Tag: Milwaukee Brewers

Ryan Braun: Bashing His Way To Becoming the Greatest Brewer Ever?

When Ryan Braun was named an outfield starter for the National League in the 2010 Summer Classic yesterday—his third straight such honor—the 26-year-old entered uncharted territory for the Milwaukee Brewers.

By getting a third nod (a third consecutive one at that) Braun surpassed the two faces permanently etched on the franchise’s Mount Rushmore: Robin Yount and Paul Molitor, both of whom earned two All-Star Game starts.

Now with all due respect to Stormin’ Gorman, Greg Vaughn, Jeromy Burnitz, and Geoff Jenkins (who, by the way, will be retiring as a Brewer come Tuesday), the discussion of Greatest Brewer Ever quite clearly boils down to Yount and Molitor.

And obviously, any claims currently staking Braun to that throne are outrageously premature—both Yount and Molitor put in at least two decades in the majors (and at least 15 years with the Milwaukee organization).

But despite the premature nature of the question, Braun’s unprecedented excellence begs that it be asked: is the Mission Hills, CA, native on his way to becoming the greatest Brewer in MLB history?

Let’s start by comparing the first four seasons of their careers.

It should be noted that Molitor did not play in more than 140 games until his fifth season in the league, and was more or less a late bloomer due to a nasty string of injuries as well as marijuana and cocaine abuse in his first four seasons.

Despite the potential unfairness inherent in analyzing those seasons, however, that’s the only sample we have to use in comparison against Braun.

Also, since Braun has yet to actually complete his fourth year, we must simply use the pace he has set for the season, even though injuries and other circumstances could affect his production in the second half.

So with those caveats established, here’s the breakdown.

 

First Four Seasons

In Braun’s first four years, he projects to have 715 hits, 150 doubles, 125 homers, 419 RBI, 71 stolen bases, 396 runs, a .300 batting average, and approximately a .360 on-base percentage and a .550 slugging percentage, in 582 games.

Yount, in comparison, totaled 570 hits, 95 doubles, 17 home runs, 181 RBI, 51 stolen bases, 240 runs, a .270 batting average, and approximately a .300 OBP and a .350 slugging percentage, in 569 games.

Lastly, “The Ignitor” compiled marks of 534 hits, 93 doubles, 26 homers, 163 RBI, 107 stolen bases, 287 runs, a .300 batting average, and approximately a .340 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage, in just 440 games.

Using these snapshots then, both Braun and Molitor were outstanding from the moment they stepped between the lines, with both batting .300, and Molitor flashing his rarely mentioned speed, stealing bases at double the rate of Braun.

Yount, on the other hand, started slowly, demonstrating little power until the ‘80’s, when he experienced a surge that he credits to an improved weight lifting regimen.

Overall, though, Braun seems to have garnered himself into the best in his early years by a considerable margin.

Numero Ocho has averaged 1.23 hits per game and a home run every 18.78 at bats.

Molitor averaged 1.21 hits per contest with a home run every 69.46 at bats, while Yount averaged a dinger every 126.18 at bats.

 

Historical context

Now, it is also imperative we take a step back and contextualize their places in history a little bit.

Braun, in just three-and-a-half seasons, has already left an indelible mark on the major league record books.

After winning the NL Rookie of the Year award in 2007, Braun went on to register the sixth most home runs for a player in his first three seasons (103), trailing just current All-Star regulars Albert Pujols (114), Mark Teixeira (107), as well as three Hall of Fame sluggers, Ralph Kiner (114), Eddie Matthews (112), and Joltin’ Joe DiMaggio (107).

In addition, Braun become the eighth major leaguer ever to finish a season with 100 runs, 100 RBI, 200 hits, 30 homers, 20 stolen bases, and a .300 batting average, when he accomplished the feat last year—an achievement he may very well duplicate in multiple seasons to come.

And finally, Braun has already won two Silver Slugger Awards (given to the best hitter at his position), which compares favorably to Molitor, who earned four, and Yount, who finished with three.

But don’t get me wrong, all of this isn’t to say that Molitor and Yount didn’t reach some amazing plateaus and honors during their playing time.

Both players eventually collected the magical number of 3,000 hits, with Yount accumulating 3,142—good for 17th all-time—and Molitor racking up 3,319, placing him ninth in MLB history.

Beyond that, Yount is the only one of the three to win an MVP award and a Gold Glove, both of which he received in the Brewers’ World Series year of 1982.

Yount also picked up a second NL MVP in 1989.

For good measure, Molitor finished second in his Rookie of the Year balloting, and was also runner-up in the 1993 AL MVP voting.

Moreover, Molitor is part of an exclusive historical club—along with Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, and Eddie Collins—with 3,000 hits, a .300 batting average, and 500 stolen bases.

Most important of all in this discussion, however, is the simple fact that both Yount and Molitor were able to piece together lengthy careers that eventually secured them entrance to Cooperstown, which is one milestone Braun may be on pace for, but is nowhere near sniffing.

