Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates

Is Francisco Liriano Best Option for Pittsburgh Pirates in NL Wild Card Game?

With the St. Louis Cardinals clinging to the NL Central lead, the Pittsburgh Pirates may reluctantly settle for a National League wild-card berth.

Should that happen and set up a one-game, win-or-go-home scenario, manager Clint Hurdle will trust left-hander Francisco Liriano with the starting responsibility, according to Jenn Menendez of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette:

It’s an option that we’ve talked about. I think the way it lines up right now, if there were no changes, Liriano would be able to pitch a play-in game or the first wild-card game which isn’t a bad option to have if that’s where you end up going.

Liriano has exceeded everybody’s expectations in 2013 by solidifying Pittsburgh’s rotation, but is he Hurdle’s best option for that Oct. 1 elimination game? What about A.J. Burnett? Or red-hot rookie Gerrit Cole?

Each individual obviously comes with his unique pros and cons. Taking their pitch selections, past experiences, major weaknesses and personal schedules into consideration, which of them would actually fit this assignment?

We’re committed to resolving that dilemma.

Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted. Updated through Pittsburgh’s Sept. 20 game.

 

Francisco Liriano

When Liriano repeats his delivery and possesses his Grade-A stuff, he’s the best hope that the Pirates have of advancing.

The 29-year-old has five of the top eight Game Scores for Pittsburgh this season, and nine of the top 17. For those unfamiliar, it’s a Bill James stat that evaluates a pitcher’s start based on strikeouts, innings pitched and baserunners/runs allowed.

On the flip side, Liriano is occasionally a train wreck. His implosion against the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 9, for example, received a negative Game Score and represented one of the worst pitching efforts by anyone this summer.

He consistently dominates with the platoon advantage, however, as he proved again on Saturday night. Shin-Soo Choo and Joey Votto of the Cincinnati Reds are two of baseball’s biggest threats from the left side, and Liriano held them hitless.

With his final regular-season start scheduled for Sept. 25, taking the mound for the Wild Card Game would come on five days’ rest.

 

A.J. Burnett

The average length of Burnett’s outings this summer has been about six and one-third inning, which is slightly superior to Liriano.

He’s less flashy yet more consistent. The veteran right-hander always gives his club an opportunity to win, but not necessarily a great opportunity.

According to FanGraphs, Burnett ranks second among qualified MLB starters with his 56.6 percent ground-ball rate. His fastball-curve combo also generates plenty of whiffs, as evidenced by his 191 strikeouts through 176 innings. Therefore, he doesn’t often rely on the Pirates defense to make difficult plays.

For what’s it’s worth, the Arkansas native is less productive than Liriano in the batter’s box. He has zero extra-base hits since 2005 and weaker contact skills.

Unless Hurdle gets creative with his rotation alignment, Burnett would need to work on short rest to make an Oct. 1 appearance.

 

Gerrit Cole

Cole is venturing into uncharted territory by pitching far more often than he has in any previous professional campaign.

However, he’s handling the situation beautifully.

He boasts a 2.18 earned run average over his past seven starts, each time lasting at least six innings. Cole’s strikeout rate has steadily crept up, culminating in this masterpiece on Thursday, as he set a personal best by whiffing 12 San Diego Padres:

Brooks Baseball shows us that his high 90s fastball hasn’t eroded at all from start to start.

 

Verdict

Hurdle currently has Charlie Morton penciled in to start Game 162 on Sept. 29.

If the result of that game determines whether Pittsburgh gets a postseason berth, or even if home-field advantage for the Wild Card Game hangs in the balance, then the skipper ought to use Cole in that matchup. He’ll be fully rested coming off an outing five days prior.

The 23-year-old right-hander is the steadiest pitcher on the staff right now, but ultimately, the schedule dictates that Liriano is the best fit should the Pirates be fighting for their playoff lives on Oct. 1.

 

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Pirates Pull off Back-to-Back-to-Back HRs Started by Inside-the-Park Homer

We can add back-to-back-to-back home runs to the list of amazing things that the 2013 Pittsburgh Pirates have accomplished.

With the Bucs trailing the Chicago Cubs, 3-0, on Friday night in the bottom of the fourth inning, Pedro Alvarez got the party started with an inside-the-park homer. Russell Martin followed with a solo blast of his own, and Garrett Jones tied the game with this round-tripper to center field.

