Tag: Troy Tulowitzki

Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, and the Colorado Rockies’ First-Half Problems

If you had told me at the beginning of the season that the Rockies were going to be in third place in the NL West with a record of 40-42, 6.5 games behind the first place Giants, I would have called you crazy.

The Rockies have a lineup that can strike fear into any pitcher in the league, and they have a rotation that rivals any (save for the Phillies).

But after watching the Rockies fail to score many runs and the starting rotation struggle to find continuity, much less wins, it is painfully clear that Rockies fans should count their blessings that winning the NL West is still within reach.

The question, though, is what went wrong? Wasn’t this team supposed to be the team Rockies fans were waiting for to follow up the 2007 World Series team?

Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez both signed long-term, big-money contracts this offseason only to show up this year and fail to even come close to meeting expectations. Granted, it is only the first half and both players had breakout second halves last year, but it still begs the question: was that money well spent?

“Tulo” and “CarGo,” as they are known locally, have put up fairly average numbers so far. Tulo is hitting .271 with 16 HR, 55 RBI and a .341 OBP while CarGo boasts a mild, but improving .291 BA with 12 HR, 41 RBI, and a .358 OBP.

After hearing about these signings, these aren’t the numbers fans were hoping to see. Tulowitzki is a player that should be hitting over .300 year-in, year-out. Gonzalez is talented enough that he should be hitting near .350 with more than just 12 homers.

The fans have every reason to be displeased with this team. Thank goodness for a strong supporting cast.

Todd Helton is quietly proving that he is one of the best first-baseman in the league this year by hitting .318 and playing the best defense of any first-baseman. At age 37 and in the twilight of his career, those are simply outstanding numbers.

Along with Helton, Seth Smith is one of the MLB‘s most consistent hitters. He is one of only 5 players to hit over .300 every month of the season so far. This is a list that includes the likes of Adrian Gonzalez and Jose Reyes.

It seems that Smith and Helton are the only ones on the team who can find that needed timely hit with runners in scoring position.

Against the Indians on June 21, Smith hit two home runs in the 6th and 9th innings to give the Rockies a win. Locally, Smith has been known as “Mr. Late-Night” due to his heroics in the late innings of games since he came up to the club from Triple-A Colorado Springs in 2007.

In addition to Smith and Helton, Ty Wigginton (lately) has been a huge help in the lineup. After starting the year by failing to meet expectations, Wigginton has finally found his stroke and is hitting balls out of the park with relative ease. His batting average is climbing and he is beginning to gain the trust of fans.

The pitching staff has had more than its fair share of ups and downs this year. The first, and probably most important storyline from the rotation is the struggles of ace Ubaldo Jimenez. He started the year by going 0-7 while lacking control of his fastball, a pitch he lives and dies by.

Lately it seems that he has finally figured out his control problems, but he still lacks velocity on his fastball. Last year, Jimenez boasted a upper 90’s and sometimes 100 mph fastball. This year, his fastball is ranging from 94 to 96, and sometimes hits 97 mph. Most pitchers would love to have this problem, but for Jimenez, that velocity is key.

Because of Jimenez’s struggles, Jorge De La Rosa was thrust into the spotlight as the Rockies’ best pitcher, until he tore a tendon in his pitching elbow and needed Tommy John surgery. It seemed that nothing could go the Rockies’ way this year in the rotation until Jhoulys Chacin stepped up and became the new ace.

Chacin has shown that he is ready to be a big time pitcher in the MLB. His stuff is nasty and can easily fool any hitter. This pitcher is showing the fans that the Rockies’ future is very bright, with a rotation that will boast Jimenez, De La Rosa, Chacin, Juan Nicasio and Jason Hammel.

But this year, with De La Rosa out and Jimenez still searching for his form from the first half of the 2010 season, Chacin, Nicasio and Hammel haven’t shown that they can pick up the slack effectively.

Chacin has great stuff, but he is still very young and is learning how to be a really effective pitcher in the MLB.

Nicasio has brilliant stuff, but he has a lot to learn before becoming a stud starter.

Hammel needs to find consistency and to beg the offense for run support. There are games when his head simply isn’t in the game, as evidenced by his body language during some games. There are also games when he pitches brilliantly, but the offense can’t get anything going, so he takes the loss after surrendering only a few runs.