 

Defense

Sometimes lost amid the stat-heavy analysis of hitting in baseball is the other half of the game: fielding. Despite that lack of attention, though, it absolutely must factor into any “greatest ever” debates.

And in this comparison, Yount appears to emerge as the best of the three.

Although he was spotty in the early part of his tenure (almost, in fact, losing the position to Molitor due to a spring training contract dispute in 1978), he would, with time, figure it out.

From 1985 through the end of his career in 1993, Yount would never commit more than 10 errors in a season.

True, this run did coincide with his move to the outfield on account of a shoulder problem, but lest I remind you that Yount was always considered a very good shortstop, and he did take home a Gold Glove at that position, in 1982.

Unlike the other two, Molitor never really found a true home in the field, playing seven different positions serviceably, but without greatness.

This lack of excellence with the leather, along with a history of injuries, ultimately led to Molitor’s move to primarily designated hitting beginning in 1991 and continuing until the end of his career in 1998.

Last but not least, Braun was at first considered a defensive liability when he committed a staggering 26 errors in just 112 games at third base in his rookie season.

Such a performance did not instill fans with much confidence when Braun was shifted to left field for his sophomore campaign.

Yet, since his move to the outfield, Braun has made just three errors, showed an above-average arm, and proved himself more than adequate as a fielder.

It would not be too much of a stretch to anticipate a Gold Glove or two (or three or four) in the future for the man affectionately known as the “Hebrew Hammer.”

So while for now Yount comes away from this category as winner, it is not a foregone conclusion that he will always own that title.

 

Conclusion

Without question, this discussion is one filled with contingencies and conditional statements.

That’s natural when attempting to project the eventual level of greatness of a player only a few years into his career.

In baseball—more than other sports even—longevity is crucial to an impressive legacy.

With that said, it is easier to finish with a great career when you get off to a great start, and Braun has indisputably done that.

He has already proved himself as an equal to (or likely superior to) the other two in the batter’s box.

And in the field, I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt that his upward trajectory as a left fielder will only continue.

As long as Braun stays healthy, and as long as Mark Attanasio is willing to commit a large long-term contract to him in five or six years (or sooner if he sees fit for a raise commensurate to performance), his career promises to be of Hall of Fame caliber.

Therefore, while for now Yount remains the Greatest Brewer Ever, with Molitor a close second, Braun is hot on their trail.

Oh, and while I’d gladly include Prince Fielder in this article since his exploits so far warrant it, I’m just not that naïve.

 

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Fantasy Baseball Scouting Report: Manny Parra

We’ve heard a lot about the potential of Manny Parra over the years, unfortunately it has never translated to a big league diamond.  The trend has continued in 2010, as he’s posted the following line:

3 Wins
64.2 Innings
4.45 ERA
1.65 WHIP
66 Strikeouts (9.2 K/9)
31 Walks (4.3 BB/9)
.369 BABIP

There are a few things that jump out at you almost immediately.  First of all is the luck, which he clearly hasn’t had.  The strand rate is normal (75.7%), but the BABIP continues to be a problem for him.  Just look at his numbers through parts of his previous three seasons:

  • 2007 – .332 (26.1 IP)
  • 2008 – .337 (166.0 IP)
  • 2009 – .365 (140.0 IP)

This begs the question, is it bad luck or is it poor skill?  Before we decide on that, let’s look at the other numbers.

He’s a solid, though not elite, groundball pitcher.  Thus far in 2010 he’s posted a 49.2% groundball rate.  Over his minor league career he posted a 52.7% mark, so look for this to continue.

The strikeout rate is impressive, and not impossible for him to repeat.  Over his minor league career (564.0 innings), he’s posted a K/9 of 8.6.  He’s also shown signs at the major league level prior to this year, with a career K/9 of 8.1.  Even if he regresses some from his mark this season, seeing him maintain a mark of above 8.0 is very likely.

The control has been a problem, but is not indicative of what he is actually capable of.  Over his minor league career he posted a walk rate of 2.6.

Is it possible that he was rushed to the big leagues?  Being drafted in the 26th round of the 2001 draft, Parra was nurtured slowly, that is until 2007 in his 24-year-old season.  After that, he has been up and down between the minors and the majors, spending just 50.2 innings at Triple-A.

Could he have been better-suited, despite his age, to have spent a little bit more time at Triple-A against the upper level competition?  At this point we’ll never know.  What we do know is that Parra actually does have the skill set for potential success:

  • Strikeout potential
  • Groundball pitcher
  • Good control

Of course, we have not yet actually seen the control, which, when coupled with the bad luck, explains the terrible numbers we’ve seen from Parra over the past four years.  However, with his abilities, it’s not the time to simply think that he can’t put things together.

Those in shallower formats can ignore him, but if you are in a deeper league and need a pitcher to take a flyer on, consider stashing him on your bench, just in case.  He has the stuff and it could come together all at once.