Here’s El Toro running like you’ve never seen him before:

Just how unique is it for Pittsburgh fans to witness three straight homers from their team? Jenn Menendez of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette addresses that query:

That’s the same year Scrabble was invented, and Disneyland opened to the public.

The Elias Sports Bureau adds that the Pirates are only the third team in the past 50 years to hit three straight long balls when one of them was of the inside-the-park variety.

Alvarez was already leading the National League with 32 home runs this season. He even participated on the NL’s Home Run Derby team this past July, so the fact that he had to rely on his legs to add to his power-hitting totals is certainly ironic.

As someone with only three career stolen bases and ordinary ratings in most advanced baserunning stats, the 26-year-old was an odd candidate to execute an inside-the-parker.

Twitter agrees:

Martin’s round-tripper was also somewhat of a shocker, but for entirely different reasons.

The veteran catcher batted an anemic .115/.223/.115 with seven strikeouts through his first eight games of September. Starting for the fifth straight day wasn’t going to help him break out of that funk. Moreover, he had been just 3-for-15 with zero extra-base hits in his career against the opposing pitcher, Jake Arrieta.

Not only did Martin beat the odds—he pimped the home run a bit by skipping down the first-base line. At least he didn’t partake in Jose Fernandez-like antics.

Compared to the aforementioned pair, Jones was under much more pressure to produce when he stepped to the plate. The 32-year-old was trying to emerge from his own mini-slump and prove that he still deserved semi-regular playing time on a roster that’s becoming increasingly crowded with first basemen and outfielders.

Reaching the seats beyond the deepest part of PNC Park was an effortless task for G.I. Jones. On two previous occasions, he has deposited baseballs into major bodies of water (the Allegheny River and McCovey Cove).

We explained earlier this week that the Pirates have a relatively weak remaining schedule compared to MLB‘s other playoff contenders. Looks like they’re already taking advantage of it.

 

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Why the Pittsburgh Pirates Should Be ‘America’s Team’ in 2013

To give you an idea of how long it’s been since the Pittsburgh Pirates posted a winning campaign, take a minute to soak up the landscape of Major League Baseball all the way back in the summer of 1992.

Among the numerous differences in the sport between then and now, the following stand out:

-Each league featured only two divisions, an East and West.

-Wild cards were not part of the postseason landscape.

-The Milwaukee Brewers finished second…in the American League East.

-Pittsburgh won the NL East by nine games over the Montreal Expos.

-The Colorado Rockies, Miami Marlins, Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays didn’t exist as franchises.

-Southern California’s baseball team was still referred to as the California Angels.

-Cal Ripken Jr. was still three years away from surpassing Lou Gehrig’s consecutive games played streak.

-The impending 1994 players’ strike wasn’t yet on the baseball radar.

-A 28-year-old Barry Bonds won the National League MVP for Pittsburgh after leading the NL in walks, on-base percentage, slugging, OPS, OPS+, runs, runs created, offensive WAR and extra-base hits.

In other words, it was a long, long time ago.

At 82-61, the 2013 Pittsburgh Pirates have exhumed years of losing and frustration to post their first winning record in 21 years. In the process, they have announced themselves as a true World Series contender.

Led by a group of homegrown stars (Andrew McCutchen, Pedro Alvarez, Gerrit Cole, Starling Marte), veteran castoffs enjoying a second life to their respective careers (Francisco Liriano, A.J. Burnett) and shrewd trade acquisitions (Mark Melancon, Marlon Byrd, Gaby Sanchez) from general manager Neal Huntington, Pittsburgh is the best story in the sport.

From 57 wins in 2010 to 72 in 2011 to 79 in 2012, their rise has been quick and swift. Now, combined with the nostalgia that surrounds their last winning season occurring a generation ago, the Pirates deserve a spot as “America’s Team” in the 2013 postseason.


If you aren’t a diehard from Los Angeles, AtlantaBoston or Detroit, there’s only one team to pull for in the 2013 postseason: your Pittsburgh Pirates.

Too often, storylines and narratives are concocted by the media to fit seamlessly into a column, blog post or tweet. With this Pirates team, from ex-New York players like Byrd, Russell Martin and Burnett, there is an element of big to small-market shift. There is an MVP candidate in McCutchen, raw power from Alvarez, a blazing fastball from Cole and a dominant bullpen, led by Jason Griilli.

Individually, the Pirates have only a few players that would be identifiable as stars across the sport. As a group, though, they are an underdog story that has risen to the top of the majors. 

