Tag: Chicago Cubs

Kyle Hendricks Injury: Updates on Cubs Pitcher’s Arm and Return

Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks left Saturday’s National League Division Series game against the San Francisco Giants after taking a line drive off his arm.

Continue for updates.


Latest Details on Hendricks’ Injury

Saturday, Oct. 8

X-rays on Hendricks’ arm were negative, per Chris Kuc of the Chicago Tribune.

Rick Morrissey of the Chicago Sun-Times reported the pitcher has a bruised arm.


Hendricks Tried to Stay in Game

Saturday, Oct. 8

Per Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports, Cubs manager Joe Maddon removed Hendricks after the right-hander tried to talk his manager into leaving him in.

Former Cubs outfielder Angel Pagan hit the liner off an 80 mph changeup from Hendricks, and it appeared to strike his forearm. Hendricks threw a few warm-up pitches, hoping to remain in the game, before Maddon made the decision to bring Travis Wood in from the bullpen.


Hendricks’ Surprise Breakout Season Gives Cubs Dominant Rotation

Hendricks is enjoying a breakout season for Chicago that’s left him among the league leaders in every major pitching category, including ERA (2.13) and ERA+ (188), per Baseball-Reference.com. It makes the prospect of an injury setback even more concerning as the team gears up for a potentially deep postseason run.

The 26-year-old has remained durable during the early stages of his major league career. He made 32 starts last season, his first full year in the big leagues, and has been a constant cog in Chicago’s rotation throughout 2016.

The Cubs still boast depth in their starting rotation for the postseason with Jon Lester, Jake Arrieta and John Lackey. Hendricks is a clear difference-maker after his breakout season, and it would be a huge loss if he has to miss extended time.

       

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Sweet-Swinging Javier Baez Primed to Be Cubs’ Breakout Star of 2016 Playoffs

The Chicago Cubs have no shortage of burgeoning stars.

Toss a fungo bat during Chicago’s pregame warm-ups, and you’re likely to hit a young stud: Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Addison Russell—the list goes on.

In Game 1 of the National League Division Series against the San Francisco Giants on Friday, second baseman Javier Baez nudged his name closer to the top of the Cubs’ up-and-comer leaderboard. 

With the score knotted 0-0 in the bottom of the eighth, Baez crushed a solo homer off Giants starter Johnny Cueto, much to the delight of the long-suffering Wrigley Field masses.

MLB.com’s Cut4 offered a look at the timely shot:

Prior to Baez’s blast, Cueto had been cruising, yielding no runs, two hits and no walks with nine strikeouts. Cueto went on to finish the eighth inning and added another strikeout, making his final line unequivocally impressive. 

On the other side, Cubs starter Jon Lester put up zeroes for eight innings, surrendering five hits with no walks and five strikeouts.

And trade-deadline acquisition Aroldis Chapman came on to slam the door in the ninth, toting his triple-digit heater.

It was a classic pitchers’ duel and a see-who-blinks-first affair.

There’s no shame on the menu for Cueto, who pitched brilliantly in his first postseason start with San Francisco.

Instead, heap credit on Baez, who could emerge as the breakout star of the 2016 playoffs.

“At times this year he’s carried us, both offensively and defensively,” Lester said of Baez, per MLB.com’s Chris Haft and Carrie Muskat. “It’s just been fun to watch. Any given night it seems like he makes a play to save the game for us.”

The 23-year-old had a solid season overall, posting a .273 average and .737 OPS in 142 games and putting up 11 defensive runs saved at second base.

The latter stat melds with the slick-fielding Russell to form arguably the flashiest keystone combo in baseball.

After hitting just .220 in August, Baez raised his average to .284 with 12 RBI in September and October. Now, after cutting his teeth with a 5-for-15 performance in the 2015 playoffs, he’s poised to do much, much more.

The ninth overall pick in the 2011 draft, Baez has worn the Cubs’ top-prospect label his entire pro career.

Still, it’s easy to get overshadowed in this gilded Chicago organization. You’ve got to shine to be noticed.

Right now, Baez is sparkling.

If you’re a Giants fans looking to lose more sleep tonight, there’s this, courtesy of USA Today‘s Bob Nightengale:

Whatever the outcome of this best-of-five Cubs/Giants tussle, Baez’s homer will stand as a moment in Cubs lore. So he’s got that going for him, which is nice, to quote noted North Side booster Bill Murray.

For his part, Baez struck an appropriately humble note.

“I had a big hit, but we have to turn the page,” he said after taking Cueto deep, per Paul Skrbina of the Chicago Tribune. “We have 10 wins to go.”