What do you think of Parra?  Is there any chance that he’s viable in 2010?  Do you not believe in his potential?

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MLB Trade Rumors: Corey Hart is Perfect For the San Francisco Giants

While Brewer fans and management go back-and-forth on the merits of dealing Prince Fielder away for young, controllable pitching, there is little to no room for debate on Corey Hart. 

Hart was named to his second All-Star team on Sunday, and is on pace to have the best season of his career. The Brewers need to sell high on Hart, and begin to bring good pitching to Milwaukee. The San Francisco Giants are the perfect counterpart to make such a deal happen, and each team would benefit from making a deal as soon as possible.

After a season to forget in 2009, Hart has been the most consistent hitter in Milwaukee in 2010. He is tied for second in the National League with 19 home runs, seven more than he hit in 2009, and only five away from his career high of 24 set in 2007. His 61 RBI are already far better than his 48 from a season ago, and barring injury, he should easily surpass his career-high 91 RBI from 2008.

The Giants started off the season well enough, but have slumped recently and are in desperate need of help. A 2-8 stretch over their last 10 games have dropped them to fourth place in the ultra-competitive NL West, six-and-a-half games behind first place San Diego.

Buster Posey received a ton of hype when he finally got his call to the Majors, and the Giants opened up the catching position for him by trading away veteran Bengie Molina. That move slid Aubrey Huff back to first base, but left the Giants a bit short-handed in the outfield. Pat Burrell has put up nice numbers since joining the team, but he alone can’t carry the offensive load for a team.

Hart’s power numbers would immediately put him as the leader on the Giants team. Additionally, his four steals would put him behind only Andres Torres, who has stolen 15 bases this year. Hart also has a very strong arm and good range in the outfield. Although he plays right field for the Brewers, he is capable of playing any of the three outfield positions. 

The Prince Fielder-for-Matt Cain rumors have been running rampant for a few years now, and though Hart going to San Francisco won’t bring back such a large return, he could still bring the Brewers a quality pitcher in return. Jonathan Sanchez, Madison Bumgarner, or Zack Wheeler would be a fine get for Brewers GM Doug Melvin in exchange for Hart.

The Giants could be persuaded to part with a quality pitcher knowing they would have Hart for the rest of 2010 and the entire 2011 season before he becomes a free agent. Penciling in his power and speed numbers around Huff and Pablo Sandoval for a season-and-a-half would give the Giants a line-up to compete with any team in the West.

Ironically enough, the Giants begin a four-game series in Milwaukee tomorrow. Both teams would be wise to do business off the field before the Giants leave Thursday afternoon. 

The Brewers public relations department may take a bit of a hit trading away a newly named All-Star, but the potential return is too great to pass up for a team that is pitching-starved and may be without Yovani Gallardo for awhile after he injured himself on Sunday.

 

 

To read more by Jesse Motiff, click here

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Milwaukee Brewers: Buyers Or Willing to Sell Prince Fielder at Trade Deadline?

With the Milwaukee Brewers starting to turn things around over the past few weeks,their recent performance brings up an interesting question: Will the Brewers be buyers or sellers at the trade deadline?

The worst part about their turnaround is the fact that they are still nine and a half games back of the first place Cincinnati Reds and nine games back of the wild-card leading-Mets.

Unless the Reds or Mets have a two-week collapse, it looks like the Brewers will almost certainly be sellers at the trade deadline.

The other question is who will they put on the trade block? Rumors say that teams have inquired about Carlos Villanueva and Todd Coffey, but will they put big trading chips like Corey Hart and Prince Fielder on the block?

With the way Prince Fielder has swung the bat lately (11 homers since the beginning of June), now might be the best time to trade Prince. He has given little indication that he will re-sign with the team after next year and teams like the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and San Francisco Giants would almost certainly be interested.

The Giants have enough pitching that they could afford to deal a Madison Bumgarner or Jonathan Sanchez.

With the way the Brewers pitching staff has performed this season (4.83 ERA, fourth worst in the majors), they would have to accept a deal with one of the young, up and coming starting pitchers.

Fielder would definitely bring in more than Corey Hart in a trade and if they trade Prince, they could move Corey Hart back to his natural position of first base or bring up Matt Gamel to man first.

Either way, it looks like guys like Hart, Fielder, Jim Edmonds, Coffey, Trevor Hoffman and Villanueva are movable trading pieces. If they get an offer with some young starting pitching, they have to take the deal.

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10 Biggest Sports Disappointments of 2010 in Wisconsin

Look, I know we haven’t talked for a while. But I was a little afraid to call you.

I know that the last few days have been tough. I heard about you taking your kids to see Toy Story 3 and how you had to be removed from the theater because you were crying so loudly.

Yes, I know. Andy saying goodbye to Woody, Buzz, and the rest of his beloved toys (and symbolically, to his childhood) was an emotional punch in the throat that resonated with many grown men struggling with the responsibilities of adulthood. But come on, get a grip.

