Tag: Baltimore

2011 Fantasy Baseball: Why Derrek Lee Will Be a Sleeper

Derrek Lee had a down year in 2010. Lee’s 19 home runs marked his lowest total since 1998 (min. 250 PA). His 80 runs were his lowest total since 2000. His 80 RBI were his lowest total since 2001.

I suppose saying he had a “down year” is a bit of an understatement. From 2007-2009 Lee averaged 26 home runs, 92 runs, 94 RBI, .304 AVG and a .340 BABIP. So what gives?

A closer look at Derrek Lee’s peripherals suggests serious unluckiness. Lee’s 2010 BABIP of .309 is his lowest since 2004 and doesn’t match his .322 career mark. The huge dip in his BABIP doesn’t jive with his 22.5 percent line-drive rate and career-low 1.3 percent infield fly-ball rate. All of Lee’s other peripherals are fairly similar to his career.

The Orioles offense looks very strong for 2011. Lee will be batting third behind Brian Roberts and Nick Markakis who get on base at a decent clip. Vladimir Guerrero, Luke Scott and Mark Reynolds will be batting behind him. Lee is hitting in a much-improved lineup and looks to have the perfect setup. Derrek Lee will have boatloads of opportunities to score and drive in runs.

Camden Yards has a 126 home run index for right-handed hitters. Compare that to Turner Field (92) and Wrigley Field (102).

Derrek Lee’s current ADP is 273. He is being taken after Adam Lind (182.1), Adam LaRoche (182.6), Carlos Pena (197.3), Gabby Sanchez (210.9) and Ike Davis (228.9). Adam LaRoche put up the best line of the five listed with .261/75/25/100. Those numbers are certainly obtainable.

It’s no guarantee that Lee will outperform all these guys but, the value is certainly there. Why even waste a pick on Paul Konerko (70.8), Billy Butler (84.1) or Aubrey Huff (107.2) when you can draft Derrek Lee 140-185 picks later?

2011 Projection: .291 AVG, 85 R, 27 HR, 93 RBI, 1 SB

Our Next Sleeper will be: Gordon Beckham

Previous Sleeper: Luke Scott

Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is a Senior Writer for 4thandHome.com where this, and other work, can be found. Additionally, he is co-host of The 4th and Home Show on Blog Talk Radio.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Brian Matusz Destined to Become the Ace of the Baltimore Orioles Rotation

In 2008, the Baltimore Orioles banked on the University of San Diego’s stand out pitcher Brian Matusz becoming the future ace of their starting rotation and in 2011 there’s a very good chance that future is now.

Baltimore would select Matusz with their first round pick of the 2008 Major League Baseball draft. This lead to extensive and exhausting contract negotiations that would ultimately end with Matusz and his agent finally agreeing to terms with the O’s on the last possible day for MLB teams to sign their drafted rookies.

Despite a less than smooth transition into the Orioles organization, Matusz would impress during his first season in the minors, so much so that Baseball America would name him the ninth best pitching prospect in the middle of the 2009 season. Though his 2009 season in the majors would prove to be nothing flashy, posting an ERA above 4.0 and earning a WHIP of 1.48, he was able to win five of his eight starts during his short time in the majors.

The lefty from Grand Junction, Colorado, would earn himself a considerable amount of hype from the Baltimore fan base during the following off-season, with many believing that the 2010 season would be the breakout season for Matusz, considering he’d have a full season in the MLB.

In the early goings of the 2010 season, the Orioles lefty would fall short of his hype, struggling out of the gate in the months of April and May. One could very well make the argument that Matusz was a victim of his team’s lack of offensive support, but the O’s number 17 had considerable difficulty keeping his ERA below 4.50 despite racking up a respectable amount of strikeouts in each many outings.

The struggles would only continue for Matusz as the calendar turned to June and July, winning just one of his 12 starts during the two month stretch. The only redeeming parts of the Colorado native’s season came at the end of the summer when Matusz would showcase all the talents that made him the most highly regarded pitching prospect in the Baltimore organization.

The young hurler posted a 2.18 ERA over his last 11 starts and record seven wins over the last two months of the season. Not only did he record seven wins, he recorded them over the likes of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, the Texas Rangers and the entire American League East.