We know Cubs skipper Joe Maddon loves to mix and match his chess pieces, so don’t be surprised if switch-hitting veteran Ben Zobrist gets some reps at second.

Baez, however, will be given ample opportunities.

The Cubs are likely to face two more left-handers in this NLDS—Madison Bumgarner and Matt Moore—and Baez owns an .801 career OPS against southpaws compared to a .636 mark against righties.

The postseason is a time when anything can happen. Superstars crash to earth, and scrubs rise to prominence. If you’re looking for a guy with a shot to rise, however, keep your eyes trained on Baez.

The Cubs have no shortage of stars. On Friday, Baez showed why he deserves a place in the firmament.

                  

All statistics current as of Friday and courtesy of MLB.com and FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

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Snakebit Cubs Fanbase Confident, Ready for Most Important Postseason in Century

CHICAGO — To understand the psyche of Chicago Cubs fans is not to be a team historian.

Steve Bartman and the Curse of the Billy Goat are integral events in the long-suffering organization’s history. As are countless postseason disappointments.

But almost universally, fans of the team are not a group that dwells on its heartbreak. Cubs nation is not depressed, like a person in mourning. The World Series-starved fanbase is more giddy, like expecting parents.

The tenor around Wrigleyville, the appropriately named area that is home to Wrigley Field, is somewhat a result of the group of young players president of baseball operations Theo Epstein has brought to the club.

Even in previous years, however, there was an eternal optimism that permeated the neighborhood.

“The Cubs’ greatest thing is Theo and [manager] Joe Maddon,” said Freddy Fagenholz, who has been the general manager of the world famous sports bar Murphy’s Bleachers for the past seven years. “I think they’re going to have these guys ready for the game.

“They’ve been there before, and they haven’t done it. I think this is the best team that they’ve had that I can remember.”

Fagenholz spoke to Bleacher Report as members of the Cubs grounds crew were relaxing inside the bar, which is located at Clark Street and Sheffield Avenue, directly across from the entrance to Wrigley Field’s bleachers.

In his time, Fagenholz has seen more losing than winning. But pressed, he would not waver from his optimism, even though he is well acquainted with the team’s history of futility.

He is aware that on Tuesday, October 14, 2003, Bartman deflected a foul ball in the eighth inning of a potential NLCS-clinching Game 6, preventing right fielder Moises Alou from recording the inning’s second out.

At the time, Chicago led 3-0. What ensued was an eight-run eighth inning that forced a Game 7, which the Cubs lost.

Fagenholz was at Murphy’s Bleachers, as a patron, drinking and watching the game.

See, Wrigley Field is the epicenter of the neighborhood. It tells the story. But the surrounding bars serve to write the team’s prologue and epilogue.

Long before games start, fans pack bars that line Wrigley Field’s bordering streets—Addison, Clark, Sheffield and Waveland. Win or lose, they pile back in and party into the next day’s early hours.

Zach Strauss, whose family owns Sluggers, a bar on Clark Street, a little more than a Hail Mary throw from the Wrigley Field marquee, remembers his venue being packed to the brim for that 2003 NLCS game.

Kegs were tapped, liquor was being poured and eyes were glued to Sluggers’ numerous television screens. By the time the game ended, the place had flatlined.

“People left this place, [and] it was supposed to be a huge celebration, and it was like a 180,” Strauss said. “It was like a funeral.

“Everyone started crying. It was terrible.” 

Because Cubs games have been televised on WGN nationally for decades, the organization is one of the few entities in sports, such as the New York Yankees and Notre Dame football, that transcends geography.

Fans of the team dot the map.

All MLB teams are now on national television, and the MLB.tv package provides access to every game. But people from a previous generation still pass the fandom down to their offspring, almost like religion.

Justin Wollmershauser’s grandfather is from Chicago and was a Cubs fan. Wollmershauser is a Tulsa, Oklahoma, native but caught the bug. So much so that the 23-year-old moved to Chicago and lives above Merkle’s Bar and Grill, another Wrigleyville staple on Clark Street.

He said he made the move for the Cubs, to be there when the team finally wins a World Series.

Wollmershauser moved the same night in 2015 when the Cubs beat the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL Wild Card Game.

“They had to lift my mattress over fans that were jumping on cars and running up and down the streets just to get me moved in,” he said. “I was pretty excited for what was to come and going into the playoffs, the way the Cubs’ postseason has been, is twice as exciting.”

Robert Schweikher, 23, watched the Bartman game over his railing as a 10-year old in his West Lafayette, Indiana, home because, then 10, he was supposed to be asleep. When his parents found him crying after the game, they explained to him he’d have more heartbreak as a Cubs fan.

Later in his life, they suggested he move to Chicago. They lived there at one time. So Schweikher moved to Wrigleyville.