Plus, Pittsburgh hasn’t seen winning baseball since Barry Bonds’ (initial) prime. Although Pittsburgh is known as a football (Steelers) and hockey (Penguins) town now, it was once one of the most vibrant cities in baseball.

During the 1940s, ’50s and into the early ’60s, Pittsburgh routinely finished in the top half of baseball in attendance. Those days are gone, but expect seats to be filled in October.


The ingredients are there to make a sustained run in the postseason, so hop on board now. The Bucs Bus is steamrolling toward October, accepting applicants and poised for magic once it arrives. 

Comment below, follow me on Twitter or “like” my Facebook page to talk all things baseball.

 

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21 Things That Have Happened in Baseball Since the Pirates’ Last Winning Season

For the first time since 1992, the Pittsburgh Pirates can call themselves winners.

It’s taken 21 years—their streak of 20 consecutive losing seasons from 1993 through 2012 was the longest in North American professional sports history—but the Pirates finally can put an “82” in the win column.

To get an idea of just how long it’s been, if someone had planted a time capsule to capture the zeitgeist of 1992, here are a few things that might be revealed upon digging it up now, more than two decades later:

Heck, it was so long ago, MTV’s The Real World was in its (gasp) first season. And that’s only what happened in pop culture.

Plenty more has happened in Major League Baseball dating back to the last time the Pirates were above .500. In fact, in “honor” of the franchise’s past 21 years of losing, here are—you guessed it—21 things that have taken place since. 

 

1. Infielder Jurickson Profar (born Feb. 20, 1993), right-hander Dylan Bundy (Nov. 15, 1992) outfielder and 2012 National League Rookie of the Year Bryce Harper (Oct. 16, 1992) all were born* and made their MLB debuts.

*The last day of the 1992 season was Oct. 4, so not every player born in 1992 qualifies.

2. MLB endured the players’ strike of 1994, which cut short the season and left the sport without a World Series that October.

3. That same year, the league adopted a new divisional format, switching from two divisions per league to three. The wild card was also introduced, but because the strike cancelled the postseason, the divisional round of the playoffs didn’t start till October of 1995. The first teams to earn playoff berths via the wild card were the New York Yankees and Colorado Rockies.

4. Sticking with the Yankees, there’s an intriguing dynamic at play between them and the Pirates. Through Pittsburgh’s last winning season in 1992, New York actually had failed to make the playoffs for 11 years running—tied for the longest stretch in the franchise’s history after it became a perennial power in the 1920s.

While that skid would continue through 1994, the Yankees soon embarked on what became baseball’s longest, most successful run—17 postseason appearances and five titles in 18 seasons*—during the same time the Pirates became the sport’s cellar-dwellers.

*The rise of the Yankees dynasty began around the same time the team brought in the members of the “Core Four“—Andy Pettitte, Mariano Rivera, Derek Jeter, and Jorge Posada—all four of whom began their big league careers after 1993.

Amazingly, Posada is the only one who is no longer active. Pettitte has compiled 255 wins since 1993, the second-most in baseball in that time. Jeter has amassed 3,316 hits over 2,598 games played (both MLB highs), and Mariano Rivera owns a record 649 saves, having pitched in 1,108 games—most in the majors in the same time period.

 

5. Cal Ripken surpassed Lou “The Iron Horse” Gehrig’s record of 2,130 consecutive games played in September of 1995. In case you’re scoring at home, 897 of Ripken’s eventual mark—2,632 straight—came from 1993 on.

6. After serving as acting commissioner since 1992, Bud Selig officially became the ninth commissioner of the sport in 1998. Selig’s tenure, which almost perfectly coincides with the Pirates’ streak of losing seasons, is the second-longest among MLB commissioners, trailing only Kenesaw Mountain Landis, who served as baseball’s first commissioner from 1920-1944.

7. New teams, new names, new locations. Four entirely new franchises were created—the Colorado Rockies and Florida* Marlins in 1993, followed by the Tampa Bay Devil* Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks in 1998—while the Milwaukee Brewers shifted from the AL Central the the NL Central in 1998, the Montreal Expos left Canada and became the Washington Nationals in 2005 and the Houston Astros moved from the NL Central to the AL West in 2013. 

*Tampa Bay dropped the “Devil” from the team nickname in 2008, while the Marlins swapped “Florida” for the more specific “Miami” in 2012. And for the sake of proper bookkeeping, in 1997, the California Angels became the Anaheim Angels, and then morphed into the clunky Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in 2005.

