Tag: Mike Pelfrey

NL Cy Young Power Rankings: Anyone With a Shot Besides the Main Two?

We are now two months into the season. While we are still a long way from the end of the season, those players who are in the MVP and Cy Young races are beginning to fall into place.

In the Cy Young races in particular, there are many candidates who are certainly worthy of the title with how they have been pitching so far. In the National League, there are 16 or so people that should be in the top ten. This is, unfortunately, not possible, and some surprising names are left off this list.

Stats used to rank them are as of May 31.

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Looking at the NL All-Star Game Voting

Catcher

1. Yadier Molina (Cardinals) 494,517

2. Carlos Ruiz (Phillies) 416,585

3. Ivan Rodriguez (Nationals) 403,874

Mets Candidate: Rod Barajas

It is absurd that Barajas is not even in the top 5 in the voting for catchers. Barajas is batting .268 (9th among NL catchers) with a .544 slugging percentage (2nd), 11 home runs (1st), 30 RBIs (1st), and 22 runs scored (4th). Clearly Rod has done more than enough to be near the top of the voting. The leader, Yadier Molina, has a .259 (12th) batting average, a .343 slugging percentage (15th),  two home runs (t-11th), and 28 RBIs (2nd). Barajas is outperforming Molina in every single one of these categories. As of now, Barajas is on pace for a career year, and he is more than deserving of an All-Star Game appearance.

 

1st Base

1. Albert Pujols (Cardinals) 1,006,149

2. Ryan Howard (Phillies) 532,729

3. Prince Fielder (Brewers) 315,936

Mets Candidate: Ike Davis

While Ike is putting together a nice season so far, there is no way that he could compete with for an All-Star spot at 1st base. Albert Pujols, even with his struggles, has been dominant this year. He is batting .318 with 12 home runs, 39 RBIs, and a .566 slugging percentage. Ike Davis may not reach the All-Star Game for many years because of all the talent that the National League has at first base.

 

2nd Base

1. Chase Utley (Phillies) 1,103,430

2. Rickie Weeks (Brewers) 261,591

3. Martin Prado (Braves) 260,349

Mets Candidate: …

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New York Mets Pitchers Finding Success by Keeping the Ball in the Yard

If chicks did the long ball, there’s not going to be a whole lot of love if your team is squaring off against the Mets.

For all of the questions about Jerry Manuel’s rotation coming into the season, it has been an unlikely group of pitchers who have helped New York remain in contention in a highly competitive NL East.

Every team has their faults in the division, and with no one team running away with things one-third of the way through the year, it is as wide open as it has ever been.

We know the story about the Mets struggles and that is why their pitching has surprised so many people over the past week or so.

John Maine went on the 15-day DL with rotator cuff tendinitis in his right arm a week ago, Jonathon Niese will make a rehanb start today after straining his left hamstring a couple days ago, and Sean Green and Kelvim Escobar—although bit parts—are out indefinitely. Add to that dilemma the head case that is Olly Perez, and you can see why there were serious problems throughout the starting rotation.

But then a strange thing happened. The Mets started keeping the ball in the yard and the wins began piling up.

Sure, it helps when you’re playing half of your games in a park that admittedly plays big, but that shouldn’t take anything away from what the Mets are accomplishing with a makeshift pitching staff.

It has been well documented that the Mets had not given up a run in 35.2 innings until the walk off home run to Corey Hart. But similarly impressive and not so widely praised has been the ability to limit the home run completely.

Starting on May 19, the Mets had not allowed a home run at all in eight consecutive games, spanning contests with the Nationals, Yankees, and Phillies. Putting it into perspective, if the Mets had shut out the Brewers last night, that stretch of home run-less games would have been tied for the fourth most in franchise history.

As it stands, the run of eight games ranks 11th all-time for the Mets.

Adding more context to the accomplishments of New York’s pitching, there have only been five instances in the last decade when a team has not allowed a home run in nine consecutive games. That is truly impressive.

R.A. Dickey has not allowed a home run in his two outings and neither has Hisanori Takahashi—two men who didn’t really figure to feature in New York’s plans eight weeks ago. Mike Pelfrey has maybe been the best of all, allowing just three long balls in 63.2 innings.

While the Mets have been significantly worse on their travels this year, it is worth pointing out that they have recorded six straight games at home without surrendering a home run. Florida comes to Citi Field on June 4 for three games and the weak-hitting Padres complete the six-game homestand between June 8 and 10.

It’s asking a lot for the Mets to keep the ball in the yard for all of these games, too, but considering how well they have been playing at home it is certainly possible.

No team has gone more than 10 consecutive home games without allowing a home run since 1997, so it would be an impressive feat.

All of this, however, is set against a backdrop of success. If the Mets do not allow a home run in each of their next four games, for example, but lose all four, then the impressive statistical anomaly counts for very little.