If this pitching staff could get 100% healthy while playing to its potential and the offense plays to expectations, this team would easily rival the Red Sox or the Phillies for the best team in baseball characterization.

After 2007, the front office of the Rockies promised fans that it would do anything it could to become a perennial contender. So far, the front office has done its job. Now its the players’ turn to prove that the Rockies are for real.

But if this first half is any indication of what is to come, Rockies fans better hold on tight, because it will be a quick, fast ride right back to the cellar in the NL West.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Colorado Rockies: Tulo and CarGo Need to Pick It Up If Team Wants to Make Run

Before the season started, the Colorado Rockies made some national shock waves when they signed their two young stars, shortstop Troy Tulowitzki and outfielder Carlos Gonzalez, to mega, multi-year contract extensions.

Tulo signed a nine-year extension worth $163 million while CarGo signed a seven-year extension worth $80 million. 

The responses were mixed. Some in the national media thought it was too early and the money was too much.

It made sense to me. After all, Tulo’s old deal would’ve ended after the 2014 season.

Both deals add up to a grand total of $243 million in the books for just two players. That’s an average of $29.5 million a year until 2018. Their current payroll is roughly $88 million, less than 3/4 to pay for the other players.

This just shows the importance of the performance of these two players and how financially difficult it would be to add another player of their caliber without leaving some holes.

This year, first baseman Todd Helton is being paid $20 million, so despite the collective effort of their pitching staff, the Colorado Rockies’ playoff hopes rest in the bats of Helton, Tulowitzki and Gonzalez.

Right now, Helton is doing his part, hitting .300 with seven home runs and 24 RBI, but he is the only player on the team hitting .300 so far. Tulo has 11 home runs, but he is hitting a mediocre .252 with CarGo hitting .259 with eight home runs. 

For fans, It’s good to know that there is no shortage of power from this decade’s version of the Blake Street Bombers, but no team wins with just one .300 hitter and with their contracts possibly crippling the Rockies’ chances to add some legit help before the trade deadline.

CarGo and Tulo must pick it up or the Rockies will continue to sink below .500 this season.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


MLB Predictions: 2014 All-Star Lineups and Rosters

For the past decade, the All-Star teams have been highlighted by the same players year after year. Players like Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Mariano Rivera, Ichiro, Albert Pujols, and Chipper Jones have appeared in the starting lineups every year and it’s starting to get old. Between now and 2014, a new generation of faces will emerge as baseball’s best and brightest and the old ones will begin to fade. Four All-Star Games from now, a few of the old faces will still be there, but many new ones will shine on one of baseball’s biggest stages.

We all know that in 2014, many of these players probably won’t be on the same teams they are on today, but for the sake of the article, let’s imagine they all stayed put. Since the 2014 All-Star Game will take place in an American League stadium, there will be a Designated Hitter in each lineup Enjoy. 

Begin Slideshow


MLB: Slow Start by the Boston Red Sox and Each Team’s Top Surprise so Far

We are close to three weeks into the season, and few things are going as expected. Some teams have players that are surprising, and other teams are simply outperforming their expectations.

Its a long season, and things change, but some of these surprises are legitimate, and have some staying power. Cleveland may not necessarily be in for a major losing streak, and the Red Sox may not be the 100-win team people were expecting.

If nothing else, these starts have exposed to hot-air-balloon expectations placed on some teams and some players before the season started. Time to get real. (organized from worst winning percentage).

Begin Slideshow


New York Mets: It’s Time To Abandon the Citi Field Argument

You know what I did yesterday? I wasted seven hours and a day off watching Mets baseball at Citi Field. That’s right. I woke up early and took two trains just so I can sit and watch the Colorado Rockies pound the Mets into the ground in both games of a doubleheader.

Waste of money? Only $20.

Waste of time? Absolutely.

But I overheard a conversation between two of my fellow suckers, er, Mets fans, that caught my attention.

During the first game of the day, the Mets entered the ninth inning down 6-3. Scott Hairston finally showed some of the pop he had in spring training by hitting a two-run homer to left field to get the Mets within a run.

The Mets would then load the bases with two out for David Wright.

Citi Field was electric. I’d say there must have been dozens, literally DOZENS of fans screaming their heads off. Yeah, the place was packed.