With Matusz already cemented into the second rotation spot in new manager Buck Showalter’s rotation, the Orioles and their fan base are hoping to see their pitcher continue his late 2010 stretch into the new season and take his rightful place as the true ace of the Baltimore rotation. Matusz has the raw stuff to achieve this goal and respectable off-season acquisitions by the O’s front office has given the organizations’ prized lefty an offense to support him on the mound.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


AL East Positional Analysis and Ranking: Starting Rotation (No. 4 Starter)

I am in the midst of a series examining the relative strengths and weaknesses of the teams in the AL East, on a position-by-position basis. The players at each position are being ranked in relation to their peers within the division, with each team being assigned points based on where their player ranks in comparison to the other players.

Today, the series continues with a look at the No. 4 starters in each rotation.

The best player will earn 10 points for his team, with the remaining players being assigned points as follows: 7-5-3-1.

At the end of the process, I will accumulate all of the points for each team and create a divisional power ranking.

Begin Slideshow


Baltimore Orioles: Revamped and Ready To Return To Glory

The Baltimore Orioles have been a poor excuse for an MLB team for a few years now. They have had talented players come in and out of this organization, but have never been able to put the pieces together to created a successful team. Before this offseason the O’s had some talented players, like Matt Wieters, Adam Jones and Brain Matusz, but not enough pieces to contend in the star driven AL East.

This offseason however the Baltimore organization has decided to put the wheels in motion and add a few talented players for Buck Showalter to work with. Buck lead the Orioles to a 34-23 record in the short stint he had at the end of the season. With his new talent he will hopefully end the 13-year consecutive losing seasons streak.

Begin Slideshow


AL East Positional Analysis and Ranking: First Base

Over the next two weeks, I’ll examine the relative strengths and weaknesses of the teams in the AL East, on a position-by-position basis.

The players at each position will be ranked in relation to their peers within the division, with each team being assigned points based on where their player ranks in comparison to the other players.

Today, the series continues with a look at the first basemen.

Begin Slideshow


MLB Power Rankings: Rating the 30 Managers Heading Into 2011

Ranking Major League Managers can be a tricky business. Managing can be, like standing on a razor edge; one wrong move and you’ll get cut. 

It seems that no matter, what the city, or team, managers are always on the hot seat.  Security in this job, is never guaranteed, so it comes as no surprise that, entering the 2011 season we have twelve teams sporting new managers. 

What may come as a shock, is that seven of these men, are rookie managers; untested in any way, shape, or form. This makes it as difficult, to rank these seven men, as a blind man judging a beauty pageant. 

With this in mind, I am going to give it, that “ole college try” and rank these men from bottom to top, heading into the 2011 season. 

Begin Slideshow


MLB Rumors: Five Potential Suitors for Cardinals 1B Albert Pujols

There are some athletes in today’s world of sports that will seemingly never play for a team other than their current club.

Certain players are synonymous with their teams, and wrapping one’s head around the notion that they may play for a different team is just not plausible.

The likes of Tom Brady, Kobe Bryant, Derek Jeter, Peyton Manning, and Albert Pujols could each be placed in this category.  

However, there was once a time when seeing Brett Favre, Michael Jordan, or Joe Montana in a different uniform was thought to be ludicrous.

Pujols is St. Louis. He has spent his entire career a Cardinal, brought them a title, is the face of the franchise, and his charitable work around the community has done wonders to endear himself to St. Louis residents.

Pujols is a free agent after the coming MLB season, and negotiations with the team have not been progressing, and a potential doomsday scenario is fast approaching for Cardinals fans.

Many members of Cardinal faithful would struggle to find the meaning of life in a Pujols-less world.

While it is quite likely Pujols re-signs with St. Louis to finish his career a Cardinal, there is the distinct possibility the best player in the game today takes a more lucrative offer to play elsewhere, ala LeBron James.

Here are the five most likely destinations if Pujols were to hit the open market.

Begin Slideshow


Derrek Lee, JJ Hardy, Kevin Gregg and Mark Reynolds: All Signs of Improving O’S

Going into the 2010 off season, the Baltimore Orioles had seemingly the same needs as they do every off season: first base, shortstop, third base, closer, and starting pitching.

They tried to get by, like they do every year, with the cheap patch-work signing of Cesar Isturis, who failed miserably, hitting just .230 in the process. Thankfully, this year he will be in a more suitable role of back-up utility infielder, where he still could hold some value off the bench.