Then, just days later, the United States men’s national soccer team lost to Ghana 2-1 in the opening round of the World Cup’s so-called “knockout stage.” I heard you hadn’t been so despondent since Beavis and Butt-head was cancelled. 

While I can empathize with your disappointment that the United States team didn’t make it farther in the World Cup, I must admit to some surprise at how hard you took the defeat.

Aren’t you sort of hardened to this sort of thing by now? After all, the first half of 2010 has been full of crushing letdowns for Wisconsin sports fans.

Let’s look at just ten of the biggest sports disappointments in 2010:

 

10. Lady Badgers Make Quick Exit

Yes, it was a successful season for the lady Badgers. Yes, Lisa Stone guided the team to one of their better seasons in quite some time, as they finished third in the Big Ten and won 21 games overall.

But it was that type of season that made you think that their first NCAA tournament appearance since 2002 was going to last a little longer.

Instead the seventh-seeded Badgers were the victims of one of the few upsets in the stultifying predictable women’s tournament (really, most infomercials have more stunning developments) as they fell 64-55 to the 10th-seeded Vermont Catamounts of the America East conference.

 

9. Andrew Bogut Gets Hurt

The Milwaukee Bucks have long been a team that has had to deal with injuries. But often the team has been so bad that injury problems were an annoyance that distracted from bigger problems, like a bad photo on a Barry Manilow album cover.

Yet in 2009-2010, something happened to the Milwaukee Bucks. Scott Skiles and John Hammond put together a team, led by rookie guard Brandon Jennings and midseason acquisition John Salmons, that won games, even after Michael Redd predictably went down in January with yet another knee injury.

Not to be overlooked was the play of center Andrew Bogut, who was having a breakout season to the tune of 15.9 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks per game when he incurred an elbow and hand injury in April, just as the Bucks had secured a playoff spot.

Without Bogut, the Bucks lost to the Hawks in the playoff’s opening round in seven games. With Bogut, they likely go deeper and should go deeper next year.

 

8.  The Brewers’ Lousy Home Cooking

I’m hesitant to dump too much on the Brewers on this list due to their recent turnaround (winning eight of their last eleven games as of this writing).

However, the fact remains that as we approach the All-Star Break, only Baltimore, Cleveland, and Houston (all with 16 wins) have won fewer games at home than the Milwaukee Brewers (17 wins).

For a team with as solid and loyal a following as Milwaukee, that’s simply inexcusable and incomprehensible.

And no, I don’t buy the team’s complaints about the shadows during day games at Miller Park anymore than I would buy complaints about the brand of peanuts sold at the concession stands.

Last I checked, both the visiting and home teams play under the same conditions.

 

7. Aaron Kampman a Jaguar?

It shouldn’t have ended like this. Heading into the 2009-2010 season, defensive end Aaron Kampman was one of the most well-liked and productive players on the Packers.

In the three seasons spanning 2006-2009, Kampman totaled 215 tackles and 37 sacks.

Then new defensive coordinator Dom Capers and his hairpiece instituted the 3-4, Kampman moved to outside linebacker, where he looked about as comfortable as my father at a Bone Thugs-n-Harmony concert, and a great player was suddenly nullified.

Given his lack of production in 2009 (just 3.5 sacks before going down with a knee injury on November 22), it might not have been that crushing of a blow to the team when it was announced in March that the free agent had signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars, but it was undoubtedly a disappointing end to what was shaping up to be one of the greatest careers ever by a Packer defensive player.


6. Wisconsin Women’s Hockey Comes Back To Earth

What a difference a year makes. In March 2009, the Badger women were celebrating their third national championship in four years.

In winning the title (again), they amassed a gaudy 34-2-5 record and won a remarkable 23 games by at least four goals.

In February 2010, the Badger women, sans head coach Mark Johnson (on a year sabbatical to coach the U.S. women’s hockey team in Vancouver) and sans eight players lost to graduation, finished with a 18-15-3 record while missing the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2005.

Given the huge losses, such a downfall was perhaps not entirely surprising, but given the high expectations for success that the women’s hockey program has raised, still very disappointing.


5. Brewers’ Pitching Stinks Again (But . . . )

When the 2010 season began, it seemed as if the Brewers couldn’t help but improve on their disappointing 80-82 2009 campaign.

After all, Milwaukee just missed a winning record despite having the second-worst pitching staff in the National League.

Unfortunately, so far in 2010, the pitching has been statistically just as bad, highlighted by the complete collapse of closer Trevor Hoffman and the less-than-tremendous start by newcomer Randy Wolf.

However, the club appears to be on the upswing, and improvements in the pitching is (not surprisingly) a big reason: Hoffman’s ERA has dropped over three points since June, Randy Wolf has won three of his last four starts, there’s no more Jeff Suppan (his firing being the most welcome personnel move since Bruce Springsteen reunited with the E Street Band) and John Axford has emerged out of nowhere to not only bring back the handlebar mustache but also to bring back a dominant closer (five straight save conversions) to the Brewers.