8. Of the now-30 MLB teams—there were only 26 back in 1992—here are the ones with the fewest winning seasons from 1993 through 2012:

9. In that same span, 28 of 30 clubs made the postseason. Aside from the Bucs, the Kansas City Royals are the only squad that hasn’t played into October. In fact, they actually have a longer playoff drought than Pittsburgh,* who last made it in 1992, whereas the Royals haven’t been since winning it all in 1985.

*In case you’re wondering which Pirate holds the title of “He Who Has Suffered Most” (i.e., the longest-tenured Pittsburgh player from 1993 through 2012), that would be none other than former catcher Jason Kendall, who played in 1,252 games and was a three-time All-Star as a Pirate.

Here’s the irony: Kendall played for the Pirates from 1996 through 2004 and eventually retired in 2010, meaning his entire 15-year career came and went without the Buccos ever reaching 82 victories, and yet Pittsburgh drafted him in the first round way back in June of (yep) 1992—the middle of the Pirates’ last winning season.

10. Speaking of winning it all, 19 different teams made the World Series, and 11 of those took the trophy,* including a pair of expansion clubs: the Diamondbacks in 2001 and the Marlins not once, but twice: in 1997 and again in 2003.

*Both “Sox” teams, the White ones from Chicago and the Red ones from Boston, won championships, ending two of the three longest droughts in baseball. The “other” Chicago team, meanwhile, remains sans title since 1908, and many blame Steve Bartman for extending that curse in 2003. The “Curse of the Bambino,” though, was extinguished in 2004.

11. A sport that kept the American and National Leagues separate throughout its history—aside from the World Series and the All-Star Game, the two sides had never faced each other—embarked upon interleague play starting in 1997.

12. In 1998, Mark McGwire hit 70 home runs, while Sammy Sosa hit 66 to topple Roger Maris’ long-standing, single-season home run record of 61. Only three seasons later, in 2001, Barry Bonds* broke McGwire’s record by smashing 73.

*Bonds, of course, was the star of the last Pirates team to win more games than it lost in 1992, but he went on to sign with the Giants after that season, then hit 586 of his 762 career home runs for San Francisco, passing Hank Aaron to become the all-time home run king in 2007.

13. Baseball endured the brunt* of what is now known as the Steroid Era from the 1990s into the 2000s, as the three players in the previous note, among many others, were linked to—or even admitted to using—performance-enhancing drugs. In 2007, MLB released the Mitchell Report, which revealed the findings from a lengthy, wide-ranging investigation into the extent that PEDs had infiltrated the sport.

*The Steroid Era, clearly, isn’t quite over yet: In July and August of 2013, the league suspended 13 players for ties to the now-shuttered Biogenesis clinic as uncovered by MLB’s investigation. Among those given suspensions were Ryan Braun, who received a 65-game ban (the rest of the 2013 season) and Alex Rodriguez, who was hit with a record 211-game ban (through the 2014 season). Rodriguez, though, has appealed and continues to play.

14. While only four pitchers—Greg Maddux, Roger Clemens, Tom Glavine and Randy Johnson—joined the 300-win club from 1993 on, the number of hitters in the 500-home run club nearly doubled, from 14 through 1992 to 25 through 2013. They were, in chronological order:

*Rodriguez’s home run total of 651 is through games played on Sept. 8, 2013

15. As if to prove that this era wasn’t entirely about power, Ichiro Suzuki—the very antithesis of the home run—slapped, punched, flared and infield hit his way past George Sisler to a record 262 base knocks in 2004, with 225 of those being of the one-base variety (also a record).

16. Continuing the run on personal achievements over this time frame, nearly half of the perfect games in MLB history—10 of 23—were twirled, and there were 45 no-hitters* in which the starting pitcher went nine innings and won.

*Incidentally, it would have been 46 no-nos, except Francisco Cordova didn’t get the win in his nine-inning no-no on July 12, 1997. As it so happened, Cordova pitched for the Pirates, who went on to victory in extra innings.

17. Baseball brought in instant replay in 2008, but only in a limited capacity to help determine whether home runs cleared the fence were fair or foul. During the 2013 season, the league announced that it’s expecting to expand the system beyond the initial use of home run boundary calls.

18. While on the topic of expanding things, MLB altered the postseason format again in 2012 by adding a second wild card spot in each league, with those two clubs facing each other in a one-game playoff. This means that 10 of the 30 teams—or one-third—now make it to October.* The first-ever second wild cards were the Texas Rangers and the St. Louis Cardinals.