Comparing the starting lineups per position of most games played, which would you rather have?

2010 Orioles                                            2011 Orioles

1B Ty Wigginton                                      Derrek Lee

2B Brian Roberts                                     Roberts

SS Cesar Izturis                                      JJ Hardy

3B Miguel Tejada                                     Mark Reynolds

LF Felix Pie                                            Pie ??

RF Nick Markakis                                   Markakis

CF Adam Jones                                      Jones

C Matt Wieters                                       Wieters

DH Luke Scott                                        Scott

Improvements all across the board (and I really mean it this year!)

Across the board Lee, Hardy, and Reynolds are upgrades over their predecessors. Overall, the team ranked 27th in MLB in runs last year with just 613. The three players that left, Tejada, (15HR 71 RBI), Wigginton, (22HR, 76RBI) and Izturis (1HR 28 RBI) (demoted) combined for 38HRs and 175RBI respectively.

Their replacement-upgrades on the other hand, Mark Reynolds (32HRS, 85RBI), Derrek Lee (19HRS, 80RBI), and JJ Hardy (6HR 38RBI) combined for 57HRS and 203 RBI. Heck, Reynolds and Hardy alone hit as many homers as the previous trio and that doesn’t even factor in Derrek Lee’s 19 bombs.

In addition, Reynolds (27), Lee (35) and Hardy (28) average 30 years of age compared to 33 for Tejada (36 allegedly), Wigginton (33), and Izturis (30). For those thinking that experience and veteran leadership will surely be lost, consider that they didn’t exactly win with that wisdom last year, so getting younger can’t hurt and the players they brought in are hardly washed up in any sense like in years past with the Orioles.

In fact, I see Derrek Lee having a Bobby Bonilla or Eddie Murray type veteran impact and influence on this team like in the mid-90s, when the team was making annual playoff pushes. Its a move more typical of Pat Gillick’s deadline deals, so look at it as they got him a few months early.

For those thinking they did okay on offense but they forgot to address defense, each player is also known for his defense. In Lee and Hardy’s case, it could be argued their defense is actually better than their offensive game, which in Lee’s case is particularily complementary since he’s such a solid hitter.

What about the pitching?

For those thinking Andy McPhail addressed only offense and defense but neglected the pitching, the team not only kept middle reliever Koji Uehara, who improved once he found his niche in the bullpen, but also added closer Kevin Gregg from divisional rival Toronto, thus directly hurting them and forcing them to downgrade to Octavio Dotel.

While Gregg had a high (3.51) ERA last year for a closer with the Blue Jays, he did amass 37 saves, which would rank almost three times as many as saves leader Uehara’s 13. Besides, if someone else had signed him, say the Boston Red Sox, they’d be praised for strengthening an already solid bullpen and for giving themselves options should Jonathan Papelbon get himself into trouble.

So the Orioles did what they had to do, and in Lee and Gregg’s cases, overpaid for free agents who normally don’t want to come there for obvious reasons. In each case, minus Hardy, who I think will have the least impact of the quartet but remains a mild upgrade nonetheless, ask yourself this, “If not him. than who?”

We know in Lee’s case it would have been Adam LaRoche and while he too would have been an upgrade, we now have the next year to evaluate how he does in Washington. We can wonder what he may have done in Baltimore as his stats will be compared nightly to Lee’s and see who came out better on the deal.

For me personally, I was pulling for LaRoche initially because of his consistency (20+ hrs in six of seven big-league seasons including three straight 25) but I was swayed by the fans’ desire from message boards to blogs for the more professional veteran perceived to be the more complete hitter in Lee. We’ll see who won out.

So what does it all mean for 2011?

With the Rays‘ inevitable demise (although I think their starting pitching will keep them in more games than people think) and likely falling to the cellar, logic would suggest the Orioles would simply ascend to 4th, but not so fast, my friends.

Look at the New York Yankees who didn’t make a single upgrade to their current roster, having only kept icons Derek Jeter, who had the worst season of his career, and Rivera, who contrary to reports, wasn’t going anywhere. I refuse to give them credit for keeping their guys.

They failed to upgrade a bat in Carl Crawford and with it, youth and speed. They failed to land Cliff Lee to go with a weakened, aging, and thin starting rotation. At this point it’s Sabathia, Burnett and pray-to-God that Andy Pettite comes back.