So, reasons for optimism following a pretty awful first half of 2010 for Brewers pitching.

 

4. The Penalty That Never Was

Just as Mick Jagger is in no hurry to return to Altamont Speedway, most Packers fans are in no hurry to return to thoughts of January’s NFC Wildcard game against the Arizona Cardinals.

And most reticence fans feel likely stems from the final play of the game: Third-and-six on their own 24-yard line. In the process of having the football stripped, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers clearly gets his face mask pulled by Arizona’s Michael Adams.

Karlos Dansby returns the fumble for a touchdown that seemed sure to be wiped away in favor of a facemask or illegal hands to the face penalty on Adams.

Except no call was ever made, and a game that the Packers had been in control of since midway through the third quarter (not to mention a largely positive season) was suddenly over.

Hey, NFL officials. Jim Joyce apologized for blowing that perfect game call. Isn’t it time you apologized for this gaffe?

 

3. Badgers Overpowered By Eagles

The bigger the game, the bigger the disappointment. Unlike the women’s team, the Badger men’s hockey team had a fantastic 2009-2010 season, going 28-11-4 and making an impressive run through the NCAA tournament field.

But in a rematch of the 2006 NCAA championship game (which the Badgers won 2-1), the red-hot scoring Badgers were completely shut down by Boston College 5-0.

However, the Badgers were in it until the third period, when the Eagles exploded for four goals and ended any chance Wisconsin had of winning its seventh NCAA championship.

What’s worse for the Badgers is the fact that the 5-0 drubbing was the final game for seven seniors.

 

2. Defensive Collapse I

After a tremendous regular season (24-9, highlighted by three wins over top-five teams, including eventual champion Duke) that featured standout play from Jon Leuer (despite missing nine games with a wrist injury), Jason Bohannon, and Trevon Hughes, the Wisconsin Badgers men’s basketball team was awarded a gaudy No. 4 seed in the NCAA tournament.

Much of what secured the Badgers that high seed was a remarkably stingy defense that stifled its opponents while allowing less than 55 points a game.

Bo Ryan’s team was clearly not designed for an up-and-down offensive shootout, but that’s what they found themselves in when they played No. 12 seeded Cornell of the Ivy League in the second round.

The Badgers were no match for the hot-shooting Big Red, as Cornell shot 61 percent from the field and 53 percent from beyond the arc.

What was clearly one of Wisconsin’s best teams in several years bowed out of the tournament in the opening weekend for the fourth time in five years. 

 

1. Defensive Collapse II

Despite minimizing the talents of Aaron Kampman (see above), new Packers defensive coordinator Dom Capers’s new 3-4 defense was clearly a success in its first year.

Although the team stumbled against Minnesota (twice) and Pittsburgh, the team finished the 2009 regular season seventh in points allowed per game, second in yards allowed per game, and first in rushing yards allowed per game.

Heading into the NFC Wildcard game against Arizona, a trip to the NFC Divisional Round seemed assured, especially since Green Bay had throttled Arizona 33-7 just the week before, as the defense only allowed the Cardinals 187 total yards from scrimmage.

No one could have foreseen that the Cardinals would completely have their way with the Packers defense during the second meeting, scoring 31 points by the midway point of the third quarter en route to a 51-45 overtime win.

It was the most points the Packers had ever allowed in their long and illustrious playoff history.

Just thinking about those 531 yards the Packers surrendered on January 10 is enough to make any Packer fan reach for their kids’ Woody or Buzz Lightyear doll for a little solace.

Here’s hoping for a better end to 2010.

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Hello World: I’m The Future of Milwaukee Brewers Baseball!

*No, Jonathan Lucroy did not write this. No, I’m not following the normal Bleacher Report short paragraphs and short sentences rule. I’m irregular. I’m unique. I’m revolting. Deal with it. Enjoy Mr. Lucroy’s letter to the Brewers Nation and to the rest of the world.

Dear Brewers Fans,

Hello. Let me introduce myself. My name is Jonathan Charles Lucroy. I am from the beautiful city of Eustis, Florida and the Brewers management thinks I’m the future of the Brewers organization.

You may not know me very well, but that’s okay. If Gregg Zaun had not gone down on the disabled list, there would be no doubt about it—nobody would know me. But, I’m here now. With all this talk about these fellows by the name of Strasburg and Heyward, nobody seems to be paying any attention to me. Why? I don’t know. I have a better average than Squid-ward. Oops! I mean, Hey —ward. (.274 compared to Heyward’s .251). Also, Lord knows that Stephen would be 5-0 if I was catching for him. But, hey whatever! I’m only the future !

I was selected in the third round (101st overall). It only took me three years to get up here. Don’t get me wrong, it was tough. Well, okay, it was pretty easy for the future of the Milwaukee Brewers . I DID hit .342 with four homers and 39 RBI in the pioneer league in 2007. And all in all, in only three years, I racked up a batting average of .305 with 35 homers and 198 RBI in my minor league career. Not to mention my four MILB all-star selections in three years. But who cares? I’m only the future of Brew Crew baseball !