Wright lifted a fly ball to right field that looked like it might have a chance to get out but fell onto the warning track, and the Mets had themselves a 6-5 loss.

I’ll ignore the obvious opportunity to point out Wright’s complete lack of clutch hits for a moment to continue with my point.

A Mets fan behind me says to another Mets fan, “Damn Citi Field. This place is killing us.”

Now, I am of the opinion that Citi Field is killing the Mets power, but I wanted to find out just how much damage it was doing. I came home and looked up some numbers and I’ve come to a conclusion:

The “Citi Field Argument” has to come to an end.

There can be no more talk about how the Mets would be a better team if they didn’t play in such a large park or how (insert Mets player here) would have better numbers in a different stadium.

The reason?

Well, we’ll start with just this season’s numbers. It’s a small sample size I know, but Mets pitching has allowed 10 home runs this season at Citi Field. The Mets themselves have hit five.

The Rockies came in and made Citi Field look like Great American Ballpark in four games. Troy Tulowitzki had a home run in each of the four games and none of them were cheap. He was crushing the ball on almost every pitch.

In all, the Rockies hit a total of seven home runs in the four-game series, including the four from Tulowitzki. Even Jonathan Herrera was able to collect just his second career home run with a line drive that found its way out via the right-field corner.

The Mets have of course hit home runs of their own at home this season. Carlos Beltran has two (both coming in the same game) and David Wright, Jose Reyes and Hairston each have one.

But the Mets have also surrendered home runs to the light-hitting duo of Ian Desmond and Danny Espinosa of the Washington Nationals in a series in which the Mets dropped two of three.

So far this season, the Mets’ opponents haven’t had much of an issue with Citi Field. But what about the last two seasons?

In 2009, Citi Field’s inaugural season, ESPN’s Park Factor ranked it 12th in baseball for home runs, surrendering 1.057 per game. Anything over 1.000 favors the hitters. How could Citi Field ever favor a hitter you ask?

Well, the answer is both simple and ugly. Mets pitching allowed an unbelievable 81 home runs at home, while the Mets hit just 49.

Johan Santana was the biggest culprit that season. He allowed 12 home runs at home. Tim Redding was right behind him with 10. Additionally, the Mets had six different pitchers who allowed six or more home runs.

Now, it’s worth nothing that the Mets had a majority of their best players, including Carlos Beltran, Jose Reyes and David Wright, on the DL that season, but if the visiting teams didn’t have a problem getting the ball into souvenir city, the Mets should have been able to get a few of their own.

Only Daniel Murphy had more than five home runs at Citi Field that season.

In 2010, the Mets were a little bit healthier and managed to find their power stroke. A great bounce-back season from Wright (10 home runs in 2009, 29 in 2010) certainly helped.

The Mets hit 63 home runs at Citi Field that season and allowed just 47. If the Mets are out-homering their opponents the season after getting completely dominated in the same department, there can’t be any more Citi Field talk.

Does Citi Field cost hitters home runs? Of course it does. I like to think the Mets play in a major league ballpark, as opposed to some of the little league sized parks out there (I’m looking at you Citizens Bank Park).

In three years, the Mets have been out-homered by their opponents, 138-117, at Citi Field.

Jeff Francoeur called Citi Field “a damn joke” this past offseason. Good ‘ol Franks and Beans hit .223 with five home runs in 202 at-bats at Citi Field in 2010.

Additionally, both David Wright and Jason Bay have mentioned Citi Field’s dimensions as a negative. After crushing 36 home runs with the Boston Red Sox, Bay hit just three at Citi Field. But Bay’s struggles last season are as much about his own adjustments to Citi Field than the stadium itself.

If you try to hit line drives, you’re going to hit line drives. Bay also collected four of his six triples (tied for a career high) at Citi Field.

In yesterday’s game, maybe Wright’s fly ball goes for a home run with an extra foot or two of distance. Reyes banked one off the Pepsi Porch in the second game yesterday, and I think that’s where Wright’s would have gone as well.

But it wasn’t to be. That’s not because of Citi Field. It’s just because baseball is a game of inches, and the Mets came a few inches short.

It’s time to abandon the Citi Field Argument. The Mets have been out-homered by their opponents, and they’ve done the damage themselves in the two-plus seasons of Citi Field’s existence. Just win the games and stop worrying about what could have been.