Today, not many people, the aforementioned proprietors included, blame Bartman. Thirteen years after the incident, it is widely understood he was one of many reaching for that baseball.

Bartman was just the unfortunate one to have touched it. That Alou immediately reacted negatively was no fault of Bartman’s. Nor was the error shortstop Alex Gonzalez made two batters later.

A strange phenomenon among Cubs fans is the group’s ability to get over heartbreak.

Rahsell Gordin is a bartender at Dark Horse on Sheffield Ave. She’s a Boston native and Red Sox fan but has worked at the Wrigleyville bar for the past 12 years. Her first was 2004, when the Red Sox won their first World Series since 1918.

She said she wasn’t made to feel bad about gloating that year, even though it was only a year removed from the ill-fated Bartman game.

Last year, she said grown men left the bar crying after the Cubs were swept out of the NLCS by the New York Mets.

“It’s just been like a roller coaster,” Gordin said. “Everybody has been waiting. Everyone’s hopes are up and up, and everyone is in a great emotional state.”

Good vibes are running rampant around Chicago’s north side. Cubs fans can’t get enough of it. It’s like dessert to someone with a sweet tooth.

Cubs superstar Addison Russell agreed, as he told Bleacher Report’s Zach Rymer he “can definitely see that Chicago is ready for something big to happen here.”

And no one can run away from it. Not even the Chicago Police Department.

The city is so optimistic about the team that the police department already has plans for street closures for potential series-clinching games, according to Al Rothlisberger, who is the general manager of HVAC Pub on Clark—a newer Wrigleyville watering hole.

Rothlisberger said police have already had meetings with the area’s proprietors, asking for their cooperation as it pertains to crowd management inside each establishment. Rothlisberger said he was holding a staff meeting after his interview with Bleacher Report in order to prepare for the playoffs.

But Cubs fans don’t even feel as though they are setting themselves up for disappointment. The group’s optimism lasts in perpetuity. Wollmershauser summed it up best: “If they don’t [win the World Series], I just know that the Cubs are going to be such a good contender for the World Series for years to come. There’s no point in even giving up on the Cubs.

“If not this year, then we learn something new and it’s next year.”

         

Seth Gruen is a national baseball columnist for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter @SethGruen.

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Addison Russell Q&A: ‘We’re Definitely Embracing What We Have Here in Chicago’

If the Chicago Cubs have their way, 2016 will be the year they finally end a 108-year World Series championship drought and send the Curse of the Billy Goat the way of the Curse of the Bambino.

Addison Russell aims to do his part. He may not have the biggest name on a star-studded Cubs team fresh off a 103-win regular season, but there’s no question he’s a rising star. The second-year shortstop was an All-Star for the first time in 2016, and his stellar defense and strong offense make him one of the best two-way players still standing.

Russell is partnering with MET-Rx for a campaign based on the pressure to deliver in October. As part of that, he took time Tuesday to talk with Bleacher Report about the trajectory of his career and the mood around Chicago and the Cubs themselves on the eve of the team’s National League Division Series matchup against the San Francisco Giants.

    

Bleacher Report: I want to start by going back into your personal history. You got your first taste of Wrigley Field in 2010, when you were there for the Under Armour All-America Game. Do you recall what your impressions of the stadium were at the time?

Addison Russell: I remember driving up on the bus and seeing where Clark and Addison met. I was like, “Oh, man, I didn’t know that Wrigley Field was on Addison St.” From there, that was my first impression.

And then you go into the ballfield and you see the ivy, you see the brick wall and these things from when you were a kid, and finally it’s just right there in front of you. And you get to play on the field with athletes from all over. So it was a pretty cool experience.

    

B/R: So you get traded over from Oakland in 2014. You come up last year. And this year, you had your coming-out party. You were an All-Star. Your offensive numbers improved. You played great defense. Is there any one thing from this season that you’re most proud of, and what was the biggest key for you to accomplish it?

AR: I would say my defense is something that I think improved tremendously. Obviously, I think the offensive side has too, with the slugging numbers. But I would say where I improved most would probably be mentally more than physically.

Just going through the grind of 162 games and waking up and going to sleep at different work hours. It’s just a lot. It’s a lot to cope with. That’s something that I’ll take out of this year and use for next year.

   

B/R: To play off that, how’s your confidence level going into the postseason this year compared to where you were last October?

AR: My confidence level is pretty high right now. I’ve been getting my reps. I’ve been getting my rest. We have another workout today. The body’s feeling great, so everything’s a go right now. Like I said, mentally, I feel like I’m prepared. I had a little bit of experience of it last year, and I’m just trying to use some of that experience going into our first series coming up. It should help a lot.