I know I’m the backup catcher, but once Ken Macha realizes that George Kottaras is playing like a piece of moldy bread (he’s just hitting .205!), I’ll prove myself.

And for all you critics out there who call my power “non-existent”: who needs power? Rod Carew hit just 92 homers in his career, yet he compiled 3,053 hits, a career batting average of .328, and drove in a grand total of 1,015 runs. How about Honus Wagner? He hit “only” 101 home runs and he totaled 3,420 hits, drove in 1,733 runs, and had a lifetime batting average of .328! Guess where they are honored? Oh yeah, 25 Main Street in Cooperstown, New York. Otherwise known as the Baseball Hall of Fame! 

I will not let the Brewers fans down. I will prove all you critics wrong. That’s a promise.

 

                                                            Sincerely,

                                                                   Jonathan C. Lucroy

                                                         a.k.a. “The Future of Brewers Baseball”

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Will the Real Casey McGehee Please Stand Up?

Casey McGehee delivered a breakout performance for the Milwaukee Brewers last season batting .301 with 16 homers and 66 RBI in just 355 at-bats.

McGehee then silenced his doubters by batting .300 with nine home runs and 41 RBI through the first two months of 2010.

His bat has since cooled, however, forcing fantasy managers to question McGehee’s true worth.

To completely understand McGehee’s value, let’s examine his relatively unknown past.

Drafted in 2003 as a 10th round pick, McGehee played first base, second base, third base and shortstop during his six-year minor league career. He also caught a total of 93 games at three different levels.

McGehee displayed doubles power in the minors and enjoyed his best season at Triple-A in 2008 with the Iowa Cubs (a team who’s home games I attended regularly as a scorekeeper for Baseball Info Solutions).

McGehee’s bat was a big reason for the I-Cubs success that season, as he hit .296 with 12 homers and 92 RBI in 550 plate appearances. Still, his future as a big league hitter appeared non-existent.

A September call up ensued, but the Cubs were forced to let him go at season’s end. The Brewers gave him a look during spring training the following year and he didn’t disappoint as he made the team as an infield reserve.

The former Fresno State Bulldog found himself in a platoon at second base with Craig Counsell by June and earned regular playing time at third base soon after.

639 at-bats later, the now 27-year-old McGehee has 28 career homers and 116 RBI in 189 games with the Brewers.

Because of his recent struggles (.209 average, three homers, nine RBI in June), fantasy managers are beginning to question his true value.

After some quick number crunching, it has become obvious to me that now is a great time to buy-low on Casey McGehee. Here’s why:

McGehee’s 2009 rookie campaign was viewed by some as a fluke and for good reason. In six minor league seasons, he hit .279 and never topped 12 homers in a single year.

Comparing his 2009 totals to his numbers through three months in 2010 suggests his success this year has been legit.

  PA R HR RBI AVG
2009 394 58 16 66 .301
2010 316 34 12 50 .271

 

The biggest difference from last season is his drop in batting average, which can be explained by his 14.7 percent line drive rate (21.6 percent last year).

His 2009 BABIP (.330) has dropped to .288 this season, but should begin to rise as he breaks free from his recent slump. This will boost McGehee’s batting average as well, though he’s likely more of a .280 hitter.

McGehee’s walk and strikeout rates are both respectable and in line with his 2009 totals, as are his HR/FB and above-average contact rates.

At his current pace (over a conservative total of 550 at-bats), McGehee is on his way to a 66 run, 23 HR, and 97 RBI reason. Still eligible at second base, those numbers are extremely valuable considering top two-baggers Chase Utley and Dustin Pedroia recently hit the DL.

Looking forward to 2011, McGehee is a definite top 10 option at a dwindling third base position. In fact, you could argue he’ll be ranked as high as sixth among players at the hot corner.

Planning a trip to see Casey McGehee and the rest of the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park? Check out StadiumJourney.com for insider info on local transportation, nearby restaurants, and an in-depth review of Miller Park.

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MLB Trade Rumors: Could Cliff Lee Come to Milwaukee a Year Late?

One year ago today, the Milwaukee Brewers sat in first place of the NL Central with a record of 41-35. They held a one game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals, and there was speculation that if the Brewers could add reigning AL Cy Young winner Cliff Lee, they could make a return trip to the postseason.

Fast forward to today.

The Brewers have a record of 34-42, and sit in third place of the NL Central, eight-and-a-half games behind first place Cincinnati. However, there is still talk that Lee could come to Milwaukee, but not in the same capacity most Brewer fans would like.

The Brewers scuffled their feet on a potential Lee trade last season, and the Phillies quickly acquired him and rode him all the way to the World Series. 