Citi Field might be a “damn joke,” but it’s our damn joke.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


MLB: Colorado Rockies Blast New York Mets in NYC: 5 Keys to the Rockies Sweep

View From the Rockpile: Musings From a Mile High Along the Journey to Rocktober

 

There’s no bigger stage for a middle-market club than the sparkling new sandlot just a skip, hop and a seven-train jump from Broadway.  Do it here, and media, critics and fans will take notice. 

 

America, meet the 2011 Colorado Rockies.

 

The Rockies entered this season demanding better from themselves away from the friendly confines of Coors Field.  Road warriors, they need not be; but 31-50 on the road (as they were in 2010), they cannot be, not if they aim to make their NL West championship dreams come true.

 

After taking three of four from the Pirates in PNC Park, the Rockies looked to continue to exorcise their road demons at Citi Field against a struggling New York Mets squad. 

 

Yet, having lost eight straight series in the Big Apple and 22 out of their last 27 in old New York, New York, the Rockies still had their work cut out for them.

 

Consider those dragons tamed, at least for the moment.  With the Herculean efforts of team leader Troy Tulowitzki, the Rockies fought their way through wind, rain, daily deficits and a doubleheader to an amazin’ four-game series sweep against the Mets.

 

Just how did the Rockies manage to turn the Mets into the Mess?  Take a look inside to find out…

Begin Slideshow


Colorado Rockies Go Bananas In the Big Apple, Sweep the Mets

Another day, another one-run road win.

What was the Achilles’ heel of the Colorado Rockies in 2010 has turned into one of their biggest strengths thus far in 2011. 

The Rockies swept the New York Mets on Thursday, taking both games of the doubleheader 6-5 and 9-4. This marks the first time the Rockies have swept the Mets since 1994, and just their third series win ever against the Mets in New York.

The big story coming out of Queens is Troy Tulowitzki

Who else?

Watching Tulowitzki so far this April has been like watching a video game. Over the four-game series, he went a combined 10-16 with 9 RBI. Oh yeah, he also hit home runs in each of the four games. 

The Mets as a team have five home runs at Citi Field this season.

He also became the first player in Major League history to hit home runs in each of a four-game series against the Mets.  

The MVP favorite has followed up his record-setting September 2010 with an April 2011 that has potential to set records. Going back the last six weeks of regular season play, Tulowitzki has 22 home runs and 54 RBI. 

It doesn’t matter who you root for, that’s unreal. 

Tulowitzki needs four more home runs to tie Larry Walker’s record of 11 in the first month of the season. 

The Rockies return home to Coors Field at 10-2 record, the best record in Major League Baseball. They lead the NL West by four games over the Dodgers and the Giants.

If the other teams in the NL West aren’t careful, the Rockies could be 25-5 before you know it.

The Rockies are a major league best 7-1 on the road, and 4-2 in one-run games—also good enough for best in the big leagues.

The starting pitchers are also 9-0 so far this season. Best pitching staff in baseball? Decide for yourself, but the Rockies make a convincing case.  

This weekend, the Rockies return home to face the 6-6 Chicago Cubs for three and the 6-6 San Francisco Giants for three. If they keep this level of play up, they could be 16-2 next time they hit the road. With the way they’ve been playing, teams welcoming in the Rockies need to be very careful.

With trips to Miami to face the Marlins, to Wrigley to face the Cubs and a three-game set with the Pirates in Denver, the Rockies could nearly eclipse the 25-win mark before the calendar hits May.

Not something to put money on, but if you’ve followed this team for any amount of time, you know it’s possible. 

Watch out for this team. Being the first team to 10 wins is only the beginning for the 2011 Rockies. 

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


2011 Fantasy Baseball: Troy Tulowitzki and Other Draft Day Picks

The best thing about writing for a fantasy baseball site is that any time you get something right there is documentation of your genius. 

For example, because I did not start writing for The Fix until the All-Star break last year, I have no way of proving to you that I had Carlos Gonzalez as a top 70 player in the preseason.

Then again, because there is no documentation, I do not have to face the embarrassment of you knowing that I had Mark Reynolds and Grady Sizemore as top 25 players (at least not until I typed the previous sentence).  

But despite the risk of further embarrassment, I want to go on record about the guys I am all in on and those that I am not touching. 