    

B/R: I want to ask you about the mood in Chicago these days. Cubs fans are notoriously fatalistic for reasons that are obvious. But what about now? Are they drinking the Kool-Aid? Is Chicago ready for this drought to end?

AR: I would say just from looking at the fans and conversing with the fans, I know that they’re ready for something big to happen here in Chicago. The fans have been awesome.

I know the team has been working really, really hard to make all this come true and that we’re trying our best and getting better every single day. We’re picking each other up. We’re doing the small things that a team needs to do to end up on top.

So yeah, I can definitely see that Chicago is ready for something big to happen here.

    

B/R: How about the mood in the clubhouse? You guys are obviously all aware of the history surrounding this franchise and the drought that’s been going on for over a century. But is that discussed at all? Is it bulletin-board material for you guys?

AR: I think the way that we go about it is just trying to get better each day. And over the course of the year, that has been the goal. And I think we’ve just been having some fun, man. We’re having some fun winning.

And at the same time, we’re getting the job done. Mentally, I think we need to stay where we’re at right now. That’s been working out for us this far. I don’t think we should change anything up. It’s been working great this whole year, and we’ve been dominating.

If we just stay that course and just try to get better every single day, I think we’ll have something good to look forward to.

   

B/R: Playing off that, Joe Maddon is in charge, and he’s been known to set a tone. But with guys such as John Lackey, Jason Heyward and Ben Zobrist coming aboard over the winter and all the young guys having a year of experience after last year, how would you say the character of this year’s team is different from the team that went to the National League Championship last year?

AR: You really get a good swirl and a good mix of veterans, rookies, youth and liveliness. Everything’s live. Everything’s fun. It seems like the veterans mesh really well with some of the younger guys and vice versa.

The younger guys say “What’s up?” to the veterans. They’re not shy at all. Just looking at the team in the clubhouse, the way that we converse and the way we interact with each other is something that I haven’t been a part of ever before.

It’s a pretty cool thing to see young Latins talk to the David Rosses or the Ben Zobrists of baseball and myself talk to [Anthony] Rizzo and KB [Kris Bryant] to where we can relate on certain things. We’re just meshing, man. It’s a perfect swirl, and it’s a perfect mix.

We’re definitely embracing what we have here in Chicago.

    

B/R: Is there one veteran in particular who’s had an especially big impact on you either personally or with your career?

AR: I would say David Ross and Ben Zobrist have been two of the big league guys who I’ve looked at the most. Just to see how they go about their business. They’ve had a lot of time in the big leagues, and they have a pretty good idea of what they need to do to accomplish whatever they need to accomplish for that year.

That’s really what I look at with those two guys.

   

B/R: You guys obviously had the best record, by far, in the league this year. But in the last 25 years, history hasn’t been so kind to the team with the best record in baseball. Only a couple of teams (h/t ESPN.com’s Jayson Stark) in the last 25 years with the best record have gone on to win the World Series. From your perspective, why can this Cubs team be an exception to the rule?

AR: I would say because not only are we looking at 100 or so wins, but we’ve got the rest that we need. We have a manager that has been in that playoff-type situation, a manager that has won World Series before*.

We have guys who have won World Series before. We have professionals that just know how to handle this situation and that we’re not afraid to pick the ear of and really tap in and get to know what we need to know and what to expect whenever we go through these situations. That’s something that is different, I feel.

*Joe Maddon only took the Tampa Bay Rays to the World Series in 2008 but had won it six years earlier as the bench coach for the 2002 Anaheim Angels.

    

B/R: One last question for you: If this does become the team to snap the 108-year drought in Chicago, do you know what the first thing you’re going to do to celebrate is?

AR: I’m probably gonna hang out with my family, kiss my children and, yeah, just pop bottles with my family or something like that.

    

Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs unless otherwise noted/linked.

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Jon Lester Comments on Cubs’ World Series Expectations

With Major League Baseball’s playoffs just days away, the first 100-win season since 1935 doesn’t mean a thing for Chicago Cubs starter Jon Lester

On Saturday, the All-Star left-hander who is tied for the National League lead with 19 wins, made his intentions clear as the calendar flipped to October, via Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com: “This season isn’t anything unless we do what we showed up at spring training to do—win a World Series. I don’t want to sound like an a–hole or anything, but we really haven’t done anything yet.”

It’s been 108 years since the Cubs won their last World Series, which was the second in franchise history, and while Lester is downplaying his team’s accomplishments, 100-win seasons don’t come around too often in the team’s 141-year history. 

