboard manufacturer Daktronics before returning to Arizona prior to the 2008 season, where he has been ever since.

DeFamio won his Round One matchup against Houston Astros ticket sales representative Ben Coburn when Coburn was unable to name nine of the 20 players with the most career stolen bases since 1901.

The final score of DeFamio’s Round One game was Diamondbacks 20, Astros three.

DeFamio next faces off against Cincinnati Reds scoreboard operator Rich Linville, who defeated Pitsburgh Pirates account manager Steve Morse in his first-round matchup.

MLB Network has not yet announced air dates for Round Two.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Starting Pitcher Joe Saunders Will Return to the Arizona Diamondbacks

After several months of speculation leading to the assumption that starting pitcher Joe Saunders and the Arizona Diamondbacks had parted ways, the two sides have agreed on a one-year contract, much to everyone’s surprise.

Under the terms of the unlikely deal, Saunders will earn $6 million for his services in 2012, rejoining a Diamondbacks team that had reshuffled their pitching staff in the wake of what initially appeared to be Saunders’ departure.

Instead, Saunders joins returning cast members Ian Kennedy, Daniel Hudson and Josh Collmenter, while welcoming Wade Miley and Trevor Bauer from the minor leagues and Trevor Cahill from the Oakland Athletics.

The unlikely reunion of Arizona and Saunders is likely due to both parties’ collective inability to secure greater deals with others than they were able to with one another.

When the Diamondbacks offered Saunders a two-year, $12 million contract in December, he rejected the offer, wishing to explore the free agent market.

Saunders looked from Baltimore to Boston, but was unable to find a team willing to offer him significantly more than two years for $12 million.

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks traded prospects Jarrod Parker, Collin Cowgill and Ryan Cook to the Athletics for starter Cahill and veteran reliever Craig Breslow.

At the time, Cahill was seen as Plan B, the best option to replace Saunders, and join several rookies and prospects in the Diamondbacks starting rotation.

Instead, with Saunders back on the roster in 2012, GM Kevin Towers is hopeful the move will “allow our [prospects] more time in the minor leagues to develop. We don’t think it’s going to be too long before they’re ready, and if there’s an injury we’ve created more depth.”

Now that Saunders is back in town, the Diamondbacks look to come out ahead—Cahill will become their No. 3 or No. 4 starter, and there is plenty of flexibility with Miley, Bauer and other D-Backs prospects.

In the end, both parties will come out as winners.

Saunders, who made $5.5 million in 2011, will still receive a pay raise of $500,000 and will enjoy remaining in Arizona.

For the Diamondbacks, this signing is a best-case scenario: Saunders’ return maintains the gel of the starting rotation, while the club retains Saunders for practically what they offered him in December.

And if Arizona happens to consider a trade at some point in 2012, Saunders’ presence affords the club more flexibility when it comes to starting pitching, whether Saunders is the one traded or not.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Arizona Diamondbacks: 5 Worst Moves in D’backs History

The Diamondbacks have been busy in recent weeks. They’ve made trades and signed free agents in an effort to repeat as the NL West division champions in 2012.

Only time will tell if the moves will be successful, but looking back at some of their previous offseasons, we can say that there were definite flops.

Here are the five worst offseason moves in the Diamondbacks history.

Begin Slideshow


Diamondbacks Pitching Staff Too Deep and Too Cheap to Bring Back Joe Saunders

The sports industry is a business.

It is a phrase ballplayers, coaches, teams, bookies and the press know all too well. Money is made and lost based on what happens between—and occasionally outside—the lines.

For 2011 Diamondbacks starting pitcher Joe Saunders, it was a lesson that has been learned time and time again throughout his career.

From his early years spent climbing through the Los Angeles Angels‘ organization to his trade to Arizona in 2010, Saunders was familiar with the dark, economic side of sports.

So when the 2011 MLB season concluded and the Diamondbacks were attempting to avoid arbitration with Saunders, the club offered him a two-year, $12 million contract.

He and agent Greg Genske said “no,” and countered with three years at $27 million.

Arizona never responded.

Saunders was recently interviewed by Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic, stating he “really wanted to come back” and describing his counteroffer as “very reasonable.”

For the Diamondbacks, the decision not to tender Saunders was fairly fundamental.

Saunders had not enjoyed a winning season since 2009 with the Angels, and with 12 wins in 2011, he averaged $458,333 per win—$35,000 more than 21-game winner Ian Kennedy made over the course of the entire season.

For the Diamondbacks, the decision not to meet Saunders’ counteroffer was simple—Kennedy, Daniel Hudson, Trevor Cahill, Josh Collmenter and probable fifth starter Wade Miley will earn less than $20 million combined in 2012, or an average of $4.0 million per pitcher.

Saunders is most comparable to Cahill, the pitcher slated to replace Saunders on the D-Backs’ 2012 list of starting pitchers.

Saunders was a 12-13 pitcher in 2011 with a 3.69 ERA and 108 K, while Cahill finished with a 12-14 record, 4.16 ERA and 147 K with the Oakland Athletics.

Saunders, however, had asked for three years at $27 million, an average of $9.0 million per year, while Cahill was already under contract from Oakland to earn just $3.5 million in 2012, $5.5 million in 2013 and $7.7 million in 2014.

Cahill had also seen similar success in 2010, as Saunders had in 2008. Cahill was an 18-game winner two seasons ago, while Saunders won 17 games in 2008.

As far as Arizona and GM Kevin Towers are concerned, Cahill is 2012’s Saunders, albeit at a much cheaper price via this month’s trade with the A’s.