With him, I think they finish no higher than 3rd, due to their continued lack of starting pitching and adding no impact free agents or youth. Yes they got Russell Martin, but that’s it.

Without Pettite I think there is a very serious battle for 3rd with Baltimore right behind Boston (1st) and Toronto (2nd) who lost only Gregg among its impact free agents. (I love their Rajai Davis move by the way.)

Long story short, I was going to have the O’s finish some five games or so behind the Yankee$ for third anyway, just to show the gap has been closing, and because of the O’s lack of starting pitching.

I still think they need to add a 15 game winner (Garza would have been perfect) and I have no idea how manager Buck Showalter got that staff to go 34-23 to finish the season (the team’s record).

Still, if they can get a lead with their hitting and hold it for five innings, qualifying that starter for the win before they go to their bullpen, as of today, I’m going to go bold and say they finish 3rd, something around 83 wins. But my projections will come out in mid February or early March when all the moves are done.

In a perfect world (outside of winning the division), they could finish 2nd and vie for the Wild Card, but that’s simply too optimistic with that lack of starting pitching. They also have to be careful not to succumb to too many changes too quickly in fitting in the new guys.

Still, a hot start (April and May) mixed with a solid finish (August and September like last year) would allow for some back-to-reality falling, which I predict, in the summer months of June and July, will get them their 3rd place finish.

The hot start would infuse optimism like in 2004 when Tejada, Lopez, and Palmeiro came to town, giving me memories of 1996-97, the last time the team made the post-season only to see that dashed. The strong finish would give people hope for next year and have them end on a positive note instead of the Blue Jay-esque hot finish last year that no one knows what to make of.

That Wild card push could come next year if they expand the playoffs to include two Wild Cards. Many people including FoxSports.com’s John Paul Morosi are so quick to just hand to Toronto. Next year is not our year, but for the first time since the 2003 offseason, it could be closer than it’s been for a long time. If you are sensing the parallels to the 90’s and the references I am making, you are not alone.

They say it’s not how you start but how you finish, but in the Orioles’ case, why can’t it be both?

Information and statistics from ESPN.com directly contributed to the content of this article.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Cellar Dwellers No Longer: Why Orioles Can Climb AL East Ladder

The Baltimore Orioles have been busy this offseason. Since the winter began, the O’s have been making under-the-radar moves, quietly upgrading several areas of the club.

They finished revamping their infield with the signing of first baseman Derek Lee on New Year’s Eve, and on Tuesday, solidified their bullpen even further after agreeing to terms with free agent right-hander Kevin Gregg.

Even still, many people think that the Orioles lack the star power to move out of the tough AL East’s cellar, but the O’s are operating differently. They’ve assembled an interesting cast of characters and could surprise a few people in 2011.

The Orioles began a small rebuilding process in 2010, when they fired manager Dave Trembly in June and interim-manager Juan Samuel (now with the Philadelphia Phillies coaching staff) took over.

The team didn’t respond to Samuel either, and the O’s front office made the decision to replace their manager mid-season, as opposed to waiting until the offseason like most of baseball’s other teams.

On July 30, 2010, the Orioles announced that Samuel would become a scout for the team in the Dominican Republic and the team had hired Buck Showalter. The Orioles’ wanted a man with experience, and that’s what they got.

Showalter had managed the New York Yankees, Arizona Diamondbacks and Texas Rangers prior to managing the Orioles, and Baltimore had to swoon him away from a cozy analyst’s position with ESPN.

Showalter had garnered a reputation over the course of his managerial career as being a tough, hard-nosed guy with an affinity to draw the potential out of his players, especially younger guys.

The young Orioles seemed to respond in the same way. In the 57 games that Showalter managed the O’s in 2010, the team posted a record of 34-23, the best record of any American League East team during that stretch.

Ready for his first full season as the manager of the Baltimore Orioles, Showalter spent little time adding the right pieces to this team—more importantly, pieces that fit. Instead of making ludicrous offers to big-name free agents and hoping that something sticks, Showalter and the rest of the team’s front office targeted specific areas of need and filled them with an eerie ease.

The O’s made their first splash of the offseason by acquiring the third base power bat that they’ve been looking for. On Dec. 16, they struck a deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks, acquiring slugger Mark Reynolds for talented right-handed pitcher David Hernandez and relief pitcher Kam Mickolio.