So here it goes, I am going on record.

Don’t forget to check out our 2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit.


Baby, I’m howlin’ for you – The Black Keys

 

Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Colorado Rockies

Aside from Tulo, Hanley Ramirez and Alexei Ramirez, four other shortstops went in the top 100 of The Fix’s mock draft, and all of them have big question marks.

Jose Reyes (cannot stay on the field), Jimmy Rollins (ditto), Derek Jeter (two words: diminishing returns) and Elvis Andrus (stopped running after May), would all be in the second, and more negative half of this article if they were not in this sentence. 

Because of that positional scarcity, Tulo should be going in the top half of every first round.

 

Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit Tigers

Not scared one bit by the off-the-field issues. Still a top-five player and certainly should not be slipping into the second round.

 

Mark Teixeira, 1B, New York Yankees

Teixeira’s rotisserie production in 2010 was slightly off his career averages thanks to a low BABIP (35 points lower than his career BABIP) and a low HR/FB rate (three percent lower than his career rate). 

Some of the “bad luck” may have been Tex’s fault as his Fangraphs page shows he swung at more pitches outside of the zone than in any other year of his career, but he should bounce back closer to his career averages in 2011.

 

Hunter Pence, OF, Houston Astros

2009: .285, 25 HR, 14 SB

2010: .285, 25 HR, 18 SB

For risk-averse fantasy baseball players like me, this kind of consistency is exactly what I am looking for.

 

Jered Weaver, SP, Anaheim Angels

Weaver’s excellent 2010 season has made him the No. 17 starting pitcher taken so far in ESPN drafts, but that ranking does not do him justice.

Weaver entered his prime last season and saw his K rate go through the roof (up to 9.35 K/nine), his walk rate improve significantly (down to 2.17 BB/nine) and he saw a six percent increase in ground balls.

Moreover, his BABIP was only a touch on the low side, and his strand rate was right in line with his career average. For my money, Weaver is a top-10 pitcher in 2011.

 

Alexei Ramirez, SS, Chicago White Sox

See Tulowitzki, Troy.

 

Aaron Hill, 2B, Toronto Blue Jays

Here is a classic A versus B sample with combined 2009 and 2010 stats from two second basemen:

Player A:  .265, 64 HR, 6 SB, 184 R, 195 RBI

Player B:  .250, 62 HR, 8 SB, 173 R, 176 RBI

Player A, Dan Uggla, is currently being drafted in the 4th round while Player B, Aaron Hill, is currently being drafted in the 11th round. 

There is a feeling of risk involved with Hill due to his batting average catastrophe in 2010, but The Fix’s own Corey Herron did a very nice job explaining away some of that risk in this piece

If pressed, I would be tempted to take Hill over Uggla straight up, but when given the choice between Uggla or Hill and a fourth round pick, I am taking Hill every time.

 

Pablo Sandoval, 3B, San Francisco Giants

YEAR HR/FB HR AVG BABIP

2009 14% 25 .330 .350

2010   7% 13 .268  .291

Just in case you are not catching my drift, HR/FB rate gets cut in half and home runs get cut in half.

Likewise, BABIP drops almost 60 points, and batting average drops a little over 60 points.  I would say some sort of rebound may be in order for Mr. Sandoval.

 

Matt Wieters, C, Baltimore Orioles

From 2009 to 2010, Wieters saw his walks increase, his strikeouts decrease and his ISO did not dip despite a decrease in line drive rate (a wildly unpredictable stat).

And I know I cite BABIP way too frequently, but a 70 point drop in the statistic from his original stint in the majors during 2009 to last season caused his average to tumble below .250.

The kid is only going to turn 25 in May, so there is still time for growth. I will be taking my chances on all the upside at a premium position.

 

Jorge de la Rosa, SP, Colorado Rockies 

If de la Rosa can stay on the mound and make at least 30 starts, you are looking at 175+ strikeouts.

In the 23rd round (where de la Rosa is currently going) is the potential of quality to elite production in one category not worth a flier?

I am betting on Jorge’s health and hoping for the K’s.

 

Omar Infante, 2B/SS, Florida Marlins

Speaking of elite production in a single category being available very late in drafts, I give you Omar Infante. 

In his last 674 at-bats (well over a full season’s worth of AB’s), Infante has hit .316.