With Cahill, Collmenter and Miley raring to go along with minor league prospects Tyler Skaggs and Trevor Bauer waiting in the wings, the Diamondbacks have several fine options for the pitcher’s position.

As Saunders concluded the Diamondbacks “wanted to go a different direction,” the fact of the matter is that Arizona simply didn’t need to a pay a ~.500 pitcher in excess of seven or eight million dollars.

Arizona’s 2012 pitching staff is simply too deep and too cheap to include Saunders.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Trevor Cahill In, Jarrod Parker Out: Diamondbacks Trade Is in Eye of Beholder

On Friday, the Arizona Diamondbacks acquired pitchers Trevor Cahill and Craig Breslow from the Oakland Athletics in exchange for right fielder Collin Cowgill and pitchers Jarrod Parker and Ryan Cook.

While some Diamondbacks fans may be quick to criticize this trade, the addition of both Breslow and Cahill falls in line with GM Kevin Towers’ comments last month regarding a wish to add “more veteran pitching” to the roster.

Breslow is a left-handed pitcher who has amassed a 3.06 career ERA in six MLB seasons with the San Diego Padres, Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians, Minnesota Twins and Oakland.

As Breslow has never started a game at the major league level in his career, expect this 31-year-old to work exclusively out of the Arizona bullpen, where he will add experience and veteran leadership to a relief staff whose average age is in the mid-20s.

Breslow’s extensive experience throughout baseball will be a nice compliment to the development of potential newer pitchers Sam Demel, David Hernandez and Zach Kroenke, to name a few.

Cahill is Breslow’s opposite: He is right-handed and has started all 96 MLB games he has appeared in for the Oakland A’s. With just three years in the league, he is technically a budding veteran, although his young age of 23 years suggests he still may be very receptive to further growth.

His statistics might have regressed from his All-Star 2010 season (18-8, 2.97 ERA) to 2011 (12-14, 4.16 ERA), but Cahill’s youth suggests a change of scenery and move from the AL to the NL might just be enough to jump start a period of success in the desert.

Cahill is a career 40-35 pitcher with a 3.91 ERA in his 583.0 innings of big league work. He ranked first in the AL with 34 games started in 2011, which is a testament to his durability.

Cahill’s level of experience and age is a perfect compliment to the projected Diamondbacks rotation of Ian Kennedy (26 years old), Daniel Hudson (24 years old), Josh Collmenter (25 years old) and potentially Micah Owings (29 years old), who went 8-0 last season as a primarily relief pitcher.

Owings, who was bumped from the Diamondbacks rotation in 2011 due to the acquisition of currently injured free agent Jason Marquis, should be a promising candidate for the No. 4 or No. 5 spot in the 2012 rotation.

Unfortunately and as trades tend to go, the Diamondbacks did surrender several key youngsters, including highly rated pitcher Jarrod Parker and outfielder Collin Cowgill.

Sure, Parker was injured and underwent what has become an increasingly routine Tommy John surgery in 2009, but since his return last season, he has continued to show signs of improvement and potential.

Though it is fairly impossible to predict MLB success from just one appearance, Parker pitched 5.2 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers in late September 2011, allowing zero runs and striking out one with a WHIP of 0.88 in his big league debut.

Cowgill played 36 games in his first year at the major league level, recording a .239 batting average in 92 at bats. Cowgill had received numerous awards at the minor league level, including five All-Star selections over his past MiLB two seasons and receiving the PCL Rookie of the Year Award in 2011.

As much as the Diamondbacks wanted to bolster their rotation and bullpen heading into 2012, the A’s were eager to start rebuilding a team that hasn’t seen postseason baseball since 2006.

This trade allows both teams to make a statement—just with different levels of enthusiasm.

In an offseason that has seen the Los Angeles Angels acquire Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson on the same day, perhaps no other transaction can come anywhere close to drawing a similar level of fervor.

Still, the Diamondbacks’ end of the bargain seems particularly ho-hum compared to the A’s acquiring Parker and Cowgill.

Cahill and Breslow might be what the GM ordered, but the names seem excessively practical in this offseason trade environment, especially when contrasted with the departure of Parker—and the buzz associated with his maturation.

Ultimately, to declare Diamondbacks are significantly better or worse because of this trade is rather premature and inevitably subjective.

Cahill has never pitched for a non-Oakland team before and even in his limited experience against the National League in 2011, Cahill was fairly consistent with a 2-1 record and 2.52 ERA. His two starts against the San Francisco Giants and one against the Philadelphia Phillies were virtually flawless with a sub-1.15 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 21.2 innings pitched.

In 2010, Cahill was 3-0 against the NL with a 2.42 ERA in four starts.

Breslow pitched his best during his brief stint with San Diego in 2005, his only NL team, and has kept his ERA under control as of late.

Both pitchers’ win-loss records in Oakland are not very revealing because they both played for a team with one of the worst offenses in the American League over the past few years—third to last place in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, home runs, RBI, runs scored, hits and total bases.

The glass-half-full Arizona fan might also point to the uncertainty of Parker’s lasting post-Tommy John potential, the risk involved in signing three fresh-faced ballplayers and the relief of unloading three debatable prospects.

On the other hand, the glass-half-empty Arizona fan might point to the loss of a potentially great prospect in Parker, a highly decorated young outfielder in Cowgill and an apparently middle-of-the-road Cahill and Breslow combination.

In the end, the value and outcome of the Diamondbacks and Athletics trade is truly in the eye of the beholder.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Copyright © 1996-2010 Kuzul. All rights reserved.
iDream theme by Templates Next | Powered by WordPress