Winning is the name of the game, and I can guarantee the Mets would rather give up three home runs in a game and win than keep the ball in the park for nine innings and lose.

Just as vital to the team’s success is scratching out a victory on the road. That challenge resumes again today in the second game of a three-game set in Milwaukee.

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Move Over Johan: Mike Pelfrey Is the New Ace of the Staff

When the New York Mets traded for Johan Santana, he was supposed to be the staff ace. He was for his first two years on the team.

Santana is still one of the better pitchers in the league, but he has had some struggles recently. Many are hesitant to continue to call him an ace.

Since Santana joined the team, Mike Pelfrey’s pitching has significantly improved. Surely, some of it has to do with Santana’s mentoring. More of it has to do with Pelfrey coming into his own.

Santana has posed a 3-2 record with a 3.72 ERA through nine starts this year. Pelfrey meanwhile has a 6-1 record with a 2.86 ERA through nine starts. However these are some of the most debated stats when it comes to a pitchers level of success.

If we go and look at some advanced stats we can see that Pelfrey is the true ace of the staff. Since 2008, Santana’s strikeout rate has declined from 7.91 K/9 to 7.11 K/9. Pelfrey’s strikeout rate has increased from 4.93 K/9 to 6.19 K/9 during that same time period.

Pelfrey has been able to prevent hitters from hitting long balls. Mike allows only .48 HR/9. Compare this to Santana who allows nearly one home run per nine innings (.98 HR/9). This low home run rate is part of what allows Pelfrey to keep the number of runs allowed down.

Batters are hitting .249 with a .289 batting average on balls in play. While Pelfrey has allowed hitters to bat .253, he has been slightly more unlucky has hitters have a .297 batting average on balls in play.

Pelfrey has been able to buckle down better than Santana with runners on base. Pelfrey has left 80.5 percent of men on base while Santana has only left 72.9 percent on base. This is integral to Pelfrey’s success. He is able to limit the damage done by other teams by performing under this pressure.

Since ERA is one of the most questioned metrics in baseball, we can take a look at the pitchers xFIP. This is their expected fielding independent ERA. Pelfrey posts a 4.01 xFIP while Santana’s xFIP is 4.13.

Another stat we can look at instead of ERA is ERA+. In this case, the higher the better. Pelfrey has an ERA+ of 142 and Santana has an ERA+ of 112.

Pelfrey is clearly a pitcher who is improving. Santana appears to be on a slight decline. By the end of the year it should be obvious: Pelfrey will be the ace of the staff.

This will most likely be debated due to Santana’s past, but when you look at all the facts, Mike Pelfrey is the best pitcher the Mets have.

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Random Thoughts From Mets 3-2 Win Over Braves

Whew….

It’s funny how long losing streaks feel compared to winning streaks.

Thanks to Mike Pelfrey, the Mets obtained a much needed victory over the Braves.

Big Pelf went deep into this game pitching 7.2 innings for the win.

Tipping Pitches?

I was forced to watch the Braves’ coverage of the game. I have to tell you, they bring a whole new meaning to the word excitement.

I do have to admit, they are a bit more interesting now that John Smoltz is in the booth.

They repeatedly talked about how Pelfrey was telegraphing some of his pitches. It didn’t seem to matter, but it will be interesting to see what happens the next time he pitches against the Braves.

Sticky Situation

Things got a little dicey in the eighth inning when Pedro Feliciano took over for Pelfrey.

The Braves had runners on the corners with two outs. Intelligently, Pedro pitched around Chipper Jones to load the bases. There were a couple of really close pitches in the at bat that didn’t go Feliciano’s way.

He then had to face Nate McClouth. Fortunately, he was able to strike out McClouth to end the chance. It was the biggest moment of the game.

Nicely done, Pedro.

The Lumber

There is not a whole lot to write here.

Rod Barajas was the hero once again as he continues to endear himself to the Mets’ faithful. He provided the biggest hit of the night with a two run double in the second inning.

Jose Reyes was able to manufacture a much-needed run in the sixth inning. He singled up the middle and was then bunted over by Luis Castillo. Jose stole third with a tremendous jump from second. He was then able to score on a weak ground ball by Chris Carter.

Huh?

Speaking of Chris Carter. Jerry Manuel replaced the Animal in the seventh inning with Jeff Francoeur.

Jerry wasn’t completely out of his mind, as he wanted to improve the defense late in the game. I get that.

If this is going to be your plan, then take Carter out of the four hole .

Dubious Streak

David Wright now has a 14 game strike out streak. At first, I thought he was going to break the streak. However, he was completely over matched by Takashi Saito in his last at bat.

In D-Wright’s defense, Saito’s fastball looked un-hittable. Just ask Ike Davis and Rod Barajas. They were also blown away by Saito that inning.

On Deck

The Mets have their ace on the mound with a chance to sweep the series.

Can I even say sweep the series when it is only a two game set?

Johan Santana will face Kris Medlen.