With a full time job in Florida at second base, Infante is a really nice middle infield option this season, even in standard mixed leagues.

 

Don’t wanna be a fool for you – N’Sync

 

Alex Rodriguez, 3B, New York Yankees 

A-Rod has not played in 140 games in the last three years, and his batting average in those three years has gone from .302 to .286 to .270.

At 35 and entering his 15th full season, A-Rod is way too much of an injury/decline risk to be going in the second or third round.

 

Jason Heyward, OF, Atlanta Braves 

Heyward is going to be great, but he is not great yet.

However, because he has as much name value as a prospect can possibly have, expectations are not tempered as they usually are with younger players.

For example, last season another rookie, Drew Stubbs, hit four more home runs, stole 19 more bases and drove in as well as scored more runs than Heyward.

Yet Stubbs is currently going six rounds later than Heyward.

I am not saying I would rather have Stubbs, but I sure would think about it. Heyward will be great at some point, I just want to see it before I pay for it.

 

Dan Uggla, 2B, Atlanta Braves

See Hill, Aaron.

 

The Texas Rangers

To begin with, Josh Hamilton, Ian Kinsler and Nelson Cruz all scare me because of their inability to stay on the field.

The trio has missed 267 games combined over the last two seasons. 

Mike Napoli is also a stay-away because you should be able to find a catcher in a 10-team mixed league that is sure to accumulate 500 at-bats.

With Mitch Moreland, Michael Young, Yorvit Torrealba and Matt Treanor taking at-bats in the three positions Napoli can fill, I am not sure Napoli will get enough AB’s to be a top 10 option in shallow mixed leagues.

What do I have against Colby Lewis? In a word…Japan. And CJ Wilson threw 130 more innings in 2010 than he did in 2009. No thanks.

 

David Price, SP, Tampa Bay Rays 

Speaking of big innings jumps, Price jumped up 46 innings last year. Add to that the low-ish BABIP, the high strand rate and the low HR/FB rate, and Price is a pass for me as well.

 

Billy Butler, 1B, Kansas City Royals 

For the sake of making my point, let us say that a player provides “elite” production in a category if they are in the top 10 percent of that category, “quality” production if they are in the top quarter and “good” production if they are in the top half.

By those standards, in 2010, Butler gave you elite production in only one category (batting average), quality production in no categories, good production in runs and RBI, below average production in the home run department and no production via steals.

That is a really long-winded way of saying that Butler is a single category producer.

Single category guys are not top 100 players (Butler is currently 93rd in ESPN ADP).

I would rather wait 11 rounds and take the aforementioned Omar Infante to fill my corner infield spot.

 

Clay Buchholz, SP, Boston Red Sox 

(Insert standard low BABIP, high strand rate fantasy analysis here.) Oh, and the 17 wins in 28 starts Buchholz had in 2010 were also extremely lucky.

 

Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates 

First of all, his K rate (34.3 percent in 2010) is going to have to get under 30 percent before I am buying Alvarez’s staying power.

Also, the fact that a .341 BABIP only helped Alvarez to a .256 average is also a big red flag.

Like Jason Heyward, Alvarez may well be a fantasy stud, but I have got to see it before I will believe it.

 

Written by BRETT TALLEY exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com

Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter  @thefantasyfix

or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!

 

Check out some of our other NEW Fantasy Baseball articles

2011 Fantasy Baseball: 15 Players to Watch for Your Fantasy Team
2011 Fantasy Baseball Team Preview: Texas Rangers Projections & Auction Values
2011 Fantasy Baseball Team Preview: Tampa Bay Rays Projections & Auction Values
2011 MLB Spring Training: Tigers’ Jason Turner & Other Top Starting Pitching Prospects


Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


2011 NL West Preseason Preview: Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies (2010 record: 83-79)

Notable additions: RHP Matt Lindstrom, INF Jose Lopez, C Jose Morales, INF/OF Ty Wiggington

Notable subtractions: 2B Clint Barmes, RHP Octavio Dotel, SP Jeff Francis, 3B Melvin Mora, C Miguel Olivo

The offense:

Catcher: Chris Iannetta
Infield: Todd Helton (1B), Eric Young Jr (2B), Troy Tulowitzki (SS) and Ian Stewart (3B)
Outfield: Carlos Gonzalez (LF), Dexter Fowler (CF) and Seth Smith (RF)

The Rox finished in third place in the NL West last year, but they could challenge for the division title this year. The key to the Rockies’ fate in 2011 is whether they learn to bring their bats to the ballpark when they are on the road, where they were a dismal 31-50 last year (largely because they hit 72 points less in road games).