*This will certainly help the Pirates’ postseason hopes as they battle the Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds for first place in the NL Central, a division in which those three clubs are separated by only 2.0 games through the Pirates’ 82nd win.

19. If you think the money in baseball has come a long way while the Pirates have been sub.-500, you’d be right.

*The small-market Pirates have been in the bottom 10 among payrolls every season except for 2001 (18th), 2003 (19th) and 2013 (20th). To put 1993’s $30.6 million league-average payroll in perspective further, the Pirates actually ranked dead last in payroll as recently as 2010—and they spent $34.9 million.

20. Here, the counting number matches the factoid, as a whopping 20 stadiums were built* in the time it took the Pirates to return to a winning team, including Pittsburgh’s own PNC Park, which opened in 2001. Think of it this way: That’s one new major league ballpark for every Pirates losing season!

*This does not include Tampa Bays’ Tropicana Field, which actually was constructed in 1990 but only joined MLB in 1998, the first season for the expansion Rays. If we’re talking ballparks that were officially opened as MLB stadiums, then, that number is 21.

21. As a final “thing,” it’s worth pointing out how much the way baseball evaluation has changed over the past two decades, specifically the concept of old-school scouting versus (or in conjunction with) new-school sabermetrics, a development highlighted in the ground-breaking non-fiction book-turned-film Moneyball. To that end, just about every club (with one glaring exception) relies heavily on statistical data and information to help with the decision-making process, including the Pirates.

General manager Neal Huntington, hired at the end of the 2007 season, revamped the organization’s approach to player evaluation. The new approach is demonstrated by, for one, the 2008 hiring of sabermetrician Dan Fox, currently the club’s director of baseball systems development. It may have taken a while, but the club’s turnaround can be attributed, at least in part, to this.

Alas, despite all the new-age statistics and advanced metrics, one number remains unobtainable and perhaps even incalculable: Cigarettes smoked by current Detroit Tigers head honcho and notorious smoker Jim Leyland, who was the last Pirates manager to lead the franchise to a winning season.

Thanks to Gerrit Cole’s gem* on Monday to get win No. 82, it now can be said that Clint Hurdle has gone where the five managers between Leyland and him never could—above .500 in Pittsburgh.

*The last time the Pirates were a winning team, by the way, Cole was two years old.

 

What else has happened in MLB since the last time the Pittsburgh Pirates were a winning team? Add to the list above in the comments below.

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Should You Take the Pittsburgh Pirates Seriously as a World Series Contender?

The most amazing part, at least to me, of the 2013 Pittsburgh Pirates rise to prominence—The quick and seismic shift from “The Pirates finally got over .500!” to “The Pirates are World Series contenders!”

Yes, folks, they are.

By achieving win No. 82 tonight with a 1-0 victory over the Texas Rangers, Pittsburgh exhumed two decades of demons, frustrations and ineptitude. By doing it so early in September and leading the NL Central, Pittsburgh isn’t talking about just a .500 finish.

Instead, they’re thinking bigger. As in October.

As the summer progressed it was pretty clear that the Pirates weren’t going to collapse and miss out on .500 again. Of course, we can easily call the 2011 and 2012 finishes collapses in order to fit within the narrative of losing seasons in the Steel City, but, in reality, the Pirates have been on an extreme upswing for years.

After winning only 57 games in 2010, they jumped to 72 in 2011 and 79 in 2012. The latter two seasons coincided with Clint Hurdle’s first two years on the job.

Now, in 2013, they are over .500 and on the path to a National League playoff berth.

When they arrive there baseball fans should take them very, very seriously to make noise in October.

Why? Here are three reasons.

First, and most importantly, Pittsburgh has two front-line starting pitchers. While the names Liriano and Burnett may not strike fear into the psyche of opposing batters, they should. Based on the production from both this season, few pitchers in the sport have been better.

Heading into play on Monday, four starting pitchers in baseball had K/9 rates of at least 9.0 and ground ball percentages of at least 50. In other words, that’s the ability to strikeout a batter per inning and generate grounders on half of balls put into play.

Those four names: Felix Hernandez, Stephen Strasburg, Francisco Liriano and A.J. Burnett.

Not Matt Harvey or Clayton Kershaw or Max Scherzer or Yu Darvish. Just four names, two of which headline the Pittsburgh staff.

When manager Clint Hurdle sets up his postseason rotation, he has two aces to throw at the National League.