It’s no secret Jack Zduriencik and the Seattle Mariners are shopping Lee, and once a deal tickles Zduriencik’s fancy, Lee will be finding himself right in the middle of a playoff push. While the haul for Lee this year won’t nearly be what it was last year, the Mariners will likely still come out winners by trading the lefty.

Rumors have circulated recently that the Brewers, despite their poor start to this year, could acquire Lee. Two scenarios have been discussed to bring Lee back to the National League.

The first trade proposal has Corey Hart being sent to the Mariners for Lee. Hart has more than twice the home runs (17) of any player that has been on the Mariners roster all year. Recently acquired Russell Branyan has 10, but he only has 24 RBI compared to Hart’s 60.

Hart would fit in very nicely to the middle of the lineup, and he would be under team control through the 2011 season.

The other proposal would also send Lee to Milwaukee, but for Mat Gamel and one or two other prospects.

Gamel has returned from an injury in Spring Training and is hitting .281, with three home runs and 23 RBI in 40 games played this year. He was also coveted by Zduriencik last year for Jarrod Washburn, but Brewers GM Doug Melvin refused that offer.

Both scenarios would be tempting to each team, but neither would see Lee stay in Milwaukee very long. A third team could get involved for Lee’s services, and Milwaukee could immediately deal him for the young pitching Melvin so desperately desires. 

It would be a great coup to keep Lee in Milwaukee with a long-term deal, but that is highly unlikely, especially with Randy Wolf having signed a three-year deal this past winter.

If Melvin could find a taker for Wolf, it could happen, but few if any teams will be willing to take on Wolf’s two-plus years and over $20 million still remaining on his contract.

The best deal for the Brewers would be to trade Hart for Lee. Hart is having a career year, but he has a very streaky past. It would be smart on Melvin’s part to sell high on Hart and get Lee. The hard part is trying to find a team with good young pitching to deal for Lee.

In addition to finding a team with good young pitching, they will also have to be willing to give it up for just two months of service for Lee. The Giants could fit that billing, but they need hitting more than pitching.

The Braves also are in a similar position as the Giants, but they might be willing to make a deal and go for broke in Bobby Cox’s last season.

The Brewers missed their best chance for Lee by not acquiring him last season. Bringing him to Milwaukee now would be for nothing more than a cup of coffee to ship him right back out of town.

The team would be better off just trading Hart and other veterans for young pitching and let the contending teams fight over Lee.

 

To read more by Jesse Motiff, click here

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Yovani Gallardo and Fantasy Baseball’s Two-Start Pitchers for Week 13

Fantasy Baseball’s Pitching Line of the Week:

Yovani Gallardo (SP-MIL) 9 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 12 K, W

 

According to reports out of Milwaukee, there has been another sighting of “El Chupacabra” at Miller Park. This legendary creature, who traditionally lives in the minds of Latin Americans, is said to attack an array of wild stock and leave them for dead after consuming their blood. 

 

I know that Yovani Gallardo serves his victims a steady diet of fastballs, sliders, curveballs, and changeups, but I’m not sure how this (or something else he has done in the past) has earned him a nickname whose literal translation is “The Goat Sucker.” 

 

Regardless, Gallardo recorded his most impressive win to date in this 2010 MLB season this past week in Milwaukee against the Minnesota Twins, which prompted us to take a closer look into his young career.

 

Originally drafted in the second round of the 2004 draft, Gallardo started making noise when he led all minor league pitchers with 188 strikeouts in 155 innings in 2006 for Single-A Brevard County and Double-A Huntsville.

 

In 2007, “El Chupa” was in and out of the starting rotation for the Brewers, filling in for the oft-injured Chris Capuano and Ben Sheets. We saw flashes of brilliance in the 17 games Yovani started that season, as he finished 9-5 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts in 110.1 innings pitched. 

 

Brewers management had high expectations for Gallardo heading into the 2008 season. However, Yovani spent the majority of the year on the disabled list with a torn meniscus in his left knee and a torn anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) in his right knee. Gallardo only saw action in six Major League games in 2008, finishing 0-0 with a 1.88 ERA. 

 

Following the injury-plagued 2008 season, Gallardo once again gave the Brewers’ brass reason to believe he was going to be the next ace in Milwaukee. In 2009, he pitched his first career complete game, threw three two-hitters, and struck out eleven or more batters on three occasions. Gallardo finished the season with a modest 13-12 record but struck out batters at an impressive rate of 9.89 per nine innings and boasted a .233 BAA.

 

Thus far in 2010, “El Chupa” is 7-3 with a 2.36 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and a 10.05 K/9 rate in 16 starts. He has recorded 10 or more strikeouts on five occasions while allowing more than two earned runs only four times in sixteen starts. In comparison to his career numbers, Yovani has increased his K/9 and runners left on base percentage, while decreasing his ERA, BB/9, WHIP and BAA in 2010.

 

This is the breakout year the Brewers management expected two years ago.

 

Yovani Gallardo is currently owned in 97% of Y! leagues. 