Gonzalez and Tulowitzki are the heart of the Rockies offensive attack. This will be a big year for both players in terms of solidifying themselves among the elite offensive players in the game. Gonzalez had a breakout campaign in 2010, but needs to prove he isn’t a one-year wonder. Tulowitzki was relatively pedestrian throughout the majority of the year, but then had an extraordinary month (.303, 15 HR and 40 rbi over his last thirty games) to salvage the season.

The team needs Chris Iannetta, Todd Helton and Dexter Fowler to improve markedly if it is to make a run at the division title. I could throw Smith and Stewart on the list as well, but at least they provided a little bit of power last season, whereas the others provided little in the way of anything.

Iannetta was brutal last year no matter where he played. Helton performed well below expectations whether at home or on the road. Fowler was okay at home but was a non-factor in road games (he hit just .211 and compiled a .297 OBP away from Coors).

The organization is hoping that new hitting coach Carney Lansford will be able to make a significant impact on the offense in his first year in Denver.

On the bench, I like the acquisition of Wiggington, as he will provide some right-handed pop at the corners and enable Helton to rest periodically. I don’t believe Jose Lopez will contribute much to the team and expect he will eventually just serve as a backup for EY, though even that role could fall to Wiggington if Lopez struggles.

The pitching staff:

Rotation: Ubaldo Jimenez, Jorge de la Rose, Aaron Cook, Jhoulys Chacin and Jason Hammel

Bullpen: Huston Street, Matt Belisle, Rafael Betancourt, Matt Lindstrom, Matt Reynolds and Franklin Morales

Back in the day, you could count on Rockies pitchers to struggle at home while posting a pretty solid set of numbers on the road. Those days are in the past. Last season the club posted a better ERA at home (3.86) than on the road (4.04).

Jimenez had a brilliant start to the 2010 season, going 15-1 with a 2.20 ERA in the first half. He came back to earth in the second half, but still finished the year at 19-8, with a 2.88 ERA and 1.155 WHIP. De la Rosa likewise got off to a nice start, but injuries derailed him and he was largely ineffective when he returned.

The club must hope Aaron Cook’s performance last year was nothing more than a blip in his career progression, as his 5.08 ERA was more than a run higher than his average for the previous five years.

If the club is to improve away from home, better efforts from Cook and Hammel would go a long way towards achieving that goal: they posted 5.85 and 5.71 ERAs, respectively, in road games last year.

Felipe Paulino, acquired from Houston in the deal that sent infielder Clint Barmes to the Astros, is a dark horse to join the rotation this spring if any of the other starters should struggle or get injured.

The back end of the bullpen is very strong. Huston Street enters the season as the closer after posting 20 saves in 25 opportunities last year. The bullpen in front of him is deep and includes a solid veteran trio in Belisle, Betancourt and Lindstrom, who would be a tremendous addition if he can harness his stuff and remain healthy. The Rox potentially have one of the top bullpens in the league if everyone can stay healthy.

Prediction for 2011: 2nd place (87-75)

The Rockies spent a lot of money this winter, but it wasn’t in free agency. They opted to lock up Tulowitzki (6 years, $119 M) and Carlos Gonzalez (7 years, $80 M) to long-term deals. Those two guys, along with SP Ubaldo Jimenez, provide the core for a team that could compete for a division title this season.

As stated in the body of the article, the club’s ability to compete for a title will be predicated on its ability to compete tougher and win ballgames on the road. I expect some improvement in that regard in 2011, but not to the point where they will be able to overtake the defending world champions.

————————————————–

Top Five Prospects:

1. Tyler Matzek, LHP
2. Wilin Rosario, C
3. Christian Freidrich, LHP
4. Kyle Parker, OF
5. Rex Brothers, LHP

Matzek was the Rockies’ first-round pick (11th overall) in the 2009 First-Year Player Draft, when he was the top high school pitcher in the country. Some pundits believe he fell out of the top ten in the draft due to his pre-draft declaration that he was “looking for unprecedented money” to forego college. The Rockies opened up the vault and gave Matzek $3.9 million late in the signing period to join the organization.