Second, Pittsburgh has an all-around star that can lead them to great heights.

Andrew McCutchen‘s ability to change the game with power (.518 slugging), speed (27 stolen bases) and defense (eight runs saved, according to Baseball-Reference’s defensive runs saved stat via Baseball Info Solutions).

With lineup protection from Pedro Alvarez and the recently acquired duo of Justin Morneau and Marlon Byrd, pitchers will have to challenge McCutchen. It’s likely he’ll make them pay at some point.

Lastly, literally and figuratively, is a dominant 1-2 punch at the back end of the bullpen.

With the recent return of All-Star Jason Grilli (currently in low-leverage situations before transitioning back to closer), and Mark Melancon, Pittsburgh has an 8th-9th inning combo that has combined to strikeout 128 batters in just 107.2 innings.

In other words, when Pittsburgh has the lead after seven innings, the door is almost always slammed shut from there.

High-end starting pitching, an MVP candidate patrolling center field and a dominant bullpen combo.

At the risk of upsetting the city of New York, that formula sounds awfully reminiscent of what the Yankees used in the mid-to-late 90s to launch a dynasty.

Take the Pirates seriously, baseball fans.

Comment below, follow me on Twitter or “like” my Facebook page to talk all things baseball.

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Pirates Snap Streak of 20 Consecutive Losing Seasons With 81st Win vs. Brewers

The Pittsburgh Pirates have endured two decades of losing seasons, but even with plenty of games in hand for the remainder of the 2013 MLB season, that unenviable streak has come to an end.

Major League Baseball’s official Twitter noted the historical significance of the Pirates’ 81st win of the year on Tuesday evening—a 4-3 road victory over the National League Central division rival Milwaukee Brewers:

Rafael Rojas C of MLB.com noted the No. 1 hit song the last time the Pirates clinched a non-losing season:

B/R’s MLB lead writer Zachary D. Rymer provided his take, comparing the Pirates’ prowess to the success of other seemingly accursed baseball franchises:

Pinch hitter Travis Snider went yard in the ninth inning of a tied 3-3 game for just his fourth home run of the year, but it was a big one that doubled the Pirates’ lead to two games over the St. Louis Cardinals in the division.

Superstar center fielder Andrew McCutchen has been at the epicenter of Pittsburgh’s stunning turnaround, and he fittingly got his club on the board first. With two outs in the first inning, McCutchen smacked his 18th home run of the year off of Yovani Gallardo to give the Pirates the early 1-0 advantage.

However, the Brew Crew figured to foil their opponent’s plans of getting off the losing season skid by plating two runs of their own in the bottom of the inning.

Scoring was minimal aside from the Pirates’ equalizing run in the third, but after the two teams exchanged one run apiece in the eighth, the stage was set for Snider’s heroics.

Pittsburgh closer Mark Melancon retired the side in the ninth for his 11th save of the season.

As putrid as the Pirates have been for so long, there was an upward trend over the previous two campaigns to suggest that a breakthrough was in order. After going 57-105 in 2010, the club posted records of 72-90 and 79-83.

This 2013 club has shocked the baseball world, though, emerging with one of the best records in baseball thus far. It’s primarily due to great pitching, as the Pirates lead the MLB with league lows in ERA (3.17) and opponents’ batting average (.236).

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Justin Morneau to Pirates: Twins Trade Star to Pittsburgh for Alex Presley

The Minnesota Twins have traded veteran first baseman Justin Morneau to the Pittsburgh Pirates in exchange for outfielder Alex Presley and a player to be named later or cash, the Pirates announced on Twitter.

Evidently, the Pirates aren’t content with simply ending their extended streak of seasons below .500, which stretches back to 1993. Adding Morneau shows the current co-leaders of the NL Central are focused on postseason success.

The veteran infielder won the American League MVP award in 2006 when he slugged 34 homers and drove in 130 runs while hitting .321 for the Twins. Although he’s struggled to maintain that type of production at the plate, he’s still a valuable contributor.

In 127 games this season, Morneau has tallied 17 home runs while posting a solid .741 OPS. He presents the Pirates with an upgrade over Gaby Sanchez at an important offensive position.

He will also provide the club with some much-needed support for Andrew McCutchen, who’s often carried the team on his back. Add Morneau along with strong finishes from the likes of Pedro Alvarez and Starling Marte, and suddenly the Pirates would be in great shape.