Though he isn’t the ideal hitter, Reynolds will certainly give a much-needed boost to the Orioles’ lineup. The third baseman had fallen out of favor with the Diamondbacks after posting a slash line of .198 / .320 / .433, but he still managed to hit 32 home runs in Arizona.

The biggest flaw in his game is, and always has been, his incredible strikeout rate. Reynolds has been punched out over 200 times in each of the last three seasons, and the Orioles hope that a change of scenery and a move out of the NL West, which features some of the greatest pitching in baseball, will give Reynolds a boost in his numbers.

The trade was rather easy to make for the Orioles—a couple of pitching prospects for a third baseman that once hit .260 / .349 / .543, with 44 home runs is a rather low risk decision.

Three days later, the Orioles replaced interim shortstop, the offensively challenged Cesar Izturis, with newly expendable Minnesota Twins shortstop JJ Hardy. When the Twins made their signing of Japanese import Tsuyoshi Nishioka clear, Hardy became trade bait, and Orioles and Twins were able to agree to a deal that sent Hardy and utility infielder Brendan Harris to Baltimore for relievers Jim Hoey and Brett Jacobson.

When the Twins acquired Hardy from the Milwaukee Brewers after the 2009 season, they expected a bit more of a rebound in Hardy’s numbers than they saw. Even still, Hardy posted a solid slash line of .268 / .320 / .394, with six home runs. More importantly, he lowered his strikeout rate and saw rises in his batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage from the year prior. He also continued to be a very good defender in the field. He made just 11 errors and posted a UZR of 8.1—the second highest of his career.

Over the next month or so, the Orioles would go to work both replacing the traded bullpen arms and upgrading that same bullpen. They re-signed one of the free agent market’s top relievers in right-hander Koji Uehara and signed a couple of former Toronto Blue Jays—Jeremy Accardo, who spent most of the 2010 season with Toronto’s AAA affiliate, and Kevin Gregg, who spent the 2010 season as the Jays’ closer.

In his second season in the United States, and first full season as a major league reliever, Uehara quietly had a terrific season out of the Orioles bullpen. In 43 games, he posted a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.86, and a FIP of 2.40 that suggests he was even better than that.

He struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings, while walking just over one. He had a very strong WHIP of 0.95, and gave up just over a home run per nine innings. With the addition of Gregg, Uehara will become one of the best—if not the best—set-up men in the American League East.

Accardo, 29, is probably the least important of the Orioles’ signings, but still noteworthy. Though he hasn’t had a truly good statistical season, through and through since 2007, he has posted consistently good numbers in Toronto’s AAA affiliate.

In 41 games there last season, he posted a record of 2-2, with an ERA of 3.64 (3.44 FIP), converting 24 saves for the Las Vegas 51’s. Though declining, he still has good life on his fastball, and despite the fact that he couldn’t last in a very talented Blue Jays’ bullpen, there is still a need for a guy like Accardo in Showalter’s bullpen. He should bolster the Orioles’ bullpen in the middle innings.

The final bullpen addition, to date, is the new closer for the Baltimore Orioles, right hander Kevin Gregg, who has reportedly agreed to a two-year, $10 million deal with the O’s, with a vesting option for a third year.

Gregg was one of the more appealing closers on the market, mainly because of the fact that he wouldn’t cost the team that signed him a draft pick as a Type B free agent, though Toronto still receives a draft pick for his departure.

Though he wasn’t the most dominant of closers in 2010, Gregg was very consistent. He converted 37 saves for the Blue Jays, and posted an ERA of 3.51 (3.57 FIP).

Though it may not have been their first intention, the O’s are also signing a man who has pitched in the American League before, and has been one of the most versatile relievers in baseball, excelling in roles as a middle reliever, set-up man and closer in the past. He brings certainty to a bullpen in Baltimore that has not been certain for quite some time.

The final addition, once again, to date, was the signing of free agent first baseman Derrek Lee. The long time Florida Marlin and Chicago Cub was traded to the Atlanta Braves mid-season in 2010 after a slow start with the Cubs.

After arriving in Atlanta, Lee posted a respectable slash line of .287 / .384 / .465, with three home runs, helping the Braves to secure the National League Wild Card.