In fact, it’s only happened only six times, including this season:

For Lester, though, the shift to October means that it’s a clean slate, but it’s imperative that his Cubs carry over their regular-season success into the playoffs:

This is the real season now. You play 162 to get to now. … It’s go time. Now we have to live up to the expectations and hype. … The big thing with this team is we’re consistent. We show up every day to play. That’s huge, especially with the young group that we have. That’s hard to do. That’s a hard thing to learn at a young age. These guys do it.

At 32, Lester is an elder statesman on a Cubs team that is riddled with young talent ranging from National League MVP candidate and 24-year-old third baseman Kris Bryant to 22-year-old starting shortstop Addison Russell. 

That youth has brought a swagger of sorts to a downtrodden organization as the Cubs rank third in the MLB in runs, first in team ERA and most importantly, first in wins. 

Lester has done his part to contribute to that team ERA, posting a 2.44 that ranks second in the majors. It’s 0.45 points higher than his Cubs teammate, 26-year-old and league-leader Kyle Hendricks’ 1.99 mark. 

According to Rogers, Lester is slated to pitch Game 1 of the NLDS where the Cubs will meet the winner of the National League Wild Card Game whether it be the New York Mets, San Francisco Giants or St. Louis Cardinals

His veteran presence is sure to be one of the most valued in the clubhouse too as he won a pair of World Series with the Boston Red Sox in 2007 and 2013. 

Given the Cubs’ past though, it’s understandable why fans could be entering the postseason as cautiously optimistic supporters. The last time the Cubs even competed in a World Series was 1945, and the following seven decades have been filled with collapses and playoff heartbreak. 

But given the makeup of this team and the way they barnstormed through the league this season, the Cubs have a great chance to end baseball’s longest, most torturous drought this season. 

                        

Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com

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Jed Hoyer, Jason McLeod Agree to New Contracts with Cubs: Details, Reaction

After locking up president Theo Epstein, the Chicago Cubs are keeping the rest of their dynamic front-office trio together with extensions for general manager Jed Hoyer and vice president Jason McLeod.  

According to the Cubs’ official Twitter account, Hoyer and McLeod each received five-year extensions through 2021. 

The trio of Epstein, Hoyer and McLeod joined the Cubs in October 2011 after previously working together with the Boston Red Sox from 2003 to 2009. 

As part of the team’s announcement on Friday, Epstein praised the work of Hoyer and McLeod to help make the Cubs into what they are, per Carrie Muskat of MLB.com:

Jed and Jason are simply the best at what they do and have played fundamentally important leadership roles in helping the Cubs build a healthy and thriving organization. We feel honored to have the stability and support that we enjoy throughout baseball operations and look forward to many years of working together in Chicago.

Epstein received his own five-year extension from the Cubs on Wednesday. Bob Nightengale of USA Today reported it could be in excess of $50 million. 

Since this new front-office regime has taken over in Chicago, the Cubs have become the model franchise in Major League Baseball. They have hit big with draft picks such as Kris Bryant and Kyle Schwarber as well as shrewd trades that landed Jake Arrieta, Addison Russell, Anthony Rizzo and Kyle Hendricks. 

Those personnel moves, along with the development of players who were previously in the system such as Javier Baez and Willson Contreras, have led the Cubs to their first regular season with at least 100 wins since 1935. 

Given the volume of young talent already on the Cubs roster, as well as the franchise’s knack for drafting and developing in the minors, the success of the last two years is only the beginning of what Epstein, Hoyer and McLeod are capable of when they are working together. 

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Jake Arrieta Has Gone from NL Cy Young Winner to Just Another Guy

Through the first two months of the MLB season, it seemed as if Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Jake Arrieta was cruising toward a nine-figure contract and recognition as one of baseball’s best at his position.

Arrieta followed up his 2015 Cy Young campaign by posting a 1.74 ERA through his first 15 starts, the highlight of which was a no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on April 21. Then on June 27 against the same Cincinnati team he no-hit a little more than two months earlier, it all came to a screeching halt, and Arrieta’s surging stardom took a U-turn.

That day, Arrieta needed 93 pitches to make it through five innings, walked five and gave up five earned runs. His ERA since then has been 4.44. Since August 29, he has played even worse, posting an ERA of 5.30.

Reading those numbers might make you think your eyes are failing you, given the high hopes the Cubs had for their once infallible ace.

Truth is, Arrieta has looked little like a Cy Young Award winner through most of this season, and hardly the Cubs’ ace. Really, he’s been irrelevant to any success Chicago has had.

It was all underscored Wednesday, when Arrieta pitched his worst game of the year against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The right-hander lasted only five innings and gave up seven runs on 10 hits.

His ERA remains respectable at 3.10 but is the product of his hot start. It’s not representative of the pitcher he has been since late June—definitively Chicago’s No. 3 starter.