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Mets-Braves: Mike Pelfrey Sent to the Mound with New York Needing Wins

ATLANTA—Things have gotten so bad for the Mets that their general manager has decided to watch them in person on the road.

After yesterday’s 10-8 loss to the Marlins, it was announced that GM Omar Minaya was making the flight to Atlanta to watch his team play.

When a GM of a team heads on the road to see his team, it means one of two things: Either he wants to give his team a vote of confidence, or he’s all set to fire his manager if the team continues to lose.

If the Mets want a vote of confidence and want their manager with them at Citi Field on Friday, they better start winning some games fast.

After getting swept in a four-game series in Miami, the Mets will now play two games in Atlanta and two games in Washington.

To start the mini series with the Braves, the Mets will send out Mike Pelfrey, who’s looking to bounce back after a poor start against the Nationals last Wednesday. In that game, Pelfrey was hurt by allowing two base hits to opposing pitcher Craig Stammen. Now Pelfrey, who’s struggled in May after one of the greatest Aprils in Mets history, will be called upon to stop the massive bleeding.

The Mets do have one thing going for them, and that’s the knack of coming back when down big. The Mets three times this week came back from large deficits to at least tie a game.

Last Sunday against Tim Lincecum, the Mets trailed 4-0 and came back to take a lead before losing. Last Tuesday the Mets won a game after trailing 6-2 in the eighth. Yesterday, down 7-0 in the sixth, the Mets got six runs back before losing. So at least one positive is the Mets’ coming back when down big and late.

Meanwhile, the Braves will send out Derek Lowe, who has been getting tons of run support this season. In eight starts, he’s 5-3 although he has an ERA of 5.73. His walk-to-strikeout ratio is just about 1-to-1, and he’s allowed more hits than innings pitched. The Mets never seem to fare well against groundball pitchers, which Lowe is, being he’s a sinkerballer, so it may be tough for the Mets to score runs against him.

Mike Pelfrey must, I repeat, must go deep into this game. The Mets have a grand total of zero wins by a starter in the month of May, and their bullpen is ridiculously overused. That was evidenced by Fernando Nieve giving up the pinch-hit three-run home run to Chris Coghlan yesterday to allow Florida to widen their lead.

If the Mets don’t start winning games on this road trip, they may have a new manager come Friday against the Yankees.

Mike Pelfrey vs. Atlanta (April 25)*
Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 hits, 5 BB, 3 SO

Derek Lowe vs. New York (career)
3-3, 7.61 ERA, 36.2 IP, 54 hits, 15 BB, 17 SO

2010 season series (New York vs. Atlanta)
April 23: New York 5, Atlanta 2
April 24: New York 3, Atlanta 1
*April 25: New York 1, Atlanta 0
Mets lead series 3-0

* denotes rain-shortened five-inning game

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News: Pelfrey Had MRI, But Is Clear To Pitch

ESPN is reporting Mike Pelfrey had MRI in New York this morning for general shoulder tightness. He’s been cleared to start this weekend vs. Giants. I noticed him in these past two starts kind of hunching his shoulder after a couple of pitches as if he were trying to shake it loose. Most pitchers feel tightness especially this time of year, as the weather changes, spring going into summer. He was pitching good baseball until his last start. The Mets are taking no chances.

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New York Mets: Post Philles Series Thoughts

The New York Mets went into Philadelphia as the hottest team in baseball.

They were the talk of the town.

They very well might have left the most embarrassed team in baseball.

After winning the series opener Friday night, the Mets got roughed up the next two games. Not only did they get roughed up, their two best pitchers were terrible. This series loss came after the Mets had won their previous three, including sweeps of the Atlanta Braves and LA Dodgers.

New York is now a half-game behind Philadelphia in the National League East and have an overall record of 14-11. Here are some more thoughts from the Mets—Phillies Series.

 

Welcome Back

Welcome back to Earth, or reality for that matter. The Mets pitchers had been on such an incredible role, you had to know this was coming at some point. What you didn’t expect is that it would come from their two best. Jon Niese started the series off with yet another excellent game. He went seven innings giving up just four hits and one run. Niese struck out seven in the win.

Mike Pelfrey and Johan Santana were scheduled to pitch the next two games, Mets fans had to be feeling good about this.

Crash!

That’s basically what happened next. Pelfrey lasted just four innings on Saturday after giving up six runs on eight hits and a walk. It was Pelfrey’s first loss of the season.

Santana went out on Sunday and was even worse. The Mets ace could not get out of the fourth inning. He pitched 32/3 innings and gave up eight hits and ten runs. He only struck out one Philadelphia hitter. Santana was victim of the long ball, giving up four home runs.

The bullpen pitched well for the most part. It did however have to pitch 91/3 innings in the series. That could turn out to be a issue as the Mets have Oliver Perez and John Maine starting their next two games with no day off.

Read more thoughts from this series as well as whats to come at Double G Sports.

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