In return, the Twins get Presley, an outfielder who’s split his time between the majors and Triple-A this season. In 29 games with the Pirates, he hit just .264 with two home runs.

At 28 years old, Presley no longer falls into the prospect category. But with Morneau set to become a free agent after the season ends, the asking price had to be reasonable in order to move him. And the Twins will get another piece from the deal at a later time.

That said, this deal boils down to Pittsburgh loading up for the stretch run. Morneau should supply the Pirates with an immediate boost.

 

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How Marlon Byrd, John Buck Can Impact the Pirates’ Playoff Run

Looking to secure not only a postseason berth but the NL Central division title, the Pittsburgh Pirates have added a pair of veteran bats in a deal with the New York Mets.

According to a report from CBS Sports’ Mike Axisa, outfielder Marlon Byrd and catcher John Buck are heading to the Pirates in return for minor league infielder Dilson Herrera and a player yet to be announced.

The Mets balked at the idea of dealing Byrd at the deadline when they were not happy with any of the offers they received and were set on remaining competitive for the rest of the season.

However, following the injury of Matt Harvey and sitting at 58-71 in fourth place in the NL East, they have recently changed their tune as the deadline nears.

The 19-year-old Herrera is doing great in his first year of full-season ball, hitting .265/.330/.421 with 41 extra-base hits and 56 RBI with 11 stolen bases. Baseball America had him ranked as the Pirates’ No. 20 prospect following the 2012 season.

While Herrera is a solid young player with plenty of upside, the Pirates filled a major need with the acquisition of Byrd, who will likely step into the everyday right-field job for the remainder of the season.

After settling for a minor-league deal this offseason after a poor 2012, the 35-year-old has turned in arguably the best season of his career, hitting .285/.330/.518 with 21 home runs and 71 RBI.

Those numbers dwarf what Pirates right fielders have done this season. Here is a look at how Pirates players have performed at the position this year:

On top of adding Byrd’s bat to the lineup, the move also allows the team to platoon Gaby Sanchez and Garrett Jones at first base, which was the plan going into the season.

Sanchez has posted a .958 OPS against left-handed pitching with a .750 OPS overall, while Jones has a .731 OPS against right-handed pitching with a .703 OPS overall.

Byrd also adds some much-needed power to the middle of the Pirates lineup, as they are tied for 18th in MLB in home runs with 123, and 31 of those have come from slugging third baseman Pedro Alvarez.

The other piece heading to the Pirates in the deal is 33-year-old catcher John Buck, who ranks fourth among NL catchers with 15 home runs and 60 RBI. However, he’s hitting just .215/.285/.367 on the year and had nine home runs and 25 RBI in the first month of the season.

He’d recently lost his starting job in New York to top prospect Travis d’Arnaud, and while he’ll remain in a backup role for the Pirates, he gives the Pirates a bat off the bench with some pop.

Buck has played just seven career games at PNC Park, but he put up impressive numbers with a .333/.360/.375 line, including a double and five RBI. Meanwhile, Byrd has seen more action there from his time with the Cubs, hitting .250/.327/.320 in 27 games.

As it stands, the Pirates trail the Cardinals by a half-game in the NL Central, with the Reds sitting three games behind Pittsburgh in what promises to be a tight race.

With six games apiece remaining against the Cardinals and Reds, the Pirates will look to take home NL Central honors and avoid playing in the one-game Wild Card Round come October.

This deal certainly helps their chances of accomplishing that, shoring up a major hole in right field with a potential impact bat, and adding some bench depth as well.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Series Allows Team to Revisit an Old Trade

In the tumultuous but ultimately disappointing, three-game series in St. Louis, there was a consolation prize: Pirate fans got a chance to see “what else” the team got in the trade for closer Octavio Dotel, made in 2010.

That “what else” was Andrew Lambo, who made his debut Tuesday night.

Lambo is a right fielder—a position that the Pirates badly need to fill with a better player than the three incumbents: Jose Tabata, Alex Presley and Travis Snider. The Pirates tried and failed to trade these weak hitters for for a replacement before the July 31st trade deadline. 

Lambo‘s claim to fame is his power, but he strikes out a lot, which is why there is doubt as to whether he will hit for average.  He lived up to his billing in the recent series when he struck out twice in nine plate appearances, but got on base twice, with his sole hit being an RBI double (he also walked once). In these regards, he somewhat resembles slugger Pedro Alvarez.