Though he was operating with an injured thumb in 2010, he had a down season overall. In a healthy season, the Orioles are signing a first baseman who can hit for both average and power, reach base with great frequency and provide plus defense in the field. Having the option to use him as the designated hitter on some days does not hurt either, and the young Orioles can surely benefit from his veteran leadership.

So why are the Orioles any better this year than last year?

Their projected lineup already boasts notable upgrades at third base, shortstop, first base, and subsequently, in one of the corner outfield positions and at designated hitter.

The Orioles will also receive full seasons out of young players ready to break on to the scene in force in outfielder Adam Jones, catcher Matt Wieters and outfielder Felix Pie, including a bevy of young pitchers with newly acquired major league experience under their belt, including 2010 surprise Brian Matusz.

When the offseason began, Baltimore had several holes to fill. On the offensive side of the ball, they needed to add players who can hit for power and average, get on base and drive runners in, and they achieved all of those goals in some way, shape or form.

On the pitching side of the ball, they bolstered a weak bullpen with the addition of strong eighth- and ninth-inning guys, and a reliever who could provide solid innings for the O’s.

Take a look at the Orioles’ projected lineup for a moment: 2B Brian Roberts, SS JJ Hardy, 1B Derrek Lee, 3B Mark Reynolds, RF Nick Markakis, DH Luke Scott, CF Adam Jones, C Matt Wieters, LF Felix Pie.

Baltimore fans may not have been able to get excited about a lineup in years past, but the Orioles will feature a very balanced, motivated lineup in 2010 under Buck Showalter.

Even their rotation, which features a bounce-back candidate in Jeremy Guthrie, and surprising rookies from 2010 in Matusz, Jake Arrieta and Chris Tillman, and most importantly, a revamped bullpen, has to be forcing the other four teams of the AL East to be looking over their shoulders, even if just for a moment, at the Orioles.

The Orioles may not be able to compete for a division title in 2011, but that isn’t saying that they haven’t made great strides to improve. Their lineup can compete with that of the Tampa Bay Rays, and if their pitching staff holds up its end of the bargain, the Orioles may leave those Rays, or possibly even those Toronto Blue Jays, looking up at the new Baltimore Orioles come 2011’s close.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Busy Baltimore Orioles Lead Small-Market Resurgence

As my previous article about the Oakland A’s described the recent activity of these traditionally small-market and to some extent ’80s-competitive “super” power teams, because I discussed the A’s in that article I will omit them from this one, their moves notwithstanding.

With a weaker west, DeJesus and Matsui, can we just give the A’s the division now?

All of these teams were at some point (along with the Padres and Pirates, who will be discussed to some extent here but haven’t done as much as the above to warrant as much analysis) good in the 1980s when many of us of that generation started following baseball. It is because of this nostalgia that we endorse their resurgence since that is many of our first memories with the sport.

If I had to grade their activity to date I’d rank them in the following order in terms of competitiveness (translation: after these moves were made how likely they helped them move towards the playoffs):

  1. Oakland A’s (see other article for in-depth details)
  2. Milwaukee Brewers
  3. San Diego Padres
  4. Baltimore Orioles
  5. Washington Nationals
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates

 

Milwaukee Brewers

This team skyrockets to the top of this list with their bold move that literally had to make the increasingly irrelevant 🙂 New York Yankee$ jealous with their trade for Kansas City ace Zack Grienke.

We all know about the Brewers solid depth of hitting, and it was obvious it was being wasted. GM Doug Melvin made it a point to add two starting pitchers, and he did just that with ace Zack Grienke and solid No. 4 in Shawn Marcum, who should win a dozen or so games (likely more) out of that spot.

While I’d like to see them add one more starter yet, and I question who is going to close games, there is no question the rotation is so much better with:

Ace Grienke

Gallardo

Randy Wolf

Shaun Marcum

Chris Neverson

While I am still not convinced they could get second in the division which would mean a legit chance at fighting for the Wild Card since I think the NL Central is the Reds for the foreseeable future, they’ve at least given themselves a chance, on paper, to do just that. For the first time in a long time. It’s a move that could be seen as CC Sabathia II, basically a second chance at rolling the dice and acquiring an Ace for a second run at the playoffs for the small-market Brewers, who seem to win 80 every year now. That’s a vast improvement from the past.