 

 

The “Double Dipper” is a starting pitcher who will get two starts in the same week. Each  Sunday, we will preview the top three options in each league and highlight streaming options for players owned in less than 50% of Y! leagues.

 

 

Top 3 NL Double Dippers

 

Ubaldo Jimenez/COL (@SD, vs. SF)Frontrunner for NL Cy Young right now; 13-1, 1.60 ERA 

Chris Carpenter/STL (vs. ARI, vs. MIL)5-0 in last eight starts; 7.80 K/9, 2.63 ERA

Yovani Gallardo/MIL (vs. HOU, @STL)Nine or more strikeouts in each of his last three starts.

 

 

Top 3 AL Double Dippers

 

Cliff Lee/SEA (@NYY, @DET)Last two starts: 2 W, 2 CG, 1 ER, 16:0 K:BB; Contract year.

Phil Hughes/NYY (vs. SEA, vs. TOR)5-0 in last five; Great match-ups, well-rested.

Francisco Liriano/MIN (vs. DET, vs. TB)9.71 K/9, 3.11 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

 

 

Warning: Streaming can be lethal. The following pitchers are owned in less than 50 percent of Y! leagues.

 

Brandon Morrow/TOR (@CLE, vs. NYY)Two or less earned runs allowed in last five starts; 9.86 K/9

R.A. Dickey/NYM (@ FLA, @ WAS)6-0 in seven starts; 2.33 ERA 

Jason Hammel/COL (@ SD, vs. SF)5-1 in last eight starts; Solid match-ups.

 

 

Don’t Touch ‘Em

 

Nick Blackburn, Paul Maholm, Manny Parra, Bud Norris

 

 

Week 10 One-Start Stars Owned in 50 Percent or Less

 

Jon Garland/SD (50 Percent Owned in Y!)Thursday vs. HOU (Moeller); 14 consecutive scoreless innings and three consecutive wins against the Astros.

Trevor Cahill/OAK (35 Percent Owned in Y!)Friday @ CLE (Talbot); 6-0 in last eight, plus ratios, .212 BAA

Jonathon Niese/NYM (15 Percent Owned in Y!)Friday @ WAS (Atilano); 4-0, 2.71 ERA in five June starts.

 

 

Is “El  Chupacabra” real? Watch Video here and here.

Who will be the best two-start pitcher owned in 50 percent or less in Week 13?

Leave a comment, or reply to us on Twitter!

 

 

Article by Alan Harrison exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for more great fantasy insight, analysis, and occasional nonsense from Alan.

 

For more Fantasy Sports Advice, Insight, and Analysis, visit www.TheFantasyFix.com .

 

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Milwaukee Brewers: Why Corey Hart’s Hot and Prince Fielder’s Not

This is a breakout season for Milwaukee Brewers rightfielder Corey Hart.

He’s making amends for the bad first month of the 2010 season.

And, Hart is winning over the fans who thought he was too proud to take the club’s $4.2 million offer.

Hart turned it down and forced the Brewers to go to arbitration.

He didn’t even deserve that much because he was hurt last season, and his production declined.

Now, Hart looks like a genius, after not only winning a $4.8 million deal, but also staying hot at the plate.

Hart began the week hitting .272 with 18 home runs and 58 runs batted in.

He’s among the National League leaders in the home run category.

There are reasons why Hart is producing right now.

Hart hooked up with Roland Hernandez, a former wood scientist who worked at the U.S. Department of Agriculture and inventor of RockBat.

Hernandez is a wood expert who knows a thing or two about wood bats.

He convinced Hart and Fielder to use the new bats, which are made of sugar maple.

Once Hart started using the bat, his numbers jumped.

This season, he was in different spots of the lineup.  Now he bats second.

Hitters at the bottom of the lineup and leadoff hitter Rickie Weeks often get on base in scoring position, which leaves Hart with RBI opportunities.

Hart is 18-for-66 (.273) with runners in scoring position.

His 18 dingers scored 27 runs for the Brewers.

When Fielder, who bats third, gets to the plate, the bases are cleared.

Of his 15 home runs, 12 are solo shots.

Fielder is hitting .164 (12-73) with runners in scoring position.

That explains why Fielder has only 32 RBI’s and a .260 average.

He used to bat cleanup, but Ryan Braun hits behind Fielder.

Fielder uses the same bats as Hart.

Clearly, he’s frustrated from his lack of production at the plate.

The other thing that’s in the back of his mind, though he may deny it, is his status as a Brewer after this season.

Fielder, like Hart, are free agents after the 2011 season.

Hart wants to stay.  Fielder may be looking elsewhere.

Fielder’s agent, Scott Boras, shut down talks between himself and team management because he wants to play hardball.

Brewers general manager Doug Melvin might wait until after the season to try to trade Fielder.

It would make him available to all teams.

He already DH’ed when the Brewers played at Anaheim in interleague play recently in an American League ballpark.

 

Does anybody need a designated hitter?

We have one ready to go after September.

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