He pitched for Asheville (South Atlantic League) last year and posted a 5-1 record with a 2.92 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. He was named the league’s No. 3 prospect (No. 1 pitching prospect) at the end of the year despite having suffered with a bout of biceps tendinitis.

He has four good pitches, but his low-90s fastball is clearly the strongest pitch in his repertoire (rating a “70″ on the scout’s 20-80 scale). His fastball sometimes hit 96 during his rookie campaign, but it would often touch the upper-90s when he was in high school. Scouts believe he has the potential to increase his velocity as he matures.

His secondary pitches are still a work in progress, with the slider being the most well-developed among them (rating a “60″ on the scouting scale). His curve ball is pretty good but needs some work. His changeup is furthest away, as the scouts say he slows his arm speed noticeably when throwing it.

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


MLB Fantasy Baseball: 2011 N.L. Only Top 10 Shortstop Rankings

Click here to enter the 2011 Fantasy Baseball Team Name Contest

Here’s an early look at the N.L. only 2011 shortstop rankings.

1. Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado Rockies: It’s really a toss-up between Tulo and HanRam. They are both five-category players. I prefer Tulo because of his ballpark and lineup.

2. Hanley Ramirez, Florida Marlins: Han-Ram is 1-A. He should post a higher SB total than Tulo, but fewer HRs and RBI. You can’t go wrong either way. I just fear that he won’t see as many good pitches without a strong supporting cast.

3. Jose Reyes, New York Mets: Reyes wasn’t the superstar he used to be, posting a .282-83-11-54-30 line, but that’s not the important part. He stayed healthy. A year later I expect him to take another step forward, especially if the Mets lineup featuring Reyes, David Wright, Carlos Beltran, Jason Bay, Angel Pagan and Ike Davis can avoid the injury bug.

4. Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia Phillies: You know the National League is deep at shortstop when the fourth-ranked SS could be No. 1 in the American League. J-Roll dealt with injuries last year, but I believe he still has what it takes to be an elite fantasy shortstop.

5. Stephen Drew, Arizona Diamondbacks: Drew has four straight seasons with at least 60 RBI. He also hit .278 with 83 runs, 15 HR, and a career-high 10 SBs. He finished strong hitting .300 with 38 runs, 11 HR, 30 RBI, and 4 SB in 217 at-bats from August to October. The youngsters will press him for the top five, but for know it’s his spot to lose.

6. Ian Desmond, Washington Nationals: Desmond’s was a model of consistency as he went .255-31-6-36-8 in his 271 first half ABs and .283-28-4-29-9 in his 254 second half ABs. He’s clearly a cut below the top five, but remains a solid option this year.

7. Starlin Castro, Chicago Cubs: Castro is another youngster that posted a solid rookie season, as he hit .300. He only scored 53 runs in 125 games though, and was thrown out (eight) nearly as many times as he was successful (10) stealing bases.

8. Rafael Furcal, Los Angeles Dodgers: Furcal is great when he is in the lineup. He provides a spark for the Dodgers and his fantasy teams alike. Unfortunately, staying healthy is next to impossible for Furcal. Make sure you have a solid backup plan.

9. Juan Uribe, Los Angeles Dodgers: Uribe has 2B/3B/SS eligibility, which makes him a valuable option. He doesn’t score many runs or steal many bases, but he has decent pop and is a solid RBI guy.

10. Alex Gonzalez, Atlanta Braves: Gonzalez hit 23 home runs last year, but struggled (.240-27-6-38-0) in 72 games with Atlanta. He’s not your ideal shortstop, but he can give you a boost in home runs and RBI.

Also check out:

2011 Fantasy Baseball Profiles
2011 Fantasy First Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy A.L. Only First Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy N.L. Only First Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy Second Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Second Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Second Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy Third Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Third Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Third Basemen Rankings

2011 Fantasy Shortstop Rankings

2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Shortstop Rankings

2011 Fantasy Catcher Rankings

2011 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings

2011 Fantasy Starting Pitcher Rankings

2011 Fantasy Closer Rankings

Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com


Copyright © 1996-2010 Kuzul. All rights reserved.
iDream theme by Templates Next | Powered by WordPress