More specifically: He can no longer be relied upon to win games in October.

Luckily for the World Series-starved Cubs, though, they have enough in their arsenal to make Arrieta’s struggles a footnote in a still promising season.

While debate about how Chicago might set its rotation for the playoffs has permeated the clubhouse since the team clinched the NL Central, Arrieta’s most recent performance has almost assured that lefty Jon Lester and right-hander Kyle Hendricks will be the team’s top two starting pitchers in the playoffs.

Hendricks (1.99) and Lester (2.28) are one-two in MLB ERA, giving the Cubs all the pitching the team needs to win a World Series.

Sure, it would be nice if Arrieta could channel his mojo from earlier this season. But two upper-echelon pitchers is all a team needs to have success in October.

Having clinched the division so early, Chicago will be able to choose whom it wants to pitch in each game of the NLDS. In such a scenario, a team’s top two pitchers will pitch three games in the five-game series, exactly the number needed to win.

So as long as Hendricks and Lester pitch as they have throughout the 2016 season, it won’t matter how well—or poorly—Arrieta performs. If the two aforementioned win their scheduled games, the Cubs will advance.

Similarly, the Cubs’ top duo will pitch, at least, four games in a potential seven-game NLCS or World Series. Again, the exact number of games needed to win each of those series.

This isn’t to say the Cubs are somehow the same team when Arrieta struggles. That’s like saying a sundae tastes the same without whipped cream.

Of course the Arrieta of old would make the rotation better.

And if he continues to struggle in the playoffs, it certainly puts more pressure on Lester and Hendricks. The latter’s playoff experience is the same as Arrieta’s. The two got their first taste of October baseball last season.

But Lester has two World Series rings and 14 postseason starts to his name. His experience in the playoffs is the chief reason the Cubs signed him to a six-year, $155 million deal prior to the 2015 season.

They weren’t counting on Arrieta being Cy Young-worthy in 2015. That he was only strengthened Chicago’s rotation.

While Arrieta certainly earned the right to be designated the team’s ace heading into the 2015 playoffs, the original plan was for Lester to be Chicago’s Game 1 starter in the NLDS.

What transpired between his signing and now is irrelevant. Lester has proved all year that he is capable of leading the Cubs staff. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs since July 24, riding a streak of 11 straight quality starts.

If that isn’t enough, his 2.85 career playoff ERA should erase any doubt as to whether Lester can handle duties as Chicago’s playoff ace.

So while Arrieta’s ride toward stardom may have made a sudden stop, his poor play will not hit the brakes on the Cubs’ 2016 season.

 

Seth Gruen is a national baseball columnist for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter @SethGruen.

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Is Arrieta, Lester or Hendricks Cubs’ Most Deserving 2016 Postseason Ace?

There’s a saying in baseball: “A team never wants to lead the league in meetings.”

The implication being that when a club holds a meeting, it’s almost universally to discuss what is going wrong and how to repair it. But teams rarely find themselves where the Chicago Cubs stand, having already clinched the NL Central and preparing for the playoffs.

Manager Joe Maddon had three scheduled meetings on the books in the past few days, two of which were to answer a question most playoff-bound franchises would love to ponder: Which of his three starters—Jake Arrieta, Jon Lester or Kyle Hendricks—should be the team’s ace, trusted to start Game 1 of the postseason?

Deciding between that trio is like being forced to choose between five-star resorts. Because when you put together a list of baseball’s best starting pitchers in 2016, all three are on it.

“It’s what you make of it, and to me, it’s a lot better than having to push your guys extra hard and put more innings on guys’ arms and not getting enough rest and, maybe, waking up and being worn down,” Cubs president of baseball operations Theo Epstein said.

Who is the most deserving of the three? The answer is all of them because it depends on which filter you examine the question through.

Hendricks leads MLB with a 2.06 ERA, but Lester comes in at No. 2 (2.36) and Arrieta No. 9 (2.96). Arrieta is the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner and had a .185 batting average against, which is the lowest of the trio. Lester and Hendricks come in at .211 and .201 respectively.

According to FanGraphs, Lester and Hendricks are tied with 4.1 WAR and Arrieta trails with 3.5.

If all that makes the issue more confusing, good. It should. These are the statistical measures the Cubs—and fans who are formulating their opinions on the matter—must consider.

Given how close all three stand statistically, experience likely will—and should be—the deciding factor. Lester is by far the most seasoned in the group with 14 career postseason starts. Hendricks and Arrieta both got their first tastes of the playoffs last year, though the latter threw a complete-game shutout in the NL Wild Card Game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

But even if Lester, the only pitcher among the three who has won a World Series, seems like the obvious choice, Maddon offered this among the criteria the organization will consider: “A lot of it has to do with whom the opposition is, also who is pitching best for you at the moment. You can’t deny that.”