 

San Diego Padres

After they lost a local marketable star in Adrian Gonzalez, everyone, myself included, expected the budget-conscious Padres to fall to fifth place after a surprising 2010 run.

While they have lost pitchers Jon Garland and Kevin Correia, whom they must replace, I have no doubt they will. They rebounded nicely with veteran additions Jason Barlett and Orlando Hudson, giving them a suddenly recognizable infield that could soon add Derrek Lee.

Maybe this team will be alright after all? While third place won’t get them in the playoffs, I think they have a legit chance at that now, which says a lot when you lose A-Gon early in the offseason for nothing (prospects), causing people to draw early conclusions about your 2011 chances.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The only reason they don’t move up higher is because they play in the American League East, and history shows even with their improvements all across the board, it’s still too much to overcome to make a difference.

Still, no one played better in the American League late than the O’s, who finished 2010 34-23 after new manager Buck Showalter came aboard. Can it carry over next year? Probably not, as I have no idea how the no-name pitching staff did that good, and we’ve seen teams like the Royals and notably Cito Gaston’s Blue Jays scorch at the end for seasons for 85 wins and fourth place year after year only to stay in that limbo.

This team has already taken on a lot of payroll, adding Mark Reynolds from the downtrodden Diamondbacks for two kids that never worked in their system, anyway, and in doing so added $10.5 million in payroll in moves not seen since their ’90s run.

Next, they added $7.25 million more in payroll by taking starting shortstop J.J. Hardy and utility man Brendan Harris off the Twins hands for two kids who may never pan out.

Finally, they re-signed solid relief pitcher Koji Uehara for $2 million less than he would he would have gotten had they simply picked up his option. They also remain in the hunt for Derrek Lee or Adam LaRoche at first, whom Reynolds wants, seeing how they played together in Arizona. The O’s also remain the favorites to land Kevin Gregg, who saved 37 last year for Toronto.

1B LaRoche or Lee

2B Roberts

SS Hardy

3B Reynolds

DH Scott

LF Pie?

RF Markakis

CF Jones

C Wieters

Suddenly that lineup looks solid with upgrades at 3B, SS and 1B from last year. If Showalter can have similar success with the X-factor starting rotation, this team may be a lot closer than you think, even in the suddenly crowded and competitive East where, outside of Boston, the gap continues to close.

 

Washington Nationals

They made their big splash with Jayson Werth. While its a highly controversial signing, it shows the once-small market Nationals have some money to spend and aren’t afraid to do it.

While they stupidly gave away Josh Willingham (see my A’s article), they claim it’s to save money to perhaps add a Derrek Lee, which, if true, is OK. But production-wise, it’s probably a wash, causing the team to not get better, but to hold ground.

While they didn’t land him, the fact they were in the Grienke talks shows how far this team has come in a willingness to spend. They dominated the winter meetings with their big splash as people continue to monitor them now. What else do they have up their sleeves? You have to think with losing out on Grienke, being in the talks for Cliff Lee before losing out on him, too, will only intensify their efforts to land Carl Pavano, to whom they’ve also been linked.

Like the Brewers, this team needs to add two starters to go with Jordan Zimmerman and Jason Marquis, but if they are able to do that their rotation looks like this:

???

Pavano

Zimmerman

Marquis

Lannan

That looks a lot better than in years past and like the Brewers moving Wolf down to his natural No. 3 and Gallardo to No. 2, they are able to shift guys down to their normal spots, causing them to pitch against more worthy, equal, and thus beatable opponents, allowing their teams to have a better chance than if they were mismatched due to lack of talent.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates

Don’t laugh, but adding Kevin Correia, Matty Diaz, and Lyle Overbay at SP, LF, and 1B are all upgrades over the crap they ran out their last year.

While these are all short-term, financially friendly contracts (i.e., asily movable contracts at the trading deadline so reminiscent of this franchise) they make the team better on paper (at least until they mess it up on the field, that is). Still, it’s nice to see they are active making Oakland A’s-like calculated moves and not just bargain shopping for scraps in January like usual small market teams in years past.

While the Phillies and Red Sox may steal all the headlines, these surprisingly active, small-market teams have quietly all improved, which is more than I can say for the big-market New York Mets, Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Angels or New York Yankee$.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Copyright © 1996-2010 Kuzul. All rights reserved.
iDream theme by Templates Next | Powered by WordPress