The first installment of the Dotel trade was James McDonald, whom the Los Angeles Dodgers had pegged as a relief pitcher after a few outings. His debut as a Pirate featured six innings of a shutout start against the Colorado Rockies in the summer of 2010.

The team could certainly have used that performance this past weekend.

After that, McDonald was an on-and-off starter before his injury early in 2013. He wasn’t consistent enough to be a true ace, but he actually put up “first starter” numbers for half a season or so in both 2011 and 2012 before regressing. As such, he was a valuable stopgap during those two rebuilding years.

But the Dodgers were onto something when they designated McDonald for the bullpen.

Time has shown that he lacks the endurance to be a consistent starter over the course of a whole season. Given the current strength of the Bucs’ rotation, he will probably find a place in the bullpen if his health allows, although that would certainly not rule out his being used as a substitute starter from time to time.

Dotel commanded so much in the trade because the Dodgers wanted a closer for a playoff run (that ultimately failed). This trade was somewhat reminiscent of another trade in the Pirates’ history: The 1998 trade of reliever Ricardo Rincon for outfielder Brian Giles, who was flipped in 2003 for another outfielder, Jason Bay, starter-turned-reliever Oliver Perez (and a minor leaguer who never made it to the majors).

A fair return for a good closer might be a middle-inning reliever and a utility position player. Lambo is at least a utility player, and, as a sometime starter, McDonald has been decidedly a better pitcher than Oliver Perez, never mind the average middle reliever. If Lambo turns out to be better than a utility outfielder and more like Alvarez, or even Bay, the trade of Dotel for those two will probably have been the deal of the decade.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: How They Can Win NL Central Even with a Losing Half-Season

The Pittsburgh Pirates‘ late summer regression appears to have begun in Colorado. The sweep by the lowly Rockies was only the third sweep of the Pirates for the season (the other two occurring to the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, who lead their respective divisions).

This may be a harbinger of tougher times to come as the season winds down. We’ve seen this movie before, but the good news is that the 2013 version is likely to be much milder than what was experienced in the past two years.

In fact, the Pirates can have a losing “half-season” (after the All-Star break) and still win the National League Central.

They started with a strong first half and were 56-37 as of the All Star Break; a 34-35 finish would give the Bucs a record of 90-72, good enough to win the division based on some other assumptions listed below.

A losing second half doesn’t seem impossible when one realizes the Pirates have scored only 95 runs since the All-Star break while allowing 93. This is an extreme version of a season-long trend that has the team’s light hitting scoring only 12 percent more runs than the stellar pitching and defense give up.

If the post All-Star break trend continues for the rest of the season, the actual second-half win total could be 34, 35, 36 or some number in that neighborhood.

The low number (34) is something of a worst-case scenario, and I actually believe that Pittsburgh will finish a game or two above this level. In essence, the 90 wins I’ve hypothesized in an earlier article as the team’s 2013 ceiling is now more like its floor.

What the Pirates have done right is lead the season series against both the St. Louis Cardinals seven to three, and the Cincinnati Reds, less convincingly, seven to six. This leads me to believe that the Bucs can win six of their remaining nine games against the Redbirds and three of their remaining six games against the Redlegs.

If they actually win nine more games against the two division rivals (starting from a base of 70 going into Tuesday night’s game against the Cardinals), the Pirates would need to win only 11 games (out of 30) against the rest of baseball to bring their total to 90.

That’s a bit of a pessimistic assumption, even for me.

But based on the run differential discussed above, I’d actually be surprised if Pittsburgh wins more than 15 of these 30 games. That’s because the team typically runs “flat out” early in the season, then falls prey to the late-season wear and tear of the kind that showed up in the Colorado series.

Normally reliable Francisco Liriano was hammered in a 10-run game. A.J. Burnett fell apart for one inning, and the game. The bullpen was unable to hold the line after Jeff Locke’s six-inning, two-run quality start. Two close calls on a double play and a balk went against the Pirates. (Hopefully minor) injuries were sustained by Starling Marte and Pedro Alvarez.

In 2012, the Pirates had a lackluster August, with a record of 11-17, followed by a horrendous September-October in which they won only nine of 31 games. In 2011, the Pirates had a horrendous August with a record of 8-22, followed by a lackluster 10-18 in September.

Even if my hypothesis of a lackluster ending (11-13 wins out of a set of 30 against the non Red-bird and -leg teams) but nothing too horrendous is correct, the Pirates will make it to the postseason. Adding the further hypothesis of a strong ending against the two division rivals would mean a division title.

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