If you don’t deny it, the decision becomes even harder.

In the month of September, only Arrieta has struggled, posting a 4.15 ERA over three starts. Lester (0.58 in four starts) and Hendricks (1.80 in three starts) have been outstanding. 

After Wednesday’s action, the San Francisco Giants, St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets all stood tied in the wild-card standings. Two will play in a one-game playoff, with the winner facing the Cubs, the presumptive favorite to win home-field advantage in the NL playoffs.

Consider their numbers against each opponent:

 

     

Note: The Mets are 29th in runs scored (595), 28th in batting average (.242) and 26th in on-base percentage (.311).

Based on that data, which is limited in some cases, it’s reasonable to consider Arrieta the team’s best candidate to start against San Francisco. The Cubs should go with Lester if they face the Cardinals and Hendricks if they draw the Mets.

But one benefit Chicago does not have is waiting to see which team it will face.

“You’ve got to have some idea by the end of the season because you want to work guys in toward the end of the year so they’re not so long before their next start,” Maddon said.

So not only is their decision based on evaluating the three pitchers but also trying to prognosticate which of the three teams the Cubs may face in the NLDS—a futile task.

And as numerous factors, permutations, formulas and statistics are considered, there may only be one obvious answer to the question at hand.

No choice appears to be a bad one.

          

All statistics current through the conclusion of Wednesday’s games.

Seth Gruen is a national baseball columnist for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter @SethGruen.

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Cubs Justify the Hype with Easy NL Central Clinch, Now Comes the Hard Part

It looked like a heck of a party at Wrigley Field, and why not? It’s not every day the Chicago Cubs can spray some champagne.

Hey, Chicago hadn’t clinched a playoff spot in about 12 months, and that’s a long time to go without a party. The Cubs hadn’t celebrated a division title in eight years, and that can feel like a lifetime.

Seriously, there’s nothing wrong with a celebration, especially for a team that has had as perfect a season as the Cubs have had (and a perfect clinching day with a walk-off home run). The Cubs spent the spring listening to people say they were the best team in baseball, and they’ve gone out and proved it.

They’ve been good, they’ve been fun and there’s absolutely no doubt that when the postseason begins in another two weeks, they’ll go in as the team with the best chance of winning it all.

And then what?

It’s easy enough to predict the party will continue, and Friday was just the beginning rather than the end. It’s easy enough to suggest the best team will win, even though we know from recent history the best team usually doesn’t win.

The Cubs know that from last year, when they weren’t the best team in the regular season but looked like the best team in October…until they couldn’t even win one game against the New York Mets. They should know it from 2008, when they were the best team in the National League in the regular season…and couldn’t win a single game when they got to October.

You can go back to 2003 and to 1984, too, but on this day, there’s no reason to cause Cubs fans any more pain. The hangovers from all the celebrating they did Friday afternoon and into the night will be tough enough.

Besides, the point today isn’t that Chicago won’t win. If I had to put money on one team today, with no odds attached, I’m betting on the Cubs. They have a better and deeper rotation than they did a year ago, the kids are a year older and better and the moves they made last winter really should make them less vulnerable against high-octane pitching.

They could face the Mets again, this time in a best-of-five division series, but these aren’t the same Mets. They could have a tough time in a National League Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, but are Clayton Kershaw and Rich Hill going to be healthy? They could find a challenge from the Washington Nationals, but is it as big a challenge if Stephen Strasburg isn’t there to team with Max Scherzer at the top of the rotation?

No, the Cubs’ biggest challenge is the one they’ve faced since February or since October. Or in any of those other Octobers they’ve played in since 1908.

It’s the challenge of their history, and the challenge of their fans’ expectations.

What happens if they lose Game 1 of a series? What happens if they’re down two games to none or three games to one?

Given how things went in 1984 and 2003, what happens even if they’re one win away from a World Series? Sorry again for bringing that up.

The Cubs and their fans justifiably think this is their year, but the neat thing about October is that just about every team that gets there finds a reason to feel the same way. The 162-game season can be such a challenge that teams that survive it often start to believe they have destiny on their side.

Or sometimes it’s “Dustiny,” as Cubs fans said in 2003 when Dusty Baker was their manager (and as Nationals fans may say with Baker in Washington now).

People in Cleveland will feel it after watching the NBA Cavaliers come from three games to one down against the Golden State Warriors and then seeing the Indians spend the summer in first place.

People in Texas may feel it after watching their Rangers dominate the American League West.

And yes, Theo Epstein no doubt felt it in 2004, when his Boston Red Sox came from three games to none down against the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series.

Epstein has accomplished quite a bit since coming to the Cubs five years ago, but in terms of breaking the curse, he no doubt understands he still hasn’t accomplished a thing. The Cubs have celebrated division titles before, even if they never celebrated one exactly the way they did Friday.

Yes, there really was a DJ in the clubhouse, as you can see in this tweet from Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune:

Why not?

Cubs manager Joe Maddon set up similar celebrations when he ran the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays always had fun, and when they went all the way to the World Series in 2008, they were hailed as a spectacular success.

His Cubs won’t be a spectacular success this year unless that DJ shows up three more times.

Maybe he will. For a Cubs fan—and even neutral fans—it wouldn’t be the worst thing to see.

Heck, it looked like fun.

   

Danny Knobler covers Major League Baseball as a national columnist for Bleacher Report.

Follow Danny on Twitter and talk baseball.

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Cubs Clinch NL Central: Highlights, Twitter Reaction to Celebration

The Chicago Cubs took a step toward ending their World Series drought Thursday night when they clinched the National League Central. The milestone came by virtue of the St. Louis Cardinals‘ 6-2 loss to the San Francisco Giants despite Chicago’s 5-4 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.  

The Cubs not only clinched the division; they ran away with it. No team in baseball holds as commanding of an advantage as Chicago’s 17-game lead over the Cardinals. In fact, St. Louis is closer to the last-place Cincinnati Reds (30.5 games back) in the division than it is to Chicago, and it is still a legitimate wild-card contender.

According to ESPN Stats & Info, the Cubs made history by clinching at such an early juncture: 

This marks the Cubs’ first division crown since 2008, when they finished 97-64 but lost in the division series to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

There are a number of reasons Chicago won the National League Central this year, including the guiding presence of three-time Manager of the Year Joe Maddon. However, it begins with the starting pitching staff that holds the best ERA in baseball at 2.89.

It is a testament to the depth of the group that defending National League Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta may be the third-best starter on his own team this year. He has been excellent with a 17-6 record, 2.91 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, but Jon Lester and Kyle Hendricks have matched or surpassed his efforts.

The 32-year-old Lester is pitching as if he is in the middle of his prime with a 2.40 ERA that has paved the way for a 17-4 record. Hendricks uses pinpoint control and a nasty changeup to dominate hitters to the tune of a 2.03 ERA and 0.96 WHIP even though he doesn’t light up the radar gun.

The offense doesn’t need to pile up runs with a staff like that, but it has all season and ranks third in the league in runs. What’s perhaps most impressive about the offense is it performed so well even though slugger Kyle Schwarber suffered a season-ending injury after two games and free-agent signing Jason Heyward has disappointed at the plate with a .228 average, six home runs and 43 RBI. 

Kris Bryant is the National League MVP front-runner thanks to his eye-popping numbers at .295/.388/.562 with 37 dingers and 95 RBI. Jeff Sullivan of FanGraphs wrote that the only way to make the case for someone else as MVP was to “knock Bryant down a few pegs,” but he noted it “can’t reasonably be done, on account of Bryant having been the best all-around performer in his league.”

Sullivan pointed to Bryant’s impressive fielding and versatility in addition to the offense.

Elsewhere, Anthony Rizzo protects Bryant in the order with 31 home runs and 101 RBI, and they represent as fearsome a one-two punch as pitchers will face in the league.

Chicago’s complementary pieces would be stars on many other teams. Addison Russell is only 22 years old and provided a power boost in his second year with 20 home runs and 91 RBI. Dexter Fowler sets the table from the leadoff spot with speed and power, and Javy Baez’s versatility allowed the club to survive Schwarber’s loss.

There are also veteran leaders such as Ben Zobrist and David Ross who will likely prove beneficial in the postseason.

Attention will turn toward the upcoming playoffs now that Chicago has clinched the division, and it will face a pressure-packed scenario given its history. This franchise has not won the World Series since 1908, and the expectations from a desperate fanbase could weigh on it.

However, the Cubs picked up valuable postseason experience last year by winning the do-or-die National League Wild Card Game and beating the Cardinals in the next round. They lost to the New York Mets in the National League Championship Series, but October baseball won’t be a new experience for the Cubs’ core.

Chicago’s pitching staff will make it a difficult out in any postseason series since Arrieta, Lester, Hendricks and playoff-tested John Lackey will likely start every game. What’s more, Maddon can shorten individual contests with a lights-out bullpen that features Pedro Strop, Hector Rondon and Aroldis Chapman.

The formula is in place for a drought-killing postseason, but the Cubs will first celebrate their